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{{Infobox Lecture
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| professeurs = [[Jean-François Staszak|Staszak, Jean-François]]<ref>Jean-François Staszak. Wikipédia, l'encyclopédie libre.  http://fr.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Jean-Fran%C3%A7ois_Staszak</ref><ref>[https://www.unige.ch/sciences-societe/geo/membres/enseignants/staszakjeanfrancois/ Page personnelle de Jean-François Staszak sur le site de l'Université de Genève]</ref><ref>[[https://www.franceculture.fr/personne/jean-francois-staszak Publications de Jean-François Staszak sur le site de France Culture]]</ref><ref>[https://www.cairn.info/publications-de-Staszak-Jean-Fran%C3%A7ois--2057.htm Publications de Jean-François Staszak diffusées sur Cairn.info ]</ref><ref>[http://unige.academia.edu/JeanFran%C3%A7oisStaszak Page de Jean-François Staszak sur Academia.edu]</ref><ref>[https://www.babelio.com/auteur/Jean-Francois-Staszak/322744 Biographie de Jean-François Staszak sur Babelio.com]</ref><ref>[http://www.liberation.fr/auteur/13553-jean-francois-staszak Publication de Jean-François Staszak sur Liberation.fr]</ref>
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| cours = [[Economic geography]]
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*[[Economic geography: approaches and challenges]]
*[[The circuits and their geographies]]
*[[Trade and geographical advantages]]
*[[Geography of wealth and development]]
*[[Geography of the Film Industry]]
}}
The first mystery that has been explained is the unequal distribution of wealth. There are many words to say it that are usually euphemised. We will gladly talk about unequal development, we will oppose the countries of the North and the countries of the South or we will still talk about growth. We must remember the brutality of the facts, which is the question of poverty and wealth: there are poor countries and rich countries. This is a massive phenomenon that cannot be explained. Basically, we do not have a really satisfactory theory today that explains why we have rich countries and poor countries and that would explain why there are rich countries and why there are poor countries. We should try to denaturalize this representation and say to ourselves that it is a very strange and so bizarre thing that we cannot explain it. On the one hand, it is accepted as self-evident and on the other hand it cannot be explained and theorized.  
The first mystery that has been explained is the unequal distribution of wealth. There are many words to say it that are usually euphemised. We will gladly talk about unequal development, we will oppose the countries of the North and the countries of the South or we will still talk about growth. We must remember the brutality of the facts, which is the question of poverty and wealth: there are poor countries and rich countries. This is a massive phenomenon that cannot be explained. Basically, we do not have a really satisfactory theory today that explains why we have rich countries and poor countries and that would explain why there are rich countries and why there are poor countries. We should try to denaturalize this representation and say to ourselves that it is a very strange and so bizarre thing that we cannot explain it. On the one hand, it is accepted as self-evident and on the other hand it cannot be explained and theorized.  


What is difficult to understand is the unequal distribution of wealth in space. Not only is it incomprehensible, but it is also scandalous because the issue of space justice is a question of social justice. People are not mobile and born somewhere, which means that if there is an unequal distribution of wealth, we are condemned to poverty. This "curse" is linked to the fact that spaces are unequally rich. It is something strange, massive, that we cannot explain and scandalous. We are so used to this blatant injustice and mystery that we no longer see it by making it a central question in geography.
What is difficult to understand is the unequal distribution of wealth in space. Not only is it incomprehensible, but it is also scandalous because the issue of space justice is a question of social justice. People are not mobile and born somewhere, which means that if there is an unequal distribution of wealth, we are condemned to poverty. This "curse" is linked to the fact that spaces are unequally rich. It is something strange, massive, that we cannot explain and scandalous. We are so used to this blatant injustice and mystery that we no longer see it by making it a central question in geography.


On the theoretical level, the persistence of inequalities, despite globalization, mortgages Ricardo's theory and the theory of comparative advantage. If there is globalization, if more and more countries are opening more and more sectors to the economy then more and more countries should get richer. The question raised is that it is the relationship between spatial inequalities and globalization? As Ricardo predicts, does globalization result in the enrichment of all, leading to a reduction in inequality, and if not, why not? To reflect on the unequal distribution of wealth is to question the recent evolution of inequalities to see what impact globalization has had.{{Translations
On the theoretical level, the persistence of inequalities, despite globalization, mortgages Ricardo's theory and the theory of comparative advantage. If there is globalization, if more and more countries are opening more and more sectors to the economy then more and more countries should get richer. The question raised is that it is the relationship between spatial inequalities and globalization? As Ricardo predicts, does globalization result in the enrichment of all, leading to a reduction in inequality, and if not, why not? To reflect on the unequal distribution of wealth is to question the recent evolution of inequalities to see what impact globalization has had.
 
{{Translations
| fr = Géographie de la richesse et du développement
| fr = Géographie de la richesse et du développement
| es = Geografía de la riqueza y del Desarrollo
| it = Geografia della ricchezza e dello sviluppo
}}
}}


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== The scales of inequality ==
== The scales of inequality ==


La tâche de la géographie serait à deux niveaux : d'une part, expliquer pourquoi ça ne se passe pas de la même façon à toutes les échelles et ensuiterendre compte des phénomènes d'organisation de l'espace à ces différences échelles. Il y aurait de grandes deux grandes hypothèses :
The task of geography would be on two levels: on the one hand, to explain why it does not happen in the same way at all scales and then to take into account the phenomena of organization of space at these differences scales. There would be two main hypotheses:


La première consisterait à dire que ce qui explique les résultats ne sont peut-être pas des processus économiques en tant que tels, mais des processus politiques de compensation qui serait l'œuvre. L'idée étant qu’il y aurait dans la nature de la géographie de l'espace le fait d’être marqué par de très forts contrastes de développement et que ceux-ci seraient compensés à certaines échelles, mais pas à d'autres. Il est possible d’envisager que si le marché, par exemple, produit des égalités localement, d'autres systèmes peuvent apparaître comme des systèmes de don contre don ou des systèmes de redistribution qui vont pallier les inégalités mises en place par celui-ci. Il y aurait des circulations de richesses qui viendraient par une sorte d'appel du vide changer les inégalités mises en place par l'économie. À titre d'exemple, dans le cadre de la redistribution, il faut qu'il y ait une autorité en imaginant une autorité qui soit impliquée dans le respect de la justice sociale et de la justice spatiale qui voudrait que toutes les parties du territoire qui sont sous sa coupe bénéficient d'une situation égale. On peut imaginer, par exemple, qu’un État tienne à ce que toutes les régions qu’il compose soient traitées sur le même pied, sur le plan économique, c'est-à-dire qu’il y ait autant d'hôpitaux, autant d'universités et autant de casernes de pompiers, etc. alors que les ressources de chacune de ces régions ne le permettent pas nécessairement. On ne peut pas admettre que dans certaines régions, la sécurité soit moins sûre et l’éducation soit moins bonne ou que la santé soit moins bien traitée. L’État va intervenir en ponctionnant la richesse dans les régions où il y a beaucoup de revenus et va transférer ces sommes pour les investir dans les zones à bas revenus. Par exemple, beaucoup d'argent est dégagé à Genève et à Zurich et au lieu de construire des hôpitaux de plus à Genève et Zurich où déjà l'offre médicale est excellente, on va mettre ces hôpitaux dans le Tessin là où les revenus sont moins importants. On opère un transfert.
The first would be to say that what explains the results may not be economic processes as such, but political processes of compensation that would be at work. The idea being that there would be in the nature of the geography of space the fact of being marked by very strong contrasts of development and that these would be compensated at certain scales, but not at others. It is possible to envisage that if the market, for example, produces local equality, other systems may appear as donation-for-gift systems or redistribution systems that will compensate for the inequalities set up by it. There would be flows of wealth that would come through a sort of call from the void to change the inequalities created by the economy. For example, in the context of redistribution, there must be an authority that imagines an authority that is involved in the respect of social justice and spatial justice that would like all parts of the territory under its control to benefit from an equal situation. We can imagine, for example, that a state would want all the regions it comprises to be treated on the same economic footing, in other words, that there are as many hospitals, as many universities and as many fire stations, etc., even though the resources of each of these regions do not necessarily allow it. We cannot accept that in certain regions, safety is less secure and education is less good or health is treated less well. The State will intervene by taking wealth in regions where there is a lot of income and will transfer this money to invest in low-income areas. For example, a lot of money is being made available in Geneva and Zurich and instead of building more hospitals in Geneva and Zurich, where the medical supply is already excellent, we are going to put these hospitals in Ticino where the income is less important. We're operating a transfer.


Ces transferts de richesses peuvent venir compenser les inégalités spatiales. Idem à l'échelle de l'Europe où il y a des régions très riches et des régions pauvres. Au niveau de l'Union européenne, il y a des procédures qui opèrent des transferts de richesses des régions riches vers les régions pauvres sous la forme de prélèvement d'un côté avec les impôts et les taxes et sous la forme de subventions de l'autre avec des investissements, mais aussi des aides. On pourrait donc imaginer en fonction de cette hypothèse que les échelles où on observe le moins d'inégalité seraient en fait les échelles où il y a les meilleurs circuits de compensation. Ce qu'il faut expliquer ce n'est pas les espaces où les richesses sont inégales, mais ce qu’il fautexpliquer sont les espaces où il n'y a pas beaucoup d'inégalités. Ce qu'il faudrait expliquer est moins l'inégalité que l'égalité et se poser la question à quel niveau et comment les systèmes de compensation des inégalités spatiales sont-ils les plus efficaces. Par exemple, est-ce qu’à l'échelle de vie, est-ce qu'il existe de bons systèmes de compensation de l'inégalité spatiale ? La question est une question de nature politique. Elle porte sur deux points. Le premier est sur l'existence de ces autorités, il n’y a pas d'autorité à l’échelle mondiale par exemple. Deuxièmement, les partis pris à savoir les choix idéologiques, politiques et économiques des autorités. Est-ce que, par exemple, pour une ville comme Genève, la question des inégalités de richesses entre les quartiers n'est pas une priorité ? À l'échelle d'une région, cela est considéré comme scandaleux. Pourquoi la justice sociale et spatiale ne fonctionne pas de la même façon à toutes les échelles ? L'idée que l'on peut résoudre des problèmes de justice raciale à travers la justice spatiale n'est pas évidente non plus. L'idée que la solution pour un problème sociale a une solution spatiale ne va pas de soi.
These wealth transfers can compensate for spatial inequalities. The same applies to Europe, where there are very rich regions and poor regions. At European Union level, there are procedures which transfer wealth from rich regions to poor regions in the form of levies on the one hand with taxes and charges and subsidies on the other hand with investments, but also with aid. One could therefore imagine based on this hypothesis that the scales with the least inequality would in fact be the scales with the best compensation circuits. What needs to be explained is not the spaces where wealth is unequal, but what it fails to explain are the spaces where there is not much inequality. What should be explained is less inequality than equality and the question of at what level and how spatial inequality compensation systems are most effective. For example, at the life scale, are there good systems for compensating for spatial inequality? The issue is a political one. It deals with two points. The first is on the existence of these authorities, there is no global authority for example. Second, the biases taken in knowing the ideological, political and economic choices of the authorities. For a city like Geneva, for example, isn't the issue of inequalities in wealth between neighbourhoods a priority? On a regional scale, this is considered scandalous. Why does social and spatial justice not work in the same way at all scales? The idea that problems of racial justice can be solved through spatial justice is not obvious either. The idea that the solution to a social problem has a spatial solution is not self-evident.


Un problème français et celui des « grands ensembles ». Depuis longtemps, on considère que pour résoudre le problème des « grands ensembles », des cités et des banlieues, on considère que la solution est entre les mains des urbanistes qui doivent trouver des solutions urbaines avec de nouveaux dessins de bâtiments, des solutions architecturales. Ce n’est pas évident. Il y a d'autres questions à poser en rapport avec le postcolonial, en rapport avec la place des communautés en France, en rapport avec l'intégration des jeunes générations qui ne sont pas des questions urbaines. Il faut bien faire la différence entre la justice sociale et la justice spatiale, mais sans oublier que parfois les deux fonctionnent ensemble. Si vous considérez séparer la situation israélo-palestinienne, cela est sûr que c'est une situation qu’on ne peut régler si on ne la règle pas d'abord sur le plan spatial. Cela ne veut pas dire que c’est le seul problème. Toutes les inégalités spatiales de redistribution des richesses ne sont pas forcément un problème social. Ce n'est pas forcément scandaleux.
A French problem is that of "large ensembles". For a long time, it has been considered that to solve the problem of "large complexes", cities and suburbs, the solution is in the hands of urban planners who must find urban solutions with new building designs, architectural solutions. It's not obvious. There are other questions to ask in relation to the postcolonial period, in relation to the place of communities in France, in relation to the integration of the younger generations which are not urban issues. Social justice and spatial justice must be distinguished, but sometimes the two work together. If you consider separating the Israeli-Palestinian situation, it is clear that it is a situation that cannot be resolved if it is not first resolved spatially. That doesn't mean it's the only problem. Not all spatial inequalities in the redistribution of wealth are necessarily a social problem. It is not necessarily scandalous.


À ces différentes échelles, on voit que la justice sociale et que la justice spatiale ne se superposent pas tout à fait. En raison de cela, il est logique de la part des collectivités locales en fonction de l’échelle à laquelle on se place, de penser qu’il n'est pas toujours nécessaire de compenser les hétérogénéités spatiales de richesses. Il y a des échelles auxquels il est absolument indispensable et puis d'autres où cela ne l’est pas. La capacité d'une collectivité à compenser l'inégale répartition des richesses est fonction de deux critères :
At these different scales, we see that social justice and spatial justice do not quite overlap. Because of this, it is logical for local communities, depending on the scale at which they are placed, to think that it is not always necessary to compensate for spatial heterogeneities of wealth. There are scales to which it is absolutely indispensable and then others where it is not. A community's ability to compensate for unequal distribution of wealth depends on two criteria:
* is there authority on this scale?
* if such an authority exists, does it consider it legitimate and a priority to settle this heterogeneity?
It seems quite obvious that the weakness of regional inequalities within Europe is one of the effects of European economic policy.


-       est-ce qu'il existe une autorité à cette échelle ;
In Germany, before the fall of the Berlin Wall, before 1989, there was obviously a very strong contrast of wealth between East Germany, the GDR of communist obedience and the FRG allied to capitalism. One had experienced a good level of development and the other not with a large difference in GDP. At the time, it would have been unthinkable to transfer wealth between the West and the East to bring the two to the same level. There was no community between East and West Germany and this lack of community made it impossible to make compensation in the form of transfers in a redistribution circuit between East and West Germany. In 1989, the wall fell to the great general surprise. A few years later, the two German states became one, and so at that time, of course, a community was formed. This community, which makes all Germans feel that they belong to the same legitimate nation, whether from the East or the West, generates transfers. At this time, transfers will be initiated so that the level of wealth transfer between East and West Germany is now low. We didn't totally catch up, but there was a very strong catch up. Caricaturally, West Germans paid a lot of taxes to finance East Germany's catch-up. They considered it "normal" because it made sense for their national community to do so. It worked less with Greece, because it was less obvious to convince the Germans today to do what they had done for Eastern Europe to do for Greece because the sense of community does not exist.


-      si cette autorité existe, est-ce qu'elle considère que cela est légitime et prioritaire de régler cette hétérogénéité.
It is very clear how issues of community and authority play out at some scales and not at others. The weakness of inequalities between the regions of Switzerland against the regions of France can of course be explained by the role of the two governments in their planning policies to succeed in limiting immigrants.


Il semble assez évident que la faiblesse des inégalités régionales au sein de l'Europe est un des effets de la politique économique européenne.
The only explanation given for inequalities at first is that wealth accumulation is due to certain causes and that these causes act differently according to location or that development implies resources and that these resources are unequally distributed in space. The problem is reported further on. To put it very caricaturally, one example is that what allows development is the temperate climate. As a result, this factor explains the difference in wealth between the countries of the South and the countries of the North. It would be necessary to find a factor of resources that would explain the development and that would be located precisely where the development took place is absent from the places where the development did not take place. The heterogeneity of the distribution of wealth is linked to an unequal distribution of these explanatory factors.


En Allemagne, avant la chute du mur de Berlin, avant 1989, il y avait évidemment un contraste de richesses très fort entre l'Allemagne de l'Est, la RDA d'obédience communiste et la RFA alliée du capitalisme. L’une avait connu un bon niveau de développement et l'autre non avec une grosse différence de PIB. À l'époque, il aurait été impensable d'effectuer un transfert de richesses entre l'Ouest et l’Est pour que les deux arrivent au même niveau. Il n'y avait pas de communauté entre l'Allemagne de l'Est et l'Allemagne de l'Ouest et cette absence de communauté faisait qu'il était impossible de faire des compensations sous forme de transferts dans le cadre d’un circuit de redistribution entre l'Allemagne de l'Est et l'Allemagne de l'Ouest. En 1989, le mur tombe à la grande surprise générale. Quelques années plus tard, les deux Allemagne n'en sont plus qu'une et donc à ce moment-là, bien sûr, une communauté se forme. Cette communauté qui fait que tous les allemands se sentent qu’il soit de l'Est ou de l’Ouest appartenir à la même nation légitime engendre des transferts. À ce moment, des transferts vont être initiés si bien que le niveau de transfert de richesses entre l'Allemagne de l'Est et l’Allemagne de l'Ouest est aujourd'hui faible. On n'a pas totalement rattrapé le niveau, mais il y a eu un rattrapage très fort. De façon caricaturale, les allemands de l'Ouest ont payé beaucoup d'impôts pour financer le rattrapage de l’Allemagne de l’Est. Ils ont considéré comme « normal » parce que c'était logique de le faire pour leur communauté nationale. Cela a moins marché avec la Grèce, car il était moins évident de réussir à convaincre les allemands aujourd'hui de faire ce qu'ils avaient fait pour l'Europe de l’Est de le faire pour la Grèce parce que le sentiment de communauté n'existe pas.
The third hypothesis is the idea that diffuse wealth, that there are contagion effects and that this diffusion is hindered by the obstacle of distance. This could explain why fireplaces develop, fireplaces of capital accumulation, instead of spreading everywhere in space in the image of a pocket which would contain balls which one would open on a waxed table and which would leave in all directions. This pocket of marbles that we open, falls as on a sandy ground and remains in the same place. This explanation is not at all the same as thinking that it is the terrain itself that has a different potential for log formation. The marbles all fall in the same place and will not diffuse in the same way. We can also imagine that it is the gutter system in the ground that causes the logs to be channelled in one direction and not the other.


On voit très bien comment les questions de communauté et d'autorité jouent à certaines échelles et pas à d'autres. La faiblesse d'inégalités entre les régions de la Suisse contre les régions de la France s'explique bien sûre par le rôle des deux gouvernements dans ses politiques d'aménagement pour réussir à limiter les immigrés.
If the first explanation is a compensation system, the second explanation is the property of space. These properties of space would be of a different nature:
*the heterogeneity of space: resources and causes are not distributed in the same way ;
*Opacity: that is, the brake that space is heterogeneously, isotropically, the brake that it exerts on the movement of wealth.


La seule explication donnée aux inégalités dans un premier temps consiste à dire que l'accumulation de richesses procède de certaines causes et que ces causes agissent différemment selon le lieu ou que le développement suppose des ressources et que ces ressources sont inégalement distribuées dans l'espace. Le problème est reporté plus loin. Pour le dire de façon très caricaturale, un exemple est que ce qui permet le développement est le climat tempéré. Du coup, on explique par ce facteur la différence de richesses entre les pays du Sud et les pays du Nord. Il faudrait trouver un facteur de ressources qui permettrait d'expliquer le développement et qui seraient localisé là où précisément le développement a eu lieu est absente des endroits où le développement n'a pas eu lieu. L'hétérogénéité de la répartition des richesses serait liée à une inégale distribution de ces facteurs explicatifs.
= Explanatory factors =


La troisième hypothèse est l'idée que la richesse diffuse, qu’il y a des effets de contagions et que cette diffusion est freinée par l'obstacle de la distance. Cela pourrait expliquer pourquoi des foyers se développent, des foyers d'accumulation du capital, au lieu de se diffuser partout dans l'espace à l'image d'une poche qui contiendrait des billes qu'on ouvrirait sur une table cirée et qui partirait dans tous les sens. Cette poche de billes qu’on ouvre, tombe comme sur un terrain sablonneux et reste au même endroit. Cette explication n’est pas du tout la même que de se dire que c’est le terrain lui-même qui présente un potentiel différent pour la formation de billes. Les billes tombent toutes au même endroit et ne vont pas se diffuser de la même façon. On peut imaginer aussi que c’est le système de rigole dans le terrain qui fait que les billes sont canalisées dans un sens et pas dans l'autre.
We must come back to an opposition already set up previously on zero-sum, positive and negative games. It is necessary to return to these three ways of considering international exchanges and to see to what extent they lend themselves to different explanations of the contrasts of wealth in space.


Si la première explication est un système de compensation, la deuxième explication est la propriété de l'espace. Ces propriétés de l'espace seraient de nature différente :
== Trading as a zero-sum game ==
*l'hétérogénéité de l'espace : les ressources et les causes ne sont pas distribuées de la même façon ;
*l’opacité : c'est-à-dire, le frein que l'espace est de façon hétérogène, de façon isotropiques, le frein qu’il fait exercer sur le déplacement notamment des richesses.


= Facteurs explicatifs =
First, there is the idea of international trade as a zero-sum game which is that international trade does not create wealth. If international trade does not create wealth, or even destroy it, the enrichment of some is only the counterpart of the impoverishment of others. In other words, everything boils down to the circulation of wealth. Rich countries are countries that manage to capture wealth during their circulation and poor countries do not. We are in the context of exogenous explanations to development, that is, explanations are external to the country concerned. A country is not rich because it has wealth or resources, it is rich because it has managed to capture those of others. Such a country is poor because its resources and wealth have been plundered and captured. Thus, the enrichment of a given area depends on the ability of the society concerned to be part of an economy, an economic circuit and to capture the wealth that passes through this circuit, but also on its ability to prevent others from doing the same. This rather negative view of international trade had been theorized by mercantilists: trade enriches no one, but just redistributes wealth. If we want to get rich in international trade, we must export as much as possible and import nothing.


Il faut revenir sur une opposition déjà mise en place précédemment sur les jeux à somme nulle, positive et négative. Il faut revenir sur ces trois façons de considérer les échanges internationaux et de voir dans quelle mesure ils se prêtent à des explications différentes des contrastes de richesses dans l’espace.
Marxist, imperialist, terms of trade, new national division of labour and alterglobalization theories have in common the idea that international trade is something to be wary of because of this capture. For all these theories, wealth accumulation is linked to captures that are exogenous sources. The enrichment first of England, then of the United States and Europe, and finally of Japan would be linked to the way in which these spaces, one after the other, drained wealth from London, Paris, New York, etc. into their immediate environment, then quickly on a world scale. This is something that seems visible when one visits these cities, all the money was produced there. This is even more visible in London where the imperial dimension is evident, it shows that London is an Empire capital through the nature of the economic activities that were important and also through the urban setting. An accumulation of wealth that occurred in London results from the fact that, first the British crown and then the City, managed to drag wealth that came from all over the world and of course this is linked to the British Empire. We cannot help thinking that this accumulation of wealth in London is there to counterbalance the things that have disappeared, the gaps and emptiness in the countries that have been exploited.


== Les échanges comme jeu à somme nulle ==
The idea of the circulation of wealth is that the accumulation of wealth in some places is linked to the fact that it was looted elsewhere. This idea also makes sense at specific moments in history when we see the mines of South America being emptied and the coffers of the great aristocrats or the great kings of Europe, Spain and Portugal being filled. There is also much talk of looting economy when natural resources are treated in this way. This is what the conquistadors did, they arrive in Lima, in Mexico City plundering the wealth and then repatriate all the profit to their country of origin. What we learn from alterglobalist theories, imperialist theory or the theory of the new international division of labour is that there are less clear hidden forms of this kind of exploitation today. From the moment we accept this idea, the solution to fight against wealth gaps is not to participate in international trade, but to refuse to participate, especially if we are poor.


Premièrement, il y a l'idée d'un commerce international comme étant un jeu à somme nulle qui est que le commerce international ne crée pas de richesses. Si le commerce international ne crée pas de richesse, voire, en détruit, l'enrichissement des uns n’est que le pendant de l'appauvrissement des autres. C’est-à-dire que tout se ramène à des phénomènes de circulation des richesses. Les pays riches sont des pays qui réussissent à capter les richesses lors de leur circulation et les pays pauvres n'y parviennent pas. On est dans le cadre d'explications exogènes au développement, c'est-à-dire que les explications sont extérieures au pays concerné. Tel pays n'est pas riche parce qu'il a des richesses ou bien des ressources, il est riche parce qu'il a réussi à capter celles des autres. Tel pays est pauvre parce que ses ressources et ses richesses ont été pillées et captées. Donc, l'enrichissement d'un espace donné tient à la capacité de la société concernée à s'inscrire dans une économie, dans un circuit économique et à capter les richesses qui passent dans ce circuit, mais également par sa capacité à empêcher les autres de faire de même. Cette vision assez négative du commerce international avait été théorisée par les mercantilistes : le commerce n’enrichit personne, mais redistribue juste les richesses. Si on veut s’enrichir dans le commerce international, il faut exporter le plus possible et ne rien importer.
It is a strange coincidence that the countries that have always pushed the most for international trade are the richest countries and that the countries that are reluctant to trade internationally are countries that face this competition and commercial aggressiveness. To withdraw from international trade, one must live in autarky or trade only with countries with which one is not in competition. The countries of the Comecon of the former economic community traded with "sister countries" in a form that is very reminiscent of giving for giving. This referred to the idea of the nobility of exchange between partners who are symbolically close. At the time, it was thought that if these countries opened up to the international market, their wealth would be plundered as part of the commercial exchange that would benefit the capitalist countries.


Les théories marxistes, impérialistes, des termes de l'échange, de la nouvelle division nationale du travail et altermondialiste ont en commun l'idée que le commerce international est quelque chose dont il faut se méfier à cause de cette captation. Pour toutes ces théories, l'accumulation de richesse est liée à des captations qui sont des sources exogènes. L'enrichissement d'abord de l'Angleterre ensuite des États-Unis et de l'Europe, enfin du Japon serait lié à la façon dont ces espaces, les uns après les autres, ont drainés dans leur environnement immédiat puis vite à l'échelle du monde des richesses qui sont venues s'accumuler à Londres, à Paris, à New York, etc. C’est quelque chose qui semble visible quand on visite ces villes, tout l'argent n'a été produit là. Cela est encore plus visible à Londres où la dimension impériale est évidente, cela se voit que Londres est une capitale d'Empire à travers la nature des activités économiques qui ont été importantes et également à travers le décor urbain. Une accumulation de richesses qui s'est opérée à Londres résulte du fait que, la couronne britannique d'abord et la City ensuite, ont réussi à traîner des richesses qui venaient du monde entier et bien sûr cela est lié à l’Empire britannique. On ne peut pas s'empêcher de se dire que cette accumulation de richesse à Londres est là pour contrepoint des choses qui ont disparu, des lacunes et du vide dans les pays qui ont été exploités.
The first solution is autarky, the second solution is to reserve trade for sister countries, a third solution is based on overprotectionism and an industrialization strategy by import substitution.


L’idée de la circulation de la richesse est que les accumulations de richesses dans certains endroits sont liées au fait que cela était pillé ailleurs. Cette idée fait sens également à des moments précis de l'histoire où on voit se vider les mines de l'Amérique du Sud et se remplir les coffres des grands aristocrates ou des grands rois d'Europe, d'Espagne et du Portugal. On parle aussi beaucoup d'économie de pillage quand les ressources naturelles sont traitées de cette façon. C'est ce qu'ont fait les conquistadors, ils arrivent à Lima, à Mexico pillant les richesses et puis rapatrient tout le profit dans leur pays d'origine. Ce que nous apprennent les théories altermondialistes, la théorie impérialiste ou celle de la nouvelle division internationale du travail est qu’il existe des formes moins claires dissimulées de ce genre d’exploitation aujourd'hui. À partir du moment où on accepte cette idée, la solution pour lutter contre les écarts de richesses est de ne pas participer au commerce international, mais de refuser d’y participer surtout si on est pauvres.
Import substitution industrialization strategies have been used extensively in Korea, for example. The idea is that because of increasing yields, the United States or Europe are able to offer relatively cheap, good quality cars on the Korean market. If Korea wants to start a car, it will do so at the start without much know-how and by producing a fairly small number of units in the first years. So the cars that the Koreans are going to produce are going to be cars of poor quality and expensive. Koreans will prefer cheap cars, which is a bad thing for Korean industry. This is what Krugman's model of locking in time and space provides comparative advantages. If it is not possible to develop the market because of unfair competition and increasing yields, it is necessary to leave the market, for example to ban the import of American cars. Then Koreans would buy expensive cars of poor quality. This is in effect subsidizing the auto industry by consumers. Instead of buying cheap American cars, they will buy expensive Korean cars. This blockade will be maintained for 10 years, after 10 years, the industry will have increased its production and the Koreans may have made progress and, at that time, they will be able to produce cars that will be as good and as cheap as Japanese cars or American cars. Only then can we open the market. The term industrialization through import substitution means that instead of importing, we will produce industrially to meet the demand that was previously met by imports. We must play on demand and this demand, instead of satisfying it through imports, we will satisfy it through local production. Space and product lifecycle locking refers to the issue of technological innovation. This means not only withdrawing from the market, but also withdrawing from international law in a certain way.


Étrange coïncidence que les pays qui ont toujours le plus poussé au commerce international sont les pays les plus riches et que les pays qui marquent des réticences face aux échanges internationaux sont des pays qui sont confrontés à cette concurrence et à cette agressivité commerciale. Pour se retirer du commerce international, il faut vivre en autarcie ou bien il ne faut échanger qu’avec des pays avec lesquels on n’est pas en concurrence. Les pays du Comecon de l'ancienne communauté économique échangeaient avec des « pays frères » sous une forme qui rappelle beaucoup celle du don contre don. Cela renvoyait à l’idée de la noblesse de l'échange entre des partenaires qui sont proches symboliquement. À l'époque, on pensait que si ces pays s'ouvraient au marché international, leurs richesses seraient pillées dans le cadre de l'échange marchand qui profiterait aux pays capitalistes.
The role of development aid in addressing spatial inequalities is a beautiful subject of debate. The solution would be to make, that the flow is reversed and to make a part. One of the big arguments against this is that development aid is a "bandage on a wooden leg". The perverse effects of development aid policies are indeed very significant. Perhaps the best way to lock someone in poverty is to lock them in charity.


La première solution est l’autarcie, la deuxième solution est de réserver l'échange à des pays frères, une troisième solution est fondée surprotectionnisme et sur une stratégie d'industrialisation par substitution aux importations.
From the moment when we think that inequalities in wealth are linked to the effects of capture to the fact that when an economic circuit opens, flows in this economy will succeed in monopolizing the wealth that passes with the direct consequence that in other poles there will be impoverishment. In this case, the explanation of inequalities in wealth is not economic, but political, i.e. the effects of concentration of inequalities of scale in space are explained by the concentration of powers and by effects of domination or effects of hegemony. Rich countries are countries that have had the power to monopolize the wealth that has circulated and poor countries are countries that have been looted. The map of development inequalities largely overlaps with that of colonial empires. Colonization is a past that has not passed, traces of which can still be seen today.


Les stratégies d'industrialisation par substitution aux importations ont beaucoup été employées en Corée par exemple. L'idée est qu’à cause des rendements croissants, les États-Unis ou l’Europe sont en mesure de proposer sur le marché coréen des voitures de bonne qualité relativement bon marché. Si la Corée veut se lancer automobile, elle va le faire au départ sans beaucoup de savoir-faire et en produisant un nombre d'unités les premières années assez réduit. Donc, les voitures que les coréens vont produire vont être des voitures de mauvaises qualité et chères. Les coréens vont préférer des voitures bon-marché, ce qui est une mauvaise chose pour l’industrie coréenne. C'est ce que prévoit le modèle de Krugman du verrouillage dans le temps et dans l'espace des avantages comparatifs. Si dans le cadre du marché, il n'est pas possible d’opérer son développement à cause de la concurrence déloyale et des rendements croissants, il faut ressortir du marché, il faut interdire par exemple l'importation des voitures américaines. Alors, les coréens achèteraient des voitures chères et de mauvaise qualité. Cela revient en fait à faire subventionner l'industrie automobile par les consommateurs. Plutôt que d'acheter des voitures américaines bon-marché, ils vont acheter des voitures coréennes chères. Ce blocus va être maintenu 10 années, au bout de 10 ans, l'industrie aura augmentée sa production et les coréens auront peut-être fait des progrès et, à ce moment, ils pourront produire des voitures qui seront aussi bonnes et aussi bon marché que les voitures japonaises ou les voitures américaines. Seulement à ce moment, on pourra ouvrir le marché. L'expression industrialisation par substitution aux importations veut dire qu’au lieu d'importer, on va produire industriellement pour répondre à cette demande qui était jusqu'alors satisfaite par les importations. Il faut jouer sur la demande et cette demande, au lieu de la satisfaire par des importations, on va la satisfaire par des productions locales. Le verrouillage de l’espace et du cycle de vie des produits renvoie à la question de l'innovation technologique. Cela suppose non seulement de se retirer du marché, mais cela suppose aussi de se retirer du droit international d’une certaine façon.
The poverty that is still rampant in these countries, it is a hypothesis envisaged, is also attributable to the people who live there. This is a point that has been theorized a lot. One often hears that an explanation for Africa's sinking into poverty and colonization, for it would be countries martyred by colonization through on the one hand the Atlantic slave trade, plundered natural wealth and then also an absurd fragmentation of the political space across colonial borders whose only purpose was to divide and conquer and from which it results only chaos and violence. At the same time, it is possible to say that this vision of things which consists in making the white man carry a burden which is not that of civilization, but that of colonial guilt still poses problem since it is once again to consider that, as ex-President Sarkozy said, the "black man" has not yet entered history enough. Third worldist claims that responsibility is the legacy of colonization once again deprive Africans of their destiny in the sense that they are even denied responsibility for their present. Many other analyses will on the contrary show the responsibility of African elites in the flight of capital, in the refusal to invest, in nepotism, in corruption and the role and their responsibility in these countries for 50 years have still not come out their situation.


Le rôle de l'aide au développement dans le traitement des inégalités spatiales est un beau sujet de débats. La solution ce serait de rendre, que le flux s’inverse et de rendre une partie. Un des gros arguments contre est que l'aide au développement est un « pansement sur une jambe de bois ». Les effets pervers des politiques d'aide au développement sont effectivement très importants. Peut-être que le meilleur moyen d'enfermer quelqu'un dans sa pauvreté est de l’enfermer dans la charité.
From the moment we are in this paradigm, which is a rather negative paradigm of looting effects, the only solutions are to fight or try to compensate for it. That is not the dominant ideology. It is the ideology of many "left" intellectuals, it is also the ideology of many alterglobalization movements, but it is not the ideology of the major international organizations that decide like the WTO, the World Bank and the major States that decide international agreements. There are very few countries that have led this kind of thinking.


À partir du moment où on pense que les inégalités de richesses sont liées à des effets de captations au fait que quand un circuit économique qui s’ouvre, des flux dans cette économie vont réussir à accaparer les richesses qui passent avec pour conséquence directe que dans d'autres pôles il va y avoir un appauvrissement. Dans ce cas, l'explication des inégalités de richesses n'est pas d’ordre économique, mais d’ordre politique, c'est-à-dire que les effets de concentration d’inégalités d'échelle dans l'espace s'expliquent par la concentration des pouvoirs et par des effets de domination ou bien des effets d'hégémonie. Les pays riches sont des pays qui ont eu le pouvoir d'accaparer les richesses qui circulait et les pays pauvres sont des pays qui ont été pillés. La carte des inégalités de développement recoupe largement celle des empires coloniaux. La colonisation est un passé qui n'est pas passé dont on voit encore les traces encore aujourd'hui.
== Exchanges as a positive sum game ==


La pauvreté qui sévit encore en nombre dans ces pays, c’est une hypothèse envisagée, est également imputable aux gens qui y vivent. C'est un point qui a été beaucoup théorisé. On entend souvent dire qu’une explication pour lesquelles l’Afrique s’est enfoncée dans la pauvreté et la colonisation, car ce serait des pays martyrisés par la colonisation à travers d’un côté la traite atlantique, des richesses naturelles pillées et puis également une fragmentation absurde de l'espace politique à travers des frontières coloniales qui n'avaient pour but que de diviser pour mieux régner et dont il résulte que du chaos et de la violence. En même temps, il est possible de dire que cette vision des choses qui consiste à faire porter à l'homme blanc un fardeau qui n'est pas celui de la civilisation, mais celui de la culpabilité coloniale pose encore problème puisque c'est une fois de plus considérer que, comme le disait l'ex-président Sarkozy, l’« homme noir » n'est pas encore assez entré dans l'histoire. Les affirmations tiers-mondistes selon lesquels la responsabilité est l'héritage de la colonisation revient une fois de plus à priver les africains de leur destin dans le sens où on leur refuse même d'être responsable de leur présent. Beaucoup d’autres d'analyses vont au contraire montrer la responsabilité des élites africaines dans la fuite des capitaux, dans le refus d'investir, dans le népotisme, dans la corruption et le rôle et leur responsabilité dans ces pays depuis 50 ans ne sont toujours pas sortis leur situation.
The prevailing ideology is that of exchange as a positive sum game. It works like an ideology. We are in a frame of thought where exchange produces wealth. The exchange allows specialization and authorizes the production of wealth. This type of development is not exogenous, but endogenous. It is the capacity of certain countries to specialize and open up to trade, to enhance their comparative advantages or to implement their increasing returns.


À partir du moment où on est dans ce paradigme qui est un paradigme assez négatif des effets de pillage, les seules solutions sont de lutter ou tenter de le compenser. Ce n'est pas l'idéologie dominante. C’est l'idéologie de beaucoup d'intellectuels de « gauche », c’est également l’idéologie, aussi, de nombreux mouvements altermondialistes, mais ce n’est pas celle des grands organismes internationaux qui en décident comme celle l’OMC, de la Banque mondiale et des grands États qui décident des accords internationaux. Il y a très peu de pays qui ont porté à leur tête ce genre de raisonnement.
We are in the context of the deterministic explanation of development, which attempts to identify a map that would be ante-economic in order to explain the contrasts in economic development. Some countries had a capacity for development, a predisposition to development and then others did not. Once mapped, these predispositions will help us understand the resulting map of wealth accumulation. It must be clearly understood that, initially, if we follow Ricardo, it is not at all a question of mapping the comparative advantage since all countries have a comparative advantage. We should try to map the differential in the capacity of countries to exploit their comparative advantage since they all have one. While all countries, according to Ricardo, have a comparative advantage, this does not mean that they are equal and that they are all producers of wealth, development, added value and growth. What is interesting in this framework of thought is the idea that basically development, industrialization, wealth and growth are normal since everyone has a comparative advantage. What is abnormal and worth explaining is not wealth, but poverty. Consequently, we must not look into the history of the richest societies that have become richer, but we must look at what is preventing poor countries from becoming richer. This is reasoning in terms of blocking.


== Les échanges comme jeu à somme positive ==
Many of the economic theories of development and international trade will try to describe the blockages with more or less finesse. A very fashionable theory in the 1960s was Rostow's theory of growth gaps, which had formulated the "take-off theory". This theory is interesting historically. Rostow's idea was that he had looked carefully at the economic development of Europe, England and the United States and he had spotted that he had five successive stages in development. These stages were marked in the middle by an acceleration phase. If you look at the production figures, for example the prices, you could see warning signs just before the takeoff and see that the take-off phase had taken place. There is a phase of high stability with much wealth and a high growth rate being the mode of economic development. Every country will experience this type of economic development. It is a transitional model. The transition is very important in the history of western sciences and also in the history of social sciences. This is the truth of the demographic transition. Demographic indicators are, for example, the fact that the birth rate is starting to fall, that mortality is starting to fall and that it will take off. These theories are not deductive theories, but they are empirical theories based on the experience of observation, on what has happened, but which have been observed. The idea was that this model was universalist, that necessarily all countries would follow the same path, that demographic transition and economic growth would follow a steady path, a path that could only be taken in one way and in one direction. If South Korea wants to industrialize, it will have to do as England did in the 17th and 18th centuries. That is not how it happened. There is not just one model, there are several voices, but it is not necessarily inevitable. In other words, there is only growth, but growth is not inevitable. So the blockages wouldn't be a moment like for Rostow.


L'idéologie qui prévaut est celle de l'échange comme jeu à somme positive. Cela fonctionne comme une idéologie. On est dans un cadre de pensée ou l'échange produit la richesse. L'échange permet de la spécialisation et autorise la production de richesses. Ce type de développement n’est pas exogène, mais endogène. Il est de la capacité de certains pays à se spécialiser et à s'ouvrir sur les échanges, à valoriser leurs avantages comparatifs ou à mettre en place leurs rendements croissants.
Another interesting blocking theory put in place by Nurske is the vicious circle theory of poverty which is therefore much more based on a society in its capacity. A society that invests little is a society that produces little and makes little profit and locks itself into poverty. This idea explains a blockage in the vicious circles of poverty and the virtuous circles of wealth. There is the idea comparable to these two modes of being economic with a "low regime" which is poverty with its vicious logics and circles and then a "high regime" of wealth with its virtuous circles which makes it maintain itself, but no way to pass from one to the other. These theories make growth seem normal and basically seek to explain the lack of growth describing processes, but they do not really give the causes.


On est dans le cadre de l'explication déterministe du développement qui essaie d'identifier une carte qui serait comme ante-économique qui permettrait d'expliquer les contrastes de développement économique. Certains pays avaient une capacité au développement, une prédisposition au développement et puis d'autres non. Une fois cartographiées, ces prédispositions permettront de comprendre la carte qui en résulte à savoir celle des accumulations de richesse. Il faut bien comprendre que dans un premier temps, si on suit Ricardo, il ne s'agit pas du tout de cartographier l'avantage comparatif puisque tous les pays ont un avantage comparatif. On devrait essayer de cartographier le différentiel de capacité des pays à exploiter leur avantage comparatif puisqu’ils en ont tous un. Si tous les pays, selon Ricardo, ont un avantage comparatif, cela ne veut pas dire qu’ils se valent et qu’ils sont tous autant producteurs de richesses, de développement, de plus-values et de croissance. Ce qui est intéressant dans ce cadre de pensée est l'idée qu’au fond le développement, l'industrialisation, la richesse et la croissance sont normaux puisque chacun a un avantage comparatif. Ce qui est anormal et qui mérite d'être expliqué n’est pas la richesse, mais la pauvreté. En conséquence, il ne faut pas aller fouiller dans l'histoire des sociétés les plus riches et qui se sont enrichies, mais il faut aller voir ce qui empêche les pays pauvres de s’enrichir. Cela est raisonner en termes de blocage.
We have to go further. We went to look for three types of explanations:
*the first type is physical demographic determinism;
*the second type is social, historical and cultural explanations;
*the third type will return to Krugman are the increasing yields.


Beaucoup des théories économiques du développement et du commerce international vont essayer de décrire les blocages avec plus ou moins de finesse. Une théorie très à la mode dans les années 1960 était la théorie de Rostow qui réside dans les écarts à la croissance et qui avait formulé la « théorie du décollage ». Cette théorie est intéressante historiquement. L’idée de Rostow est qu’il avait regardé avec attention le développement économique de l’Europe, de l’Angleterre et des États-Unis et il avait repéré qu'il avait cinq étapes successives dans le développement. Ces étapes étaient marquées au milieu par une phase d'accélération. À regarder les chiffres de la production par exemple les prix, on pouvait voir des signes avant-coureurs juste avant le « takeoff » et voir que la phase de décollage a bien eu lieu. Il y a une phase de stabilité haute avec beaucoup de richesses et un taux de croissance élevé étant le mode de développement économique. Tout pays va connaître ce type de développement économique. C’est un modèle de transition. La transition est très importante dans l'histoire des sciences occidentales et aussi dans le l’histoire des sciences-sociales. C'est la vérité de la transition démographique. Les indices démographiques sont, par exemple le fait que la natalité commence à baisser, que la mortalité commence à diminuer et que ça va décoller. Ces théories ne sont pas des théories déductives, mais ce sont des théories empiriques fondées sur l'expérience de l'observation, sur ce qui s'est passé, mais qu’on a pu observer. L'idée était que ce modèle était universaliste, que nécessairement tous les pays allaient suivre la même route, que la transition démographique et la croissance économique suit un chemin régulier, une route qu’on pouvait emprunter que d'une façon et dans un sens. Si la Corée du Sud veut s’industrialiser, elle va devoir faire comme l’Angleterre au XVIIème siècle et au XVIIIème siècle. Cela ne s’est pas passé comme cela. Il n'y a pas qu'un seul modèle, il y a plusieurs voix, mais ce n’est pas forcement une fatalité. En d’autres termes, il n'y apas qu'une croissance, mais la croissance n’est pas une fatalité. Donc, les blocages ne seraient pas un moment comme pour Rostow.
=== Natural environments ===


Une autre théorie du blocage intéressante mise en place par Nurske est la théorie des cercles vicieux de la pauvreté qui est donc beaucoup plus basée sur une société dans sa capacité. Une société qui investit peu est une société qui produit peu et qui dégage peu de profits et qui s'enferme dans la pauvreté. Cette idée explique un blocage dans les cercles vicieux qui sont ceux de la pauvreté et des cercles vertueux qui sont ceux de la richesse. Il y a l’idée comparable à ces deux modes d'être économique avec un « régime bas » qui est la pauvreté avec ses logiques et ses cercles vicieux et puis un « régime haut » de la richesse avec ses cercles vertueux qui fait que ça s'entretient, mais pas de moyen de passer de l'un à l'autre. Ces théories font passer la croissance pour normale et cherchent à expliquer au fond l'absence de croissance décrivant des processus, mais elle n'en donne pas vraiment les causes.
There is the issue of the natural environment and the environment. If we were able to explain inequalities in resources and wealth through the natural environment, geographers would be very high up in the university hierarchy and this would be a very guilt-free discourse. The natural environment is not us, perhaps god and therefore human beings are not guilty of inequalities. This explanation is reassuring especially for the rich. No link has been established between this type of natural environment and then between wealth and poverty. These two phenomena have nothing to do with it. For centuries and millennia, this idea has had very different names. Among the Greeks, we also talked about climate theory, under Montesquieu and Bodin and then we talked about geographical determinism or environmental determinism. The idea was simple: human geography was explained by physical geography. There would be countries that have good natural resources and become rich and countries that have few natural resources and remain poor. This idea has been undermined quite recently since the 1960s and 1970s and not only by geographers.


Il faut aller plus loin. On est allé chercher trois types d'explications :
A first argument is that there are no natural resources. On the one hand, a resource meets a need and needs are socially constructed. The first question is: are there natural needs? A resource that corresponds to a social need is not really natural because it is only natural with respect to a specific need. This need is also linked to technological capabilities. In the context of technological change, some resources are becoming obsolete. It is always natural, but it is no longer resources. What determines a resource is social, economic, political and technological. There are no resources in which there is always culture, politics, economics and technology. In a way, oil is invented, it is not a natural resource. As long as someone had not invented the explosion engine, we would not know what to do with oil. It takes a very important technological convergence for oil to become an interesting resource. This convergence is not only economic and technological, but also cultural. What constitutes oil as a resource are societies. This argument is essential because it means that nothing is ever given in advance. Perhaps if we want to reverse the logic, we could say that the rich countries are countries that have succeeded in inventing their natural resources. To put it less provocatively, rich countries are countries that have successfully transformed elements of their environment into natural resources.
*le premier type est le déterminisme physique démographique ;
*le deuxième type est des explications sociales, historiques et culturelles ;
*le troisième type renverra à Krugman se sont les rendements croissants.


=== Les milieux naturels ===
The second point is that if there had been a link between natural resources, their exploitation, and enrichment, we could follow the accumulation of capital depending on where we operated a massive exploitation of this natural place. The richest regions would be the regions where natural resources have been exploited the most. The capital, the profit generated, the capital accumulated during the exploitation does not remain on the spot. The pioneer fronts, the mining regions, are places deserted by capital that has invested in large centres and capitals. For example, the wealth generated by the Brazilian pioneer fronts can be seen in San Paolo.


Il y a la question des milieux naturels et de l’environnement. Si on était capable d’expliquer les inégalités de ressources et de richesses par le milieu naturel, les géographes seraient très hauts placés dans la hiérarchie universitaire et ce serait un discours très déculpabilisant. Le milieu naturel n’est pas nous, peut-être dieu et donc les êtres humains ne sont pas coupables des inégalités. Cette explication est rassurante surtout pour les riches. On n'a pas établi de lien entre tel type de milieu naturel et puis entre la richesse et la pauvreté. Ce sont deux phénomènes qui n'ont rien à voir. Pendant des siècles et des millénaires, cette idée a porté des noms très différents. Chez les grecs, on parlait aussi de la théorie des climats, sous Montesquieu et Bodin et puis après on a parlé de déterminisme géographique ou de déterminisme environnemental. L'idée était simple qui était que la géographie humaine s'expliquait par la géographie physique. Il y aurait des pays qui ont des bonnes ressources naturelles et deviennent riches et des pays qui ont peu de ressources naturelles et qui restent pauvre. Cette idée a été battue en brèche assez récemment à partir des années 1960 et 1970 et pas seulement par les géographes.
The third reason for doubting this link between natural resources and wealth is the lack of correlation between the two. There are too many counter-examples. There are many examples of countries that are very rich in natural resources and have not seen any economic take-off. On the other hand, there are countries with very few and very few natural resources that have experienced significant development. The exception is pension savings. It cannot be denied, for example, that the wealth of the Gulf countries is linked to oil. The choices Dubai is making in Qatar show that they are thinking about post-oil and trying to transform their economy into something other than a rent. Natural resources do not last. It is not natural resources that we will understand the contrasts of wealth and development.


Un premier argument est qu’il n'y a pas de ressources naturelles. D'une part, une ressource répond à un besoin et les besoins sont socialement construits. La première question est : est-ce qu'il existe des besoins naturels ? Une ressource qui correspond à un besoin social n'est pas vraiment naturelle parce qu’elle ne l'est qu‘à l’égard d’un besoin déterminé. Ce besoin est lié également à des capacités technologiques. Dans le cadre de mutations technologiques, certaines ressources deviennent obsolètes. Cela est toujours naturel, mais ce n’est plus des ressources. Ce qui détermine une ressource est social, économique, politique et technologique. Il n’y a pas de ressources dans lesquelles il y a toujours du culturel, du politique, de l'économie et du technologique. En quelque sorte, le pétrole s'invente, ce n'est pas une ressource naturelle. Tant que quelqu’un n’avait inventé le moteur explosion, on ne saurait pas quoi faire du pétrole. Il faut une convergence technologique très importante pour que le pétrole devienne intéressant à savoir une ressource. Cette convergence n’est pas seulement économique et technologique, mais elle est aussi culturelle. Ce qui constitue le pétrole comme ressource sont les sociétés. Cet argument est essentiel parce que cela signifie que rien n'est jamais donné d'avance. Peut-être que si on veut renverser la logique, on pourrait dire que les pays riches sont des pays qui ont réussi à inventer leurs ressources naturelles. Pour le dire de façon moins provocatrice, des pays riches sont des pays qui ont réussi à transformer les éléments de leur environnement en ressources naturelles.
The other side is the issue of constraints, the issue of risks and the issue of hostile environments. There are hostile, difficult, complicated and other environments that are more conducive to human development. There are hostile environments and epidemiological environments that are less hostile. If a country has malaria, cyclone, earthquake, volcano, 40° in the shade, humidity at 90%, the constraints are such and the environment so much so that it is not possible. It is a very old idea and it is reversible. The reason why we developed in temperate environment is difficult because we have seasons that change, sometimes it is cold, sometimes it is hot, the earth does not nourish easily, it is necessary to develop a civilization, a technology and a hierarchical society. The deterministic fact works both ways, but logically it is not to his credit. This is not to its credit either, and it always comes to the same conclusion, that the intertropical zone is condemned to poverty, underdevelopment and will never come out of the "cave age"; on the other hand, the temperate zone is condemned to civilization, progress, development and wealth. This idea can be found in the theory of climates, especially among the Greeks in 500 BC. The perception of our environment is linked to our culture and our expectations.


Le deuxième point est que si il y avait eu lien entre les ressources naturelles, leur exploitation, et l'enrichissement, on pourrait suivre l'accumulation du capital selon les lieux où on a opéré une exploitation massive de ce lieu naturel. Les régions les plus riches seraient les régions où on a le plus exploité les richesses naturelles. Le capital, le profit dégagé, le capital accumulé lors de l’exploitation ne reste pas sur place. Les fronts pionniers, les régions minières sont des lieux désertés par les capitaux qui sont allés s'investir dans des grands centres et des grandes capitales. Par exemple, la richesse dégagée par les fronts pionniers brésiliens se voit à San Paolo.
If there is on the one hand the question of natural resources, on the other hand there is the question of constraints. The idea of constraints was often evoked as for resources. An attempt was made to explain that countries with many natural constraints were unable to develop or that, on the contrary, countries without natural constraints were unable to develop. The first is the idea that there are hostile environments or environments at risk, since the inhospitable nature of an environment is always in relation to certain types of life and therefore in relation to a point of view that is often external to it.


La troisième raison pour douter de ce lien entre les ressources naturelles et la richesse est à l'absence de corrélation entre les deux. Il y a trop de contre-exemples. Il y a plein d'exemples de pays très richement dotés en ressources naturelles et qui n'ont connu aucun décollage économique. En revanche, il y a des pays très peu et très mal dotés en ressources naturelles qui ont connu un développement important. L'exception est les économies de rente. On ne peut nier par exemple que la richesse des pays du golfe est liée au pétrole. Les choix que sont en train de faire Dubaï au Qatar montrent bien qu'ils pensent à l’après-pétrole et qu'ils essaient de transformer leur économie en quelque chose qui se fonde sur autre chose que la rente. Les ressources naturelles ne durent pas. Ce n’est pas aux ressources naturelles que l’on va comprendre les contrastes de richesse et de développement.
Just as there are no natural resources, there are no natural hazards either. A purely natural risk can never present a danger. One of the major problems related to natural hazards are hygiene issues or epidemics that occur after major disasters. These epidemics or hygiene problems are often linked to human concentrations. Hazard is nature in expression, but a society's vulnerability to it is always a social, historical, economic and political construct. What in geography is called a "risk" is the conjunction of hazard and vulnerability. To reduce risk, not much can be done about hazards, but much can be done about vulnerability reduction. On the one hand, we proclaim the omnipotence of nature and submission to it and, at the same time, we find it difficult to accept the idea that hazard can have causes that are not causes that are not human. Natural hazards do not exist as such and are not an obstacle to development or an explanation for the contrast in wealth.


L’autre versant est la question des contraintes, la question des risques et la question des milieux hostiles. Il y a des milieux hostiles, difficiles, compliqués et d'autres qui sont plus propices au développement humain. Il y a des milieux hostiles et des milieux épidémiologies qui sont moins hostiles. Si un pays a la malaria, le cyclone, le tremblement de terre, le volcan, 40° à l'ombre, humidité à 90%, les contraintes sont telles et le milieu tellement aussi que ce n’est pas possible. C’est une idée très ancienne et elle est réversible. La raison pour laquelle ont s ‘est développé en milieu tempéré est difficile parce qu’on a des saisons qui changent, parfois il fait froid, parfois il fait chaud, la terre ne nourrit pas facilement, il faut développer une civilisation, une technologie et une société hiérarchisée. Le fait déterministe marche dans les deux sens, mais sur le plan logique n’est pas à porter à son crédit. Ce qui n'est pas à porter à son crédit non plus et qu’il aboutit toujours à la même conclusion, c'est-à-dire au fait que la zone intertropicale est condamnée à la pauvreté, au sous-développement et ne sortira jamais de l’« âge des cavernes » et ; en revanche, la zone tempérée est condamnée à la civilisation, au progrès, au développement et à la richesse. On retrouve cette idée dans la théorie des climats notamment chez les grecs en -500 avant Jésus-Christ. Laperception de notre environnement est liée à notre culture et à nos attentes.
One idea is that every society builds its economic development on the basis of consumption of resources that are natural in the sense that they are not manufactured. These natural resources are essential for the continuation of production and if production destroys them, this poses a problem in the long run. Much work is focused on the past and has attempted to explain a number of major civilizational disasters and the disappearance of some civilizations by resource management problems. Among the two great examples that can be studied, he has the disappearance of Mayan civilization. When the conquistadors arrived in Central America, the Maya had already disappeared. Another example is that of Easter Island, which was settled late as part of the great migrations of Polynesian peoples. It is very famous by the giant statues which were erected, but also by the fact that these statues testify of a rather powerful and prosperous civilization, of a strong density on the island whereas at the time when the first explorers reached it at the XVIIIème century, they found a society where reigned the misery, the famine and with very weak densities. Obviously, the island, at one time was very populated and with a high level of technology as well as a high level of production and consumption and then when the European explorers arrived, this civilization had almost disappeared without having any idea of how well these colossuses had been carved, in the quarries, transported then and then erected.


S’il y a d'un côté la question des ressources naturelles, d'un autre côté il y a celle des contraintes. L’idée des contraintes a souvent été évoquée comme pour les ressources. On a pu essayer d'expliquer que les pays qui avaient beaucoup de contraintes naturelles n'arrivaient pas à se développer ou bien qu'au contraire, les pays où il n’y avait pas de contraintes naturelles n'arrivaient pas à se développer. Le premier constate à relativiser voir à démentir est l'idée qu'il existerait des milieux hostiles ou des milieux à risque puisque le caractère inhospitalier d'un milieu ne se fait toujours que par rapport à certains genres de vie et donc par rapport à un point de vue qui lui est souvent extérieur.
One of the theories is that of Diamond which is that of ecological catastrophe. His theory is that the Mayan economy and society as well as the economy and society at Polynesian Easter Island were both on over-exploitation of a fragile environment. Easter Island had a dense forest cover and the inhabitants of Easter Island gradually deforested the whole island in a few centuries because they needed wood to transport the famous colossus. Once the island was completely deforested, the result was soil erosion, a change in ecosystems that had catastrophic consequences. According to Diamon, many companies have disappeared because they have failed to manage their resources. Instead of preserving their resources as part of a concern for sustainability, they have instead destroyed their resources in an attitude that is suicidal.


Tout comme il n'existe pas de ressources naturelles, il n'y a pas non plus de risques naturels. Jamais un risque purement naturel ne peut présenter de danger. Un des gros problèmes liés aux risques naturels sont des questions d'hygiène ou les épidémies qui se déclenchent après les grandes catastrophes. Ces épidémies ou ces problèmes d'hygiène sont souvent liés à des concentrations humaines. L'aléa est la nature dans les expressions, en revanche, la vulnérabilité d’une société à cet aléa est toujours une construction sociale, historique, économique et politique. Ce qu'on appelle en géographie un « risque » est la conjonction d'un aléa et d’une vulnérabilité. Pour réduire les risques, on ne peut pas faire grand-chose sur les aléas, mais, en revanche, il est possible de faire beaucoup sur la réduction de la vulnérabilité. D'un côté, on clame la toute-puissance de la nature et de soumission à celle-ci et en même temps on a du mal à accepter l’idée que l'aléa peut avoir des causes qui ne sont pas des causes qui ne sont pas humaines. Les risques naturels n’existent pas en tant que tel et ne constituent pas un frein au développement ou une explication au contraste de richesses.
This thesis met with a great echo because it corresponds to important questions today about millenarian anxieties about the limits of growth, about the depletion of non-renewable resources and especially oil, about global warming with the whole theory of sustainable development which would not allow the satisfaction of current needs to be done at the expense of that of future generations. It is economic growth that does not jeopardize the needs of future generations. The idea that if companies may have disappeared because of their lack of precaution in the management of their resources, it is a counter-example that is precious today. Diamond's analyses have been much contested and beaten up. When we read the scientific literature on this subject today, it is very difficult to form an opinion. These disappearances remain quite mysterious. Anguish over resource management is more the result of current questions than the fruit of historical experience.


Une l'idée est que toute société construit son développement économique sur la base de consommation de ressources qui sont naturelles au sens où elles ne sont pas fabriquées. Ces ressources naturelles sont indispensables à la continuation de la production et si la production les détruit, à terme, cela pose problème. Beaucoup de travaux sont portés sur le passé et ont tenté d'expliquer un certain nombre de grandes catastrophes civilisationnelles et la disparition de certaines civilisations par des problèmes de gestion des ressources. Parmi les deux grands exemples qu’on peut étudier, il a la disparition de la civilisation maya. Quand les conquistadors sont arrivés en Amérique centrale, les mayas avaient déjà disparu. Un autre exemple est celui de l’île de Pâques qui a été peuplée tardivement dans le cadre des grandes migrations des peuples polynésiens. Elle est très célèbre par les statues géantes qui ont été érigées, mais aussi par le fait que ces statues témoignent d'une civilisation assez puissante et prospère, d’une forte densité sur l'île alors qu'au moment où les premiers explorateurs l'ont atteinte au XVIIIème siècle, ils ont trouvé une société où régnait la misère, la disette et avec des densités très faible. Visiblement, l’île, à un moment à été très peuplée et avec un haut niveau de technologie ainsi qu’un haut niveau de production et de consommation et puis quand les explorateurs européens sont arrivés, cette civilisation avait quasiment disparu sans avoir aucune idée de comment ces colosses avaient bien pu être taillés, dans les carrières, transportées ensuite et puis érigées.
We must try to relate these questions to the use made of them and their possible use in political and international relations. We realize that if we reason in terms of natural resources, in terms of natural risks or in terms of sustainable development, we are often faced with a North-South opposition with Northern countries that, after having experienced industrialization, after having experienced pollution, have come to reasonable positions with a certain deindustrialization, a tertiarisation of the economy, weak growth and then production which is essentially linked to services of a low-polluting type, which consume little raw materials and therefore respect the environment and ultimately guarantee sustainable development, respecting its forests and replanting them. On the other hand, there are the countries of the South, which are poor countries, which still have the insolence of double-digit growth, which still claim to be industrialized, which still pollute and which do not respect the imperatives that we would like to impose on them in terms of carbon footprint or environmental management.


Une des théories est celle de Diamond qui est celle de la catastrophe écologique. Sa théorie est que l’économie et la société maya tout comme l'économie et la société à de l’île de Pâques polynésienne étaient toutes les deux sur la surexploitation d'un milieu fragile. L’île de Pâques avait une couverture forestière dense et les habitants de l'île de Pâques ont déforesté petit à petit en quelques siècles toute l’île parce qu'ils avaient besoin de bois notamment pour transporter les fameux colosses. Une fois que l'île a été totalement été déforestée, il en a résulté une érosion des sols, une modification des écosystèmes qui a eu des conséquences catastrophiques. Selon Diamon, beaucoup de sociétés ont disparu du fait qu’elles n'ont pas su gérer leurs ressources. Au lieu de préserver leurs ressources dans le cadre d'un souci de durabilité, ils ont au contraire détruit leurs ressources dans une attitude qui est suicidaire.
This reading poses several problems, particularly in terms of the heritage of resources that are not ours, with the idea, for example, that the Amazon forest is the lungs of the planet. Another problem is to condemn deforestation and then industrialization, which consumes resources and causes pollution when all our societies have done so. We always arrive at the same model, which is that of a temperate zone where it goes well where wealth is created, a sustainable wealth and then an intertropical world based on the hypothesis of the natural environment is that it does not succeed. We cannot explain wealth gaps and development by referring to the natural environment. Even if we recognize that there is an important influence of environments on societies, it is not natural environments, but environments that are deeply transformed by man.


Cette thèse a rencontré un grand écho parce qu’elle correspond à des interrogations importantes aujourd'hui sur des angoisses millénaristes sur les limites de la croissance, sur l'épuisement des ressources non-renouvelables et spécialement pétrolières, sur le réchauffement climatique avec toute la théorie du développement durable qui voudrait que la satisfaction des besoins actuels ne se fasse pas au détriment de celle des générations futures. C’est une croissance économique qui ne met pas en péril la satisfaction des besoins des générations futures. L’idée que si des sociétés ont pu disparaître du fait de leur manque de précaution dans la gestion de leurs ressources, c'est un contre-exemple qui est précieux aujourd'hui. Les analyses de Diamond ont été beaucoup contestées et beaucoup battues en brèche. Lorsqu’on lit la littérature scientifique à ce propos aujourd'hui, il est très difficile de se faire une opinion. Ces disparitions restent assez mystérieuses. L’angoisse sur la gestion des ressources est plus le fruit d'interrogations actuelles que le fruit d'une expérience historique.
=== Demographics ===


Il faut essayer de mettre en rapport ces interrogations avec l'usage qui en est fait et leur instrumentalisation possible au plan politique et sur le plan des relations internationales. On s'aperçoit qu’aussi bien si on raisonne en termes de ressources naturelles, en termes de risques naturels ou en termes de développement durable, on se trouve souvent face à une opposition Nord-Sud avec des pays du Nord qui après avoir connu l'industrialisation, après avoir connu la pollution en sont venus à des positions raisonnables avec une certaine désindustrialisation, une tertiarisation de l'économie, une croissance faible et puis une production qui est essentiellement liée à des services de type peu polluants, peu consommateurs de matières premières et donc respectueux de l'environnement et garantissant à terme le développement durable, respectant ses forêts et les replantant. De l'autre côté, il y aurait les pays du Sud qui sont des pays pauvres, qui ont l'insolence de connaître encore une croissance à deux chiffres, qui prétendent encore faire de l'industrie, qui polluent encore et qui ne respectent pas les impératifs qu'on voudrait leur imposer en termes de bilan carbone ou de gestion de l'environnement.
The idea that the wealth of a country is made up of its demography both because the population is the labour force therefore that production would be correlated to the labour force available therefore to the population. A more recent development of this theory is to focus on the population not as a labour force, but as a fruit of consumption. That is, countries that have developed are countries where there has been the development of a large consumption basin and significant demand. On the one hand, it is very difficult to establish correlations between cases of density and cases of development and if natural resources and natural risks do not move, populations on the other hand migrate. The great migrations of the 19th and 20th centuries are labour migrations. Nevertheless, on the basis of this relationship between demography and the economy, a certain number of policies have been put in place, but these are not policies aimed at increasing the population or increasing labour force or even consumption by working demography, but rather the reverse. Correlations were considered too important and then poverty and risk played a major role in the 19th century and also in the 20th century with the idea that there would be a profound contradiction between the rates of population growth and the rates of economic growth and in particular the rates of growth and renewal of resources.


Cette lecture pose plusieurs problèmes notamment en termes de patrimonialiation des ressources qui ne sont pas les nôtres avec l’idée par exemple que la forêt amazonienne est les poumons de la planète. Un autre problème est de condamner la déforestation et puis l’industrialisation consommatrice de ressources et inductrice de pollution quand toutes nos sociétés l’ont fait. On arrive toujours au même modèle qui est celui d'une zone tempérée ou cela se passe bien où la richesse est créée, une richesse durable et puis un monde intertropical sur l’hypothèse du milieu naturel est que cela n'aboutit pas. On ne peut pas expliquer les écarts de richesses et le développement en renvoyant au milieu naturel. Quand bien même on reconnaîtrait qu’il y a une influence importante des milieux sur les sociétés, il ne s'agit pas des milieux naturels, mais des milieux qui sont profondément transformés par l’homme.
Malthus' model is an agricultural model and it is very simple to see that a society is developing at a much faster pace than its ability to develop new soils and increase agricultural production. All resources will experience this phenomenon of lag and dropout between a population that is growing exponentially and then a production that fails to keep pace with catastrophic predictions of a real collapse. We are not in the theory of ecological catastrophe, but rather in that of a kind of fatality. This has resulted in the implementation of Malthusian policies aimed in particular at limiting the number of births or delaying the age of marriage. In the West, we dropped these Malthusian policies because we stopped having children, but we would have liked these policies to have been implemented in China or India. There is the orientalist fantasy of a targeted animal population that cannot control its birth rate, cannot control its population and reproduces like "ants". The term "demographic bomb" was used in this sense. This is not new because the idea of the "yellow peril" has been around since the beginning of the 20th century. Initially it was a political and economic peril that was linked to two traumatic events, the first was the Japanese victory over the Russians in 1905 and the boxer revolt in China. This idea knew as a kind of renewal at the end of the 20th century with the idea of the "demographic bomb".


=== La démographie ===
If one evokes the idea of a carrying capacity of the earth which is the idea that the earth could contain only a certain number of people and not a plus, one came back on this idea. The problem with this idea, which is also reflected in the idea of sustainable development, is that projections are made today on the basis of two unknowns that cannot be taken into account but which are nevertheless essential: the first unknown is technological change and the second problem is changing needs.


L’idée que la richesse d'un pays est faite de sa démographie à la fois parce que la population est la force de travail donc que la production serait corrélée à la force de travail disponible donc à la population. Un développement plus récent de cette théorie est de mettre l'accent sur la population non pas en tant que force de travail, mais en tant que fruit de consommation. C’est-à-dire que des pays qui se sont développés sont des pays où il y a eu le développement d'un bassin de consommation importante et une demande importante. D'une part, il est très difficile de mettre en place des corrélations entre des cas de densité et des cas de développement et si les ressources naturelles et les risques naturels ne bougent pas, les populations en revanche migrent. Les grandes migrations du XIXème siècle et du XXème siècle sont des migrations de travail. Il n'empêche que sur la base de ce rapport entre la démographie et l'économie, se sont mises en place un certain nombre de politiques, mais ce ne sont pas des politiques qui ont visées à augmenter la population ou bien à augmenter la force de travail ou encore la consommation en travaillant la démographie, mais c’est plutôt l’inverse. Les corrélations ont été jugées trop importantes et puis la pauvreté et le risque ont joués un grand rôle au XIXème siècle et également XXème siècle avec l’idée qu’il y aurait une contradiction profonde entre les rythmes de la croissance démographique et les rythmes de la croissance économique et notamment les rythmes de croissance et de renouvellement des ressources.
On the other hand, there is certainly a concern in Europe, particularly, to a lesser extent in North America, on the issue of ageing. The problem may not be in the quantity of the population, but in its quality, namely the characteristics of this population and in particular its age. What is a problem is the relationship between the working population and the non-working population. The problem of "quantity" is that in European populations this relationship is increasingly unbalanced. The second, "quality", is the level of qualification and the cost of labour. What matters today is less the quantity of population than its qualification and its cost with two configurations:
* areas where societies generally have a high labour cost and a high level of qualification as typically the countries of the North;
* other configurations where we have a low-skilled labour force with a labour cost that is typically low like in the countries of the South.


Le modèle de Malthus est un modèle agricole et il est très simple de voir que le développement d'une société se fait à un rythme beaucoup plus rapide que sa capacité à mettre en valeur de nouveaux sols et à augmenter sa production agricole. Toutes les ressources vont connaître ce phénomène de décalage et de décrochage entre une population qui augmente de façon exponentielle et puis une production qui n'arrive pas à suivre avec à terme des prédictions catastrophiques sur un véritable effondrement. On n'est pas dans la théorie de la catastrophe écologique, mais plutôt dans celle d’une sorte fatalité. Cela s’est traduit par la mise en place de politiques malthusiennes qui visaient notamment à limiter le nombre de naissances ou à retarder l’âge du mariage. En Occident, on a laissé tomber ces politiques malthusiennes parce qu'on a arrêté de faire des enfants, mais on aurait bien aimé que ces politiques soient mises en place en Chine ou en Inde. Il y a le fantasme orientaliste d'une population animale visée qui ne peut contrôler sa natalité, ne peut contrôler sa population et qui se reproduit comme des « fourmis ». Le terme de « bombe démographique » était utilisé en ce sens. Cela n’est pas nouveau parce qu'on a vu effectivement dès le début du XXème siècle l’idée du « péril jaune ». Au de début c'est un péril politique et un péril économique qui était lié à deux événements traumatiques, le premier était la victoire des Japonais sur les Russes en 1905 et la révolte des boxers en Chine. Cette idée connaît comme une sorte de renouveau à la fin du XXème siècle avec l’idée de la « bombe démographie ».
=== Culture and institutions ===


Si on évoque l’idée d'une capacité de charge de la terre qui est l’idée que la terre ne pourrait contenir qu’un certain nombre de personnes et pas un plus, on est revenu sur cette idée. Le problème avec cette idée que l’on retrouve aussi avec l’idée du développement durable est que l'on fait des projections aujourd'hui sur la base de deux inconnues qu’on ne peut pas prendre en compte et qui pourtant sont essentiels : la première inconnue est l’évolution technologique et le deuxième problèmes est l'évolution des besoins.
These two types of labour do not allow the same type of activity to develop. Much work has focused on the role of culture, the role of social institutions in general and development. An attempt was made to see to what extent types of societies, modes of social organization and social values could be correlated with economic development. As is often the case, these civilizations were characterized first and foremost by their religion. Weber, but also Huntington with his theory of the clash of civilizations. Many works have tried to reflect on the link between certain types of religion and then economic development beginning with Weber's famous works dating from 1905 on Protestant ethics and the spirit of capitalism in which he relates the birth of commercial capitalism in central Europe and Rhineland Europe with the development of Protestantism. He proposes a whole series of oppositions between values or modes of social organization which would be linked to Catholicism and Protestantism with the idea that if market capitalism developed on the Rhine axis, it was because Protestant values and Protestant society were predisposed to it. The idea is that Protestantism would carry the same values as capitalism, whereas on the contrary, Catholicism would promote values where the city would be organised in a way less favourable to this development. On the side of Protestantism and capitalism, we would find the importance of the individual, the initiative and the value of the individual, the enhancement of technology and progress, an emphasis on the importance of material success and then an adherence to science and an enhancement of scientific knowledge. On the other hand, Catholicism would not be very individualistic, but it would rather value group and community behaviour and values, it would rather be in the enhancement of nature than of technique. Weber's theory is that the countries that had the values of the first group were both the countries that experienced the development of Protestantism and capitalism. His work is very striking and always very controversial. On this basis, we continued to try to make correlations and maps between religions and then growth.


En revanche, il est sûr qu'il y a un souci en Europe, en particulier, dans une moindre mesure en Amérique du Nord, sur la question du vieillissement. Leproblème n’est peut-être pas dans la quantité de la population, mais dans sa qualité à savoir les caractéristiques de cette population et notamment son âge. Ce qui est un problème est le rapport entre la population active et la population qui ne l’est pas. Le problème de la « quantité » est que dans les populations européennes ce rapport est de plus en plus déséquilibré. La deuxième, la « qualité » est celle du niveau de qualification et du coût de la main-d'œuvre. Ce qui importe aujourd'hui est moins la quantité de population que sa qualification et son coût avec deux configurations :
Two major assumptions that we see a lot is the incompatibility of Buddhism and Islam with development. As far as Islam, for example, is concerned, there is nothing comparable to what happened in Japan, Europe and then the United States. Another interpretation consists in saying that the vision of society, the place of women, freedoms, progress and the relationship to time are not compatible with economic, industrial and market development. One example cited much is that Islam condemns lending. For a theological reason, it is God who creates. One solution is to tell ourselves, for example, that interest is not there to pay for the money that we are going to lend, but to compensate for the shortfall earned from the fact that we lent money. There are possible ideological solutions.
*des espaces où les sociétés ont généralement un coût de la main-d'œuvre élevé et un niveau de qualification élevé comme typiquement les pays du Nord ;
*d'autres configurations où on a une main-d'œuvre peu qualifiée avec un coût de la main-d'œuvre qui est bas typiquement comme les pays du Sud.


=== Culture et institutions ===
The problem with these explanations is a bit like the explanations on the North-South opposition and then on tropicality. There are reasons to explain why it was logical, it was expected that it was in Europe that industrial revolutions and wealth accumulation occurred. There is always the suspicion that we are in logic and rhetoric of justifications.


Ces deux types de main-d'œuvre ne permettent pas le développement du même type d'activité. Beaucoup de travaux ont porté sur le rôle de la culture, sur le rôle des institutions sociales en général et sur le développement. A été essayé de voir dans quelle mesure on pouvait corréler des types de sociétés, des modes d'organisation sociale et des valeurs sociales avec le développement économique. Comme souvent, ces civilisations ont été caractérisées d'abord par leur religion. Chez Weber, mais également chez Huntington avec sa théorie du choc des civilisations. De nombreux travaux ont essayé de réfléchir sur le lien entre certains types de religion et puis le développement économique à commencer par les travaux célèbrent de Weber qui datent de 1905 sur l'éthique protestante et l'esprit du capitalisme dans lequel il met en rapport la naissance du capitalisme marchand en Europe centrale et en Europe rhénane avec le développement du protestantisme. Il propose toute une série d'oppositions entre des valeurs ou des modes d'organisation sociale qui seraient liés au catholicisme et au protestantisme avec l'idée que si le capitalisme marchand s’est développé sur l'axe rhénan, c'est parce que les valeurs protestantes et la société protestante y étaient prédisposées. L’idée est que le protestantisme serait porteur des mêmes valeurs que le capitalisme alors qu'au contraire, le catholicisme promouvrait des valeurs où organiserait la cité de façon moins propice à ce développement. Du côté du protestantisme et du et du capitalisme, on trouverait l'importance de l'individu, de l'initiative et de la valeur de l'individu, la valorisation de la technique et du progrès, un accent mis sur l'importance de la réussite matérielle et puis une adhésion à la science et une valorisation des connaissances scientifiques. En revanche, le catholicisme ne serait pas très individualiste, mais il valoriserait plutôt des comportements et des valeurs de groupe et de communauté, il serait plutôt dans la valorisation de la nature plutôt que de la technique. La théorie de Weber est que les pays qui avaient les valeurs du premier groupe sont à la fois les pays qui ont connu le développement du protestantisme et du capitalisme. Ses travaux sont très marquants et toujours très contestés. Sur cette base, on a continué à essayer de faire des corrélations et des cartes entre les religions et puis la croissance.
It is interesting to focus on questions of political organization, on the importance of the state and then to ask the question of the link between democracy and market development and the development of market capitalism. The idea that the market is something that would appear spontaneously must be broken. We need a State and a strong State to set up a market and then for the market to be organised, structured and prosperous, the State must be present, it must be respected and it must provide a certain number of guarantees. These guarantees are those of the law and commercial law with the fact that when someone does not respect his contract, there are possible remedies and it is possible to go to court and trust the justice. There's the idea that you can trust the state to be violent. The State has a monopoly on legitimate violence, the State must exercise its violence, but it must be the only one that is able to exercise this violence.


Deux grandes hypothèses que l'on voit beaucoup est l'incompatibilité du bouddhisme et de l'islam avec le développement. Pour ce qui est de l'islam par exemple, il s'agit d’un état de faits, on ne voit rien de comparable à ce qui s'est passé au Japon, en Europe et puis aux États-Unis. Une autre interprétation consiste à dire que la vision de la société, la place de la femme, des libertés, du progrès, le rapport au temps ne sont pas compatibles avec le développement économique, industriel et marchand. Un exemple cité beaucoup est que l'islam condamne le prêt. Pour une raison théologique, c'est Dieu qui crée. Une solution est de se dire par exemple que l'intérêt n'est pas la pour rémunérer l'argent qu’on va prêter, mais pour compenser le manque a gagné du fait qu'on a prêté de l'argent. Il y a des solutions idéologiques possibles.
More fundamentally, this means that the market, if we understand it this way, is hampered by dictatorships. What the market hates is uncertainty, situations where we don't know the rules. If you don't know the rules, you can't make any predictions, projections or trust anyone. However, the market is based on a certain management of time and trust. If the market hates dictatorships, it is not because they are not stable, that is, with a dictatorship, you never know what can happen. There can be a change of jurisdiction and it can decide to nationalise, to oust without respecting the law. We need a strong state, we need a respectable state, a state that is respected and offers stability in the institutions that allow us to do business. There has to be a normal situation that you can count on. The State is an extremely powerful economic actor playing an essential role in the construction of the market, it is also an actor that intervenes on the market, it is a producer, it is a consumer, it has a major role in stimulating production and consumption. The state is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for the emergence of the market, capitalism and development. In all these theoretical constructions, it is taken for granted that the market corresponds to the industry that corresponds to development and wealth creation.


Le problème de ces explications est un peu comme les explications sur l'opposition Nord-Sud et puis sur la tropicalité. On trouve des raisons pour expliquer pourquoi il était logique, il était attendu que ce soit en Europe que les révolutions industrielles et que l'accumulation de richesses se soit produit. Il y a toujours le soupçon qu’on est dans des logiques et des rhétoriques de justifications.
After the fall of the USSR, Russia did not experience a period of economic development such as one could have imagined and the main reason is material and financial insecurity. Again for foreign investors, this is very difficult to manage. The disappearance of the communist regime in Russia did not provide an opportunity for the development of a market economy, but almost the opposite. It is for lack of a strong state and a right respected and imposed by an authority monopolized by the state that this country has not experienced this rush of investors that we could have hoped for. The reason why investors continued to be reluctant to get involved in business in Russia was not because of a strong state, but because of a lack of a strong state.


Il est intéressant de mettre l'accent sur des questions d'organisation politique, sur l'importance de l'État est puis de poser la question du lien entre la démocratie et le développement du marché et le développement du capitalisme marchand. Il faut tordre le cou à cette idée que le marché est quelque chose qui apparaîtrait spontanément. II faut un État et un État fort pour qu’un marché se mette en place et ensuite pour que le marché s'organise, se structure et prospère, il faut que l'État soit présent, il faut qu’il soit respecté et il faut qu'il apporte un certain nombre de garanties. Ces garanties sont celles du droit et du droit commercial avec le fait que quand quelqu'un ne respecte pas son contrat, il y a des recours possibles et qu’il est possible d’aller devant la justice et faire confiance à la justice. Il y a l’idée qu’on peut faire confiance à l'État pour être violent. L’État a le monopole de la violence légitime, il faut que l'État exerce sa violence, mais il faut que ce soit le seul qui soit en mesure d'exercer cette violence.
The second very interesting question is the relationship between democracy and economic development, namely democracy, capitalism, the market economy or the market. This idea is very present in Liberal ideology and it is very strong in the United States. It really is an American certainty. Democracy is the market go together in this idea. The reason why the foreign policy of the United States is so keen to bring democracy where it does not exist enough and to bring these countries into the market. This link between the two is in the sense of the word liberal in English, which refers both to the freedom to undertake and to the individual freedoms that are achieved through democracy. This was theorized by Karl Popper as part of his idea of open society. He opposes two types of theories: open societies characterized by freedom, transparency, mobility and then closed societies characterized by opacity, lack, freedom and then lack of mobility. Public societies are democratic societies and only public societies would be conducive to the establishment of a market economy.


Plus fondamentalement, cela veut dire que le marché, si on le conçoit ainsi, est gêné par les dictatures. Ce que le marché déteste est l’incertitude, ce sont des situations où on ne connaît pas les règles. Si on ne connaît pas les règles, on ne peut faire aucun pronostic, aucunes projections et ne faire confiance à personne. Or, le marché est fondée sur une certaine gestion du temps et de la confiance. Si le marché déteste les dictatures, c'est pas parce qu’elles ne sont pas stables, c'est-à-dire qu’avec une dictature, on ne sait jamais ce qui peut se passer. Il peut y avoir changement de juridiction et elle peut décider de nationaliser, d'évincer sans respect du droit. Il faut un État fort, il faut un État respectable, un État respecté et qui offre une stabilité des institutions permettant de faire des affaires. Il faut qu’il y ait une situation habituelle sur laquelle on puisse compter. L'État est un acteur économique extrêmement puissant jouant un rôle essentiel dans la construction du marché, c’est également un acteur qui intervient sur le marché, c'est un producteur, c'est un consommateur, il a un rôle d'impulsion majeur dans la production et dans la consommation. L'État est une condition nécessaire, mais non suffisante pour l'émergence du marché, du capitalisme et du développement. Dans toutes ces constructions théoriques, il est considéré comme allant de soi que le marché correspond à l’industrie qui correspond au développement et la création de richesse.
This makes sense on the important issue of social mobility. Few people achieve significant social and economic advancement. We have few examples of success and even if we have these examples, even if there are, social advancement has not necessarily given what we had hoped for, namely social recognition, political recognition or even power. But even among the most interested among us, the reasons why it is so important to make money is because money carries symbolic recognition. The admiration we are going to have for success, the symbolic success that wealth allows us to display, is only worth in a society where we can hope for this rise. The idea of open society is that anything is possible for everyone. However, not everything will be possible for everyone. Countries that do not experience social mobility, i.e. countries where their destiny is determined from birth, excluding from their economy a population that has no reason to get involved because it can expect nothing from it. The idea is that we can expect a strong involvement, a strong investment, a lot of inventiveness, a lot of effort, a lot of work, a lot of enthusiasm from the active population, if we can hope to see the fruits of our work recognized. All societies that are compartmentalized, where mobility is not possible, social ascension is not possible lose some of their resources because they do not allow mobility. This is one of the reasons why democracy is a condition of the market. If the correlation between the two is so strong, imposing the market also means ultimately imposing democracy. Both economic liberalism and respect for political freedoms are based on the recognition of equal rights and opportunities between actors and on their autonomy, on their capacity to be economic agents.


Après la chute de l’URSS, la Russie n’a pas connu une période de développement économique telle que celle qu’on aurait pu imaginer et la raison principale est l’insécurité matérielle et financière. Encore une fois pour les investisseurs étrangers, cela est très difficile à gérer. La disparition du régime communiste en Russie n'a pas donné l'occasion d'un développement d'une économie de marché, mais presque l'inverse. C’est faute d'un État fort et d’un droit respecté et imposé par une autorité monopolisée par l'État que ce pays n'a pas connu cette ruée des investisseurs qu'on aurait pu espérer. La raison pour laquelle les investisseurs continuaient à être réticents à s'impliquer dans les affaires en Russie n’est pas à cause d’un État fort, mais faute d’un État fort.
One of the major levers of development will be the opening up of these societies, the decompartmentalisation, the breaking down of barriers with the idea of "empowerment" which is the fact of increasing the capacity to act, to increase autonomy, to increase the capacity to be an actor rather than an agent. This link between democracy and market development has a strong ideological component because it serves to justify globalization. One of the first justifications is that globalization yields wealth referring to Ricardo's theory and to the theory of comparative advantages, the second argument is that globalization disseminates market values and that disseminating market values amounts to disseminating democratic values.


La deuxième question très intéressant est le rapport qui est fait entre le la démocratie et le développement économique à savoir la démocratie, le capitalisme, l'économie marchande ou encore le marché. Cette idée est très présente dans l'idéologie libérale et elle est très forte aux États-Unis. C'est vraiment une certitude américaine. La démocratie est le marché vont ensemble dans cette idée. La raison pour laquelle la politique étrangère des États-Unis tient tellement à faire entrer la démocratie là où elle n'existe pas assez et pour faire entrer ces pays dans le marché. Ce lien entre les deux est dans le sens du mot libéral en anglais qui renvoie à la fois à la liberté d'entreprendre et aux libertés individuelles qui se fait à travers la démocratie. Cela a été théorisé par Karl Popper dans le cadre de son idée de la société ouverte. Il oppose deux types de théories : des sociétés ouvertes qui se caractérise par la liberté, par la transparence, par la mobilité et puis des sociétés fermées qui se caractérisent par l'opacité, par le manque, de liberté et puis par l'absence de mobilité. Les sociétés ouvertes sont des sociétés démocratiques et seules les sociétés ouvertes seraient propices à l'installation d'une économie de marché.
=== The scandals of rising returns ===


Cela fait sens sur la question importante de la mobilité sociale. Peu de gens réussissent à connaître une ascension sociale et économique importante. On a peu d'exemples de réussite et puis même si on a ces exemples, de même s’il y en a, l’ascension sociale n’a pas forcement donné ce à quoi on avait ambitionné, c'est-à-dire la reconnaissance sociale, la reconnaissance politique ou encore le pouvoir. Or, même chez les plus intéressés d'entre nous, les raisons pour lesquelles il est tellement important de faire de l'argent est parce que l'argent est porteur de reconnaissance symbolique. L’admiration qu'on va avoir pour la réussite, la réussite symbolique que permet d'afficher la richesse ne vaut que dans le cadre d'une société où on peut espérer cette ascension. L'idée de la société ouverte est que tout est possible pour chacun. Néanmoins, tout ne sera possible pour tous. Les pays qui ne connaissent pas de mobilité sociale, c’est-à-dire où les pays où dès la naissance son destin est déterminé mettant à l'écart de leur économie une population qui n'a pas de raisons de s'y impliquer parce qu'elle ne peut rien en espérer. L'idée est qu’on peu attendre une forte implication, un fort investissement, beaucoup d'inventivité, beaucoup d'efforts, beaucoup de travail beaucoup d’élan de la population active, si elle peut espérer voir reconnu les fruits de son travail. Toutes les sociétés qui sont cloisonnées, où la mobilité n'est pas possible, l’ascension sociale n'est pas possible perdent toute une partie de leurs ressources faute de permettre la mobilité. C’est l’une des raisons pour laquelle la démocratie est une condition du marché. Si la corrélation entre les deux est aussi forte, imposer le marché c'est aussi imposer à terme la démocratie. Le libéralisme économique comme le respect des libertés politiques se fonde sur une reconnaissance de l’égalité de droit et des chances entre les acteurs et sur leur autonomie, sur leur capacité à être des agents économiques.
These explanations are insufficient. We'll go back to Krugman's theory and comparative advantage theory because it's more relevant, but it's more pessimistic. Some countries have known very early their industrialization, it is Europe, Japan and the United States and they have acquired because of that an enormous comparative advantage over the others related to their anteriority. Since then, they have capitalized on this prior art, which constitutes a comparative advantage for them because of the increasing returns guaranteed by this prior art. Every effort is made to lock in time and space with patents these comparative advantages and know-how. The richest countries and the countries where wealth is concentrated are simply the countries that first experienced economic development, i.e. industrialization. For the others, the locking of increasing yields does not offer a way out.


Un des grands leviers du développement va être l'ouverture de ces sociétés, le décloisonnement, le fait de faire sauter des verrous avec l’idée d’« empowerment » qui est le fait d'augmenter la capacité d'agir, d'augmenter l'autonomie, d'augmenter la capacité à être un acteur plutôt qu'un agent. Ce lien entre la démocratie est le développement du marché a une composante idéologique forte parce qu’il sert à la justification de la mondialisation. L’une des premières justifications est que la mondialisation rapporte de la richesse renvoyant à la théorie de Ricardo et à la théorie des avantages comparatifs, le deuxième argument est que la mondialisation diffuse les valeurs du marché et que diffuser les valeurs du marché revient à diffuser les valeurs de la démocratie.
For Krugman, "countries are rich because they are rich and countries are poor because they are poor. Poverty leads to impoverishment and wealth leads to enrichment. We are therefore faced with a systematic and inevitable dropout system where rich countries tend to get richer and poor countries tend to get poorer because the former have increasing returns and the latter cannot pay the cost of entering the market because poor countries and rich countries are not in a situation of pure and perfect competition.


=== Les scandales du rendement croissant ===
How to explain the Krugman theory because this theory will not help to understand how, for example, South Korea could have become a great industrial power. An important element is obsolescence costs and conversion costs. Industrial economic development is based on creative destruction. Products, one after the other, become obsolete and production methods, one after the other, cease to be efficient, to function and to compete. One of the characteristics of the capitalist economy is that it constantly destroys its products and modes of production in order to adopt new ones. It is an economy that is constantly in recreation and not in reproduction. In the capitalist system, the only economic actors that survive in the long run are those who have managed to give up what they were doing to do something else. Very regularly it is the imperative of innovation.


Ces explications sont insuffisantes. Nous allons revenir vers la théorie de Krugman et sur la théorie des avantages comparatifs parce qu'elle est plus pertinente, mais elle est plus pessimiste. Certains pays ont connu très tôt leur industrialisation, c'est l'Europe, le Japon et les États-Unis et ils ont acquis à cause de cela un avantage comparatif énorme sur les autres lié à leur antériorité. Depuis, ils capitalisent sur cette antériorité qui constitue pour eux un avantage comparatif à cause des rendements croissants garantis par cette antériorité. Tous les efforts sont faits pour verrouiller dans le temps et dans l'espace avec des brevets ces avantages comparatifs et ces savoir-faires. Les pays les plus riches et les pays où se concentrent la richesse sont simplement les pays qui ont les premiers connus le développement économique c’est-à-dire l'industrialisation. Pour les autres, le verrouillage des rendements croissants n’offre pas de porte de sortie.
The idea of creative destruction is that you have to change what you produce regularly in order to sell it. This has effects and it is not very easy to abandon production that is linked to infrastructures that have been put in place, linked to a trained population that has acquired a culture and habits.


Pour Krugman, « les pays sont riches parce qu’ils sont riches et les pays sont pauvres parce qu’ils sont pauvres ». La pauvreté entraîne l'appauvrissement et la richesse entraîne l'enrichissement. Donc, on est face à un système de décrochage systématique et inéluctable où les pays riches ont tendance à s'enrichir et les pays pauvres ont tendance à s'appauvrir parce que les premiers disposent de rendements croissants et que les seconds ne peuvent pas payer le coût d'entré sur le marché parce que les pays pauvres et les pays riches ne sont pas dans une situation de concurrence pure et parfaite.
What is it about these industrial regions that is in crisis? That's because they were rich. It is because there has been an accumulation of wealth in these mining regions and heavy industry regions that so much infrastructure has been built, that a population of workers has been put there, and today we no longer know what to do with them. The best solution is to flee, to abandon these regions where obsolete production structures have accumulated. It is not only the blast furnaces themselves, but also the canals that serve them, and it is the working class populations that have become cumbersome. These regions which were the regions of wealth accumulation and production in the 19th century have now become regions which are avoided by investors precisely because they have this glorious past. There is the idea that an industrial region always becomes a former industrial region and therefore a region in crisis. It would be in the nature of capitalist activity to move because of these obsolescent effects. How to invest in a profitable economic activity in these mining basins or its steel basins today? Where will high added value activities develop? In places that don't suffer from having been rich before. This is related to space inertia and space locking. We cannot draw a line on everything that has accumulated in a region and instantly convert them for another use.


Comment expliquer la théorie Krugman parce que cette théorie ne va pas permettre de comprendre comment par exemple la Corée du Sud a pu devenir une grande puissance industrielle. Un élément important est celui des coûts d'obsolescence et des coûts de conversion. Le développement économique industriel se fonde sur la destruction créatrice. Les produits, les uns après les autres se périment et les modes de production, les uns après les autres cessent d’être efficace, de fonctionner et d’être concurrencés. L’une des caractéristiques de l'économie capitaliste est qu’elle ne cesse de détruire en permanence ses produits et ses modes de production afin d’en adopter de nouveaux. C’est une économie qui est en permanence dans de larecréation et pas dans de la reproduction. Dans le système capitaliste, les seuls acteurs économiques qui survivent à long terme sont ceux qui ont réussi à abandonner ce qu'il faisait pour faire autre chose. Très régulièrement c’est l'impératif de l'innovation.
The reason why there is still steel industry in France is related to conversion costs. We are in a model that is almost the opposite of that of Krugman where the most attractive regions for the development of new activities that underpin economic growth are regions that do not suffer from the accumulation of old industrial structures. The bonus is not for regions that developed first, but for those that are still developed. There is the idea that the foreclosure of comparative advantages is somewhat offset by the obligation on economic activity to renew itself continuously and by the high cost of conversion of former regions.


L’idée de la destruction créatrice est qu’on doit changer ce qu’on produit régulièrement pour pouvoir le vendre. Cela a des effets et le fait d'abandonner une production qui est liée à des infrastructures qui ont été mises en place, liée à une population formée qui a acquis une culture et des habitudes ne se fait pas très facilement.
= Globalization =


Qu'est-ce qui fait que ces régions industrielles connaissent la crise ? C'est parce qu'elles ont été riches. C'est parce qu’il y a eu accumulation de richesses dans ces régions minières et ces régions d'industrie lourde qu’on y a construit tellement d'infrastructures, qu'on y a mis une population d'ouvriers dont aujourd'hui on ne sait plus quoi faire. La meilleure solution est de fuir, d'abandonner ces régions où se sont accumulées des structures de production obsolètes. Il ne s'agit pas seulement des hauts-fourneaux eux-mêmes, mais il s'agit aussi des canaux qui les desservent et il s'agit des populations ouvrières devenues encombrantes. Ces régions qui étaient les régions de l'accumulation de la richesse et de la production au XIXème siècle sont devenues aujourd'hui des régions qui sont évitées par les investisseurs précisément parce qu’elles ont ce passé glorieux. Il y a l'idée qu’une région industrielle devient toujours une ancienne région industrielle et donc une région en crise. Il serait dans la nature de l'activité capitaliste de se déplacer à cause de ces effets obsolescence. Comment investir dans une activité économique rentable dans ces bassins miniers ou ses bassins sidérurgiques aujourd'hui ? Où vont se développer les activités à hautes valeur ajoutée? Dans les endroits qui ne souffrent pas d'avoir été riches auparavant. Cela est lié à l'inertie de l'espace et au verrouillage spatial. On ne peut pas tirer un trait sur tout ce qui s'est accumulé dans une région et les reconvertir instantanément pour un autre usage.
For now, we have discussed the ambiguity of wealth measures. We will focus on globalization and examine the relationship between the evolution of inequalities and globalization. In line with liberal promises and the comparative advantage model, has globalization led to a reduction in inequalities, or is the development and increase in the scope of the market, both geographically and economically, leading to an increase in inequalities, rather in line with what Krugman would have us fear?


La raison pour laquelle il y a encore de la sidérurgie en France est liée aux coûts de reconversion. On est dans un modèle qui est presque l’inverse de celui de Krugman où les régions les plus attractives pour le développement des nouvelles activités qui fondent la croissance économique sont des régions qui ne souffrent pas de l'accumulation des anciennes structures industrielles. Le bonus n’est pas pour les régions qui se sont développées en premier, mais pour celles qui sont toujours développées. Il y a l’idée que le verrouillage des avantages comparatifs est en quelque sorte un peu compensé par l'obligation qui est faite à l'activité économique de se renouveler en permanence et par le coût élevé de la reconversion des anciennes régions.
== Evolution of inequalities ==
 
= Mondialisation =
 
Nous avons pour l’instant évoqué l’ambiguïté des mesures de la richesse. Nous allons insister sur la mondialisation et interroger le rapport entre l'évolution des inégalités et la mondialisation. Est-ce que conformément aux promesses libérales et au modèle de l'avantage comparatif, la mondialisation s'est traduite par un une réduction des inégalités ou est-ce que plutôt conformé à ce que Krugman laisserait craindre, le développement et l'augmentation du champ d'application du marché à la fois géographique et économique se traduit par un creusement des inégalités ?
 
== Evolution des inégalités ==


[[Fichier:Tableau ocde inégalités 2003.png|vignette]]
[[Fichier:Tableau ocde inégalités 2003.png|vignette]]


Le premier tableau est l'évolution du PIB par habitant en dollars internationaux de 1990. Aux États-Unis en 1500, le PIB par habitant était de 400 $ internationaux de 1990. Deux cents ans après, il était passé à 527. Il est possible d’avoir deux lectures de ce tableau : une lecture horizontale et une lecture verticale. Avec une lecture horizontale on va suivre par exemple pour le Mexique l'évolution du PIB par habitant par de 1500 à 2000. Avec une lecture verticale, on peut avoir une comparaison dans l’espace du PIB par habitant et par an en 1820 de la France, du Royaume-Uni, des États-Unis, du Mexique, du Japon et de la Chine. Donc c’est un tableau qui montre quel a été le niveau de richesse et le niveau de revenu dans tous ces espaces, entre ces pays entre 1500 et 2000. Le PIB est une mesure de la plus-value, de la l'augmentation, de la production et in fine du niveau de vie.
The first table is the evolution of GDP per capita in 1990 international dollars. In the United States in 1500, GDP per capita was $400 international in 1990. Two hundred years later, it had risen to 527. It is possible to have two readings of this table: a horizontal reading and a vertical reading. With a horizontal reading we will follow for example for Mexico the evolution of GDP per capita by 1500 to 2000. With a vertical reading, we can have a spatial comparison of the GDP per capita and per year in 1820 of France, the United Kingdom, the United States, Mexico, Japan and China. So it is a table that shows the level of wealth and the level of income in all these areas, between these countries between 1500 and 2000. GDP is a measure of value added, growth, output and ultimately living standards.
 
En 1500, il n’y a pas de différences entre le PIB de ces différentes parties du monde. Cela veut dire que les niveaux de production, les modes de production, les niveaux de vie et les modes de vie étaient les mêmes partout. Bien sûr, ils étaient à chaque fois sur des types de production différente, par exemple au Mexique sur le maïs, au Japon c’était sur le riz et en France sur le blé, mais induisant des types d'organisations sociales différents, des types de paysages différents. Chacun vivait à peu près dans les mêmes conditions sur la base de ces ressources. Cela ne veut pas dire que toutes les personnes étaient à égalité dans toute société. En revanche, très probablement, l'empereur de Chine, l'empereur du Japon, le roi de France et puis le seigneur Aztèque vivaient à peu près de la même façon et le paysan chinois, le paysan japonais, le paysan français et le paysan des hauts plateaux mexicains vivaient à peu près la même façon. On était face à une situation à peu près égale à l'échelle du monde. Il y a 500 ans, il n'y avait pas d’inégalité de développement.
 
La deuxième étape est l’invention de l’industrie qui déjà eu lieu XVIIIème siècle au Royaume-Uni et on voit très nettement un effet de décrochages d'un pays avant tous les autres. Le Royaume-Uni a une augmentation du PIB par habitant qui est très nette par rapport aux autres pays. Pour la France, ce décollage se fait entre 1820 et 1913, pour le Royaume-Uni ça décolle en fait plus précocement et moins brutalement dès le XVIIIème siècle, pour les États-Unis le décollage est très net et il est antérieur au décollage français puisqu’il se fait avant 1820. Pour le Mexique, cela est très tardivement au XXème siècle et pour le Japon un peu plus tôt, pour la Chine et pour l'Inde très récemment puisqu'il faut attendre les années 1980 pour que ce phénomène se produise.
 
Sont très intéressant les moments où le PIB par habitant baisse et on est capable, en 1913, de compter de façon plus précise ce qui se passe en Chine. On observe le même phénomène pour l’Inde avec une petite baisse qui est certainement due à la décolonisation avec un décollage très récent intéressant. Pour les États-Unis, on voit que ça se joue assez tôt et que c'est en fait dès 1950 que le revenu décroche. Le décrochage se fait après la Première guerre mondiale et on voit clairement comment la Première guerre mondiale puis la Deuxième guerre mondiale ont permis aux États-Unis d'assurer leur première place sur le plan économique. En 1500, tout le monde est sur le même pied, ensuite au XVIIIème et, au XIXème siècle, il y a quelquesdécollages avec le Royaume-Uni, les États-Unis et la France et puis au XXème siècle, il y a un troisième phénomène important avec les États-Unis qui décrochent vers le haut à l'occasion ou grâce aux deux guerres mondiales et puis le quatrième phénomène important est le décollage très récent qui est en cours de la Chine et de l’Inde.


On en était à cette idée que dans l'histoire à moyen terme de la mondialisation, l’émergence des inégalités est un phénomène qui est très récent qui date de quelques siècles et qui semble effectivement correspondre tout à fait au décollage industriel des pays en question. Les différentiels de taux de croissance qu'on observe actuellement entre les pays neufs et puis les vieux pays industrialisés laissent espérer un rattrapage. Il faut partir du principe que l'extension de la mondialisation qui va toucher de plus en plus de pays, mais qui va également diffuser le marché de plus en plus en profondeur dans les pays concernés se fonde sur l'idée de la production de richesses, de l'avantage comparatif, etc. Un des principaux arguments en faveur de la mondialisation est celui que ce serait une garantie pour les pays pauvres de trouver des modes de croissance et de s’enrichir. Il y aurait une promesse de réduction des inégalités derrière la mondialisation.
In 1500, there are no differences between the GDP of these different parts of the world. This meant that production levels, production patterns, living standards and lifestyles were the same everywhere. Of course, each time they were on different types of production, for example in Mexico on maize, in Japan it was on rice and in France on wheat, but inducing different types of social organizations, different types of landscapes. Everyone lived in roughly the same conditions on the basis of these resources. This does not mean that all people were equal in any society. On the other hand, most probably, the emperor of China, the emperor of Japan, the king of France and then the Aztec lord lived in much the same way and the Chinese peasant, the Japanese peasant, the French peasant and the Mexican highland peasant lived in much the same way. We were faced with a situation roughly equal on a global scale. 500 years ago, there was no inequality in development.


Pour mesurer ces inégalités, il y a beaucoup de méthodes qui sont disponibles, mais parmi les plus parlantes il y a la méthode des écarts. L’idée est que pour gommer les problèmes statistiques que posent les notions de moyenne, on va réfléchir sur le rapport entre les pays qui sont tout en haut du classement et les pays qui sont tout en bas du classement. Par exemple, on va parler d’écart interquartile si on compare le quart supérieur au quart inférieur. On va parler d’écart interdécile si on compare les 10 % supérieurs aux 10 % inférieurs.
The second stage is the invention of industry which already took place in the eighteenth century in the United Kingdom and we see very clearly an effect of dropouts from one country before all others. The United Kingdom has a very marked increase in GDP per capita compared to other countries. For France, this take-off takes place between 1820 and 1913, for the United Kingdom it actually takes off earlier and less abruptly from the 18th century, for the United States the take-off is very clear and it is prior to the French take-off since it takes place before 1820. For Mexico, this was very late in the 20th century and for Japan a little earlier, for China and India very recently since it was not until the 1980s that this phenomenon occurred.


Nous allons considérer l’indice qui permet de comparer les 15 pays les plus pauvres et les 15 pays plus riches dans la gamme des quelque 200 pays qui constituent le monde. Depuis une quarantaine d'années, depuis la mise en place de cette forme très récente de la mondialisation, qu'en est-il de ces fameux écarts entre les pays pauvres et les pays plus riches ? Dans les 1960, les quinze pays les plus pauvres ont en moyenne un revenu par habitant par an de 1,9 et il est de 26,6 dans les pays les plus riches. Cela représente un écart de 1 à 13. En 1980, la situation des pays les plus pauvres n’a pas évolué toujours à 1,9, mais pour les pays les plus riches cela a doublé passant à 51 soit un écart de 1 à 25. En 2001, on est passé de 1,9 à 2,3 dollars par habitant et par jour en parité de pouvoir d'achat et dans les pays plus riches on est arrivé à 80$. C’est un écart de 2 à 40.
The times when GDP per capita fell are very interesting and we are able, in 1913, to count more precisely what is happening in China. The same phenomenon is observed for India with a small drop which is certainly due to decolonization with a very recent takeoff interesting. For the United States, we see that it is played out quite early and that it is in fact as early as 1950 that income falls. The dropout occurred after the First World War and it is clear how the First World War and then the Second World War enabled the United States to secure its first place in the economy. In 1500, everyone is on the same footing, then in the 18th century and, in the 19th century, there are some take-offs with the United Kingdom, the United States and France and then in the 20th century, there is a third important phenomenon with the United States dropping up occasionally or thanks to the two world wars and then the fourth important phenomenon is the very recent takeoff that is taking place from China and India.


Sur la base de ce simple bilan, est-ce que la mondialisation est contemporaine d’une réduction des inégalités ? Non, c’est le contraire. Elle est contemporaine d'une augmentation des inégalités massives sans précédent historique. Les riches sont de plus en plus riches et les pauvres sont de plus en plus pauvres. On ne peut pas dire ça que si on regarde la situation des pauvres des pays les plus pauvres, cela n’a pas vraiment empiré. On est passé de 1,9 à 2,3 ce qui correspond à une augmentation de 20 %. Les pays pauvres ne se sont pas appauvris, mais ils se sont juste beaucoup moins enrichis que les pays riches. Ce n’est pas un phénomène de divergences avec des pays qui s'enfoncent dans la pauvreté et d'autres qui décollent vers la richesse. C’est une situation où les pays les plus pauvres progressent très lentement alors que la croissance accumule de plus en plus de richesses dans les pays les plus riches. Le problème ce n'est pas l'appauvrissement des pays pauvres, mais dans l’enrichissement des pays riches.
This led to the idea that in the medium-term history of globalization, the emergence of inequalities is a very recent phenomenon that dates back a few centuries and that indeed seems to correspond entirely to the industrial take-off of the countries in question. The growth rate differentials currently observed between the new countries and then the old industrialized countries give hope of catching up. It must be assumed that the extension of globalisation, which will affect more and more countries, but which will also spread the market more and more deeply in the countries concerned, is based on the idea of wealth production, comparative advantage, etc. One of the main arguments in favour of globalization is that it would be a guarantee for poor countries to find ways to grow and enrich themselves. There would be a promise to reduce inequalities behind globalisation.


Quel regard jeter sur ces chiffres ? Il est possible de se scandaliser, car on est face à un phénomène où les bénéfices effectifs sont comme monopolisés par les pays les plus riches. Si il n’y a pas d'appauvrissement et si il y a un enrichissement des riches, on serait plutôt dans un bilan positif : une augmentation des inégalités qui se fait vers le haut et pas vers le bas.
To measure these inequalities, there are many methods available, but among the most telling is the gap method. The idea is that to eliminate the statistical problems posed by the notions of average, we will reflect on the relationship between the countries that are at the very top of the ranking and the countries that are at the very bottom of the ranking. For example, we will talk about an interquartile range if we compare the upper quarter to the lower quarter. We will talk about an interdecile gap if we compare the top 10% with the bottom 10%.


La richesse et la pauvreté sont aussi des notions relatives. Bien sûr, si on a besoin de se nourrir on est dans l’absolue. Les notions de richesse et de pauvreté ne se définissent pas par rapport à un absolu qui est celui des besoins physiologiques, mais le niveau de richesses va se caractériser par comparaison. On se définit comme riche pas dans l'absolu en fonction de ce qui est dans son portefeuille, mais par comparaison à ce que gagne ou ne gagne pas les gens autour de nous. La richesse et la pauvreté renverraient plus à une perception, un sentiment et à une comparaison.
We will consider the index that compares the 15 poorest countries and the 15 richest countries in the range of some 200 countries that make up the world. For forty years, since the introduction of this very recent form of globalization, what about these famous gaps between poor and richer countries? In the 1960s, the poorest fifteen countries had an average per capita income of 1.9 per year and in the richest countries it was 26.6. This represents a range of 1 to 13. In 1980, the situation of the poorest countries did not always change to 1.9, but for the richest countries it doubled to 51, a gap of 1 to 25. In 2001, we went from $1.9 to $2.3 per capita per day in purchasing power parity and in the richer countries we reached $80. That's a range of 2 to 40.


Les plus pauvres, les habitants du Bangladesh ne passent pas leur temps à regarder ce qui se passe dans le quartier Beverly Hills, ils ne sont pas confrontés au quotidien et à ce dérapage. Mais, à la vérité, ils le sont. Par exemple, avec le cinéma d'Hollywood et avec le cinéma occidental, ils sont nourris en permanence par une vision du niveau de vie dans les pays riches. La télévision donne à voir la richesse. À l'échelle du monde entier et c’est un phénomène très récent, les pauvres sont confrontés non à la richesse, mais à l'image de la richesse. Le contraire n'est pas vrai, c'est-à-dire que les très riches ne sont pas confrontés à la pauvreté. L'image ne leur est pas imposée. Dans cette optique, ce décalage suscite d'autant plus de frustrations puisque ceux qui sont enfermés dans ces pays où le niveau de vie stagne à deux dollars par jour et par habitant sont confrontés à l'évidence de l'accumulation de richesses croissante dans les pays occidentaux telle qu'elle est exhibée notamment par la télé américaine, mais aussi par leur propre télé nationaliste. Cela suscite des frustrations qui existaient moins auparavant parce que l'espace virtuel des médias ou d'internet ne permettait pas cette confrontation entre d'un côté les pauvres et de l’autre côté les riches. C’est l’une des explications à la toute-puissance de l'appel d'air migratoire qui émane des pays riches qui est que les candidats à la migration dans les pays pauvres sont informés ou désinformés et disposent de beaucoup d'informations plus ou moins juste ou erronées à propos de la richesse des pays les plus riches. S’il n’y a pas un creusement des inégalités, il y a sûrement une augmentation du sentiment d’injustice et du sentiment de pauvreté.
On the basis of this simple assessment, is globalization contemporary with a reduction in inequality? No, it's the other way around. It is contemporary to an unprecedented historical increase in massive inequalities. The rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer. We cannot say that if we look at the situation of the poor in the poorest countries, it has not really worsened. We went from 1.9 to 2.3, which corresponds to an increase of 20%. Poor countries have not become poorer, but they have just become much less wealthy than rich countries. This is not a phenomenon of differences with countries sinking into poverty and others taking off towards wealth. This is a situation where the poorest countries are progressing very slowly while growth is accumulating more and more wealth in the richest countries. The problem is not the impoverishment of poor countries, but the enrichment of rich countries.


Il faut revenir sur l'idée de l'avantage comparatif et sur l'idée que les échanges internationaux ne constituent pas seulement un échange de valeur, mais aussi une création de valeur. Si l'on met en parallèle les chiffres tels que donnés et l’idée de la taille du gâteau qui augmente, la seule façon de les rendre compatibles est qu’on change la taille des parts. C’est-à-dire que les pays riches se taillent des parts de plus en plus grande dans ce gâteau si bien que malgré l'augmentation de la taille du gâteau, la part des pays pauvres stagne. II y a création de richesses à travers la mondialisation et les échanges, mais elle ne profite pas à tout le monde parce que cette augmentation de richesses n'est pas également répartie entre les participants, elle est captée par certains d'entre eux. On n’est pas dans un système où il aurait une autorité qui réglerait la difficulté de la redistribution de cette richesse. On n'est pas dans un système où on serait d'accord sur des principes de justice, d'équité et d'égalité en fonction desquels les bénéfices de ces échanges seraient répartis de façon égale. En théorie, c’est le marché qui en décide, l'échange résulte d’un contrat et qu’il ne s'opère que quand les deux partenaires de l'échange sont satisfaits des termes de l'échange.
How do you look at those numbers? It is possible to be scandalized, because we are faced with a phenomenon where the actual profits are as if monopolized by the richest countries. If there is no impoverishment and if there is an enrichment of the rich, we would be in a positive balance: an increase in inequalities that is upwards and not downwards.


Si un des deux partenaires est lésé dans l'affaire, pourquoi il signe le contrat, pourquoi il s'engage dans l'échange si à travers celui-ci il fait peu de bénéfices ou pas du tout comparé à son autre partenaire. C'est une affaire de prix. Les prix sont fixés de telle façon que les échanges bénéficient aux pays riches. On retrouve la théorie de la détérioration des termes de l'échange. Les instruments qui permettent cette captation de la richesse dans l'échange sont en rapport avec le caractère asymétrique des rapports en rapport avec le caractère asymétrique des relations entre ces deux partenaires. C’est dans le cadre des rapports de pouvoirs, de ces obligations qui sont passées par contrat que s'opère la confiscation de la richesse.
Wealth and poverty are also relative concepts. Of course, if you need to feed yourself, you're in the absolute. The notions of wealth and poverty are not defined in relation to an absolute which is that of physiological needs, but the level of wealth will be characterized by comparison. We define ourselves as rich steps in the absolute according to what is in our portfolio, but compared to what people around us earn or do not earn. Wealth and poverty would be more about perception, feeling and comparison.


Pour éviter les effets de pouvoir ainsi que la confiscation, la solution consiste à avoir un système de régulation qui va compléter ou surimposer au marché un circuit de redistribution. On voit, par exemple, à l'échelle de l'Europe des systèmes de redistributions qui font circuler la richesse entre les régions les plus riches et les régions les plus pauvres. À l'échelle du monde cela n'existe pas puisque les régulations ne se produisent pas à l'échelle de la planète.
The poorest, the inhabitants of Bangladesh do not spend their time looking at what is happening in the Beverly Hills district, they are not confronted with daily life and this skid. But the truth is, they are. For example, with Hollywood cinema and Western cinema, they are constantly nourished by a vision of the standard of living in rich countries. Television makes you see wealth. Worldwide, and this is a very recent phenomenon, the poor are confronted not with wealth, but with the image of wealth. The opposite is not true, that is, the very rich do not face poverty. The image is not imposed on them. From this point of view, this discrepancy raises even more frustration since those who are locked up in these countries where the standard of living stagnates at two dollars a day and per inhabitant are confronted with the evidence of the increasing accumulation of wealth in Western countries as it is exhibited in particular by American television, but also by their own nationalist television. This raises frustrations that existed less before because the virtual space of the media or the Internet did not allow this confrontation between the poor on one side and the rich on the other. This is one of the explanations for the omnipotence of the call for migratory air emanating from rich countries, which is that candidates for migration in poor countries are informed or misinformed and have much more or less accurate or erroneous information about the wealth of the richest countries. If there is not an increase in inequality, there is surely an increase in the feeling of injustice and the feeling of poverty.


== Répartition de l’enrichissement ==
We must return to the idea of comparative advantage and the idea that international trade is not only an exchange of value, but also a creation of value. If we compare the figures as given with the idea of the size of the cake increasing, the only way to make them compatible is to change the size of the shares. That is to say that the rich countries are carving out larger and larger shares in this cake so that despite the increase in the size of the cake, the share of poor countries is stagnating. There is wealth creation through globalization and trade, but it does not benefit everyone because this increase in wealth is not equally distributed among the participants, it is captured by some of them. We are not in a system where he would have an authority that would regulate the difficulty of redistributing this wealth. We are not in a system where we agree on principles of justice, fairness and equality on the basis of which the benefits of these exchanges would be shared equally. In theory, it is the market that decides, the exchange results from a contract and only takes place when both partners in the exchange are satisfied with the terms of the exchange.


À qui profite les profits de la mondialisation ? L’idée est que la mondialisation pourrait profiter à tout le monde, mais ce n’est pas le cas. On va admettre la réflexion ricardienne des avantages comparatifs et réfléchir sur où sont actuellement les avantages comparatifs les plus importants et les avantages comparatifs majeurs ? On peut en distinguer deux types :
If one of the two partners is harmed in the case, why he signs the contract, why he engages in the exchange if through it he makes little or no profit compared to his other partner. It's all about the price. Prices are set in such a way that trade benefits rich countries. We find the theory of the deterioration of the terms of trade. The instruments that allow this capture of wealth in the exchange are related to the asymmetrical character of the relations in relation to the asymmetrical character of the relations between these two partners. It is within the framework of power relations, of these contractual obligations that wealth is confiscated.
*un avantage comparatif qui porte sur la qualification de la main-d'œuvre et le savoir-faire ;
*un avantage comparatif qui porte le coût de la main-d'œuvre.


On assiste à une divergence économique avec :
To avoid the effects of power and confiscation, the solution consists in having a regulatory system that will complete or superimpose a redistribution circuit on the market. We see, for example, redistribution systems throughout Europe that circulate wealth between the richest and poorest regions. On a global scale this does not exist since regulations do not occur on a global scale.
*les pays du Nord : dans les pays riches des populations hautement qualifiées qui s'occupent à des tâches complexes, qui font appel à des hautes technologies et qui produisent de l'innovation. Ce qui est moteur dans l'activité économique est la manipulation de symbole. On ne fait plus de l'argent en manipulant des objets, on fait de l'argent en manipulant des symboles, c'est-à-dire en ayant des idées et si possible des nouvelles. Cela suppose un capital culturel, un capital scientifique et capital technologique très important. C'est ce qu'on appelle le secteur quaternaire ou le secteur tertiaire supérieur adossé aux universités et aux laboratoires de recherche.
*les pays du Sud : cette main-d'œuvre qualifiée n’existe pas ou si elle existe à l'étranger elle fait partie d’un système de drainage des cerveaux qui ne profite qu'aux États-Unis. Au contraire, on aurait trouvé une main-d'œuvre relativement peu qualifiée, mais très nombreux et très bon marché. C’est une main-d'œuvre affectée à des tâches répétitives et non pas à l’innovation, mais au contraire à la reproduction la plus exacte possible des mêmes gestes. Ce sont des choses que les machines encore n’arrivent pas faire alors que pourtant elles pourraient simplement le faire, mais les ouvriers sont pour l'instant moins chers que les machines.


Cette nouvelle division internationale du travail a des activités de conception, de recherche et de manipulation de symboles dans les pays du Nord et puis des activités de réalisation, de manipulation et de manufacture dans les pays du Sud. Le problème est que les activités de manipulation de symboles rapportent plus de plus-value que celles qui sont juste dans la reproduction de manipulation, et dans la théorie de la destruction créatrice de Schumpeter, il est dans la nature de l'activité économique d'innover. Non seulement, la manipulation d'objets rapporte moins que la manipulation, mais également, la manipulation d'objets produits moins de croissance alors que la manipulation d'objets de symbole produit de la croissance à travers l’innovation. Non seulement les pays riches, à travers la division des activités, monopolisent les profits, mais également la croissance.
== Distribution of enrichment ==


Les effets induits, les effets d'entraînement et les coefficients multiplicateurs des industries manipulatrices de symboles sont très élevés et sont au contraire très faibles dans les industries qui ne manipulent que des objets. Ce serait une explication des écarts croissants entre les pays riches et les pays pauvres qui seraient liés au fait que les pays riches ont confisqué les activités les plus intéressantes à savoir la manipulation symbole et ont abandonné aux pays pauvres les activités qui produisent moins de richesse et de croissance et qui sont aussi les plus polluantes. Il y a un risque de dualisation de l'économie à l'échelle mondiale avec d'un côté des nations d'ingénieurs, des nations de chercheurs, des populations en col blanc ou en cravate très qualifiée et puis d’un côté des nations prolétaires, des nations manufacturières. D'un côté des pays avec des laboratoires et des bureauxet d’un côté des pays avec des usines et des manufactures.
Who benefits from globalization? The idea is that globalization could benefit everyone, but it is not. We will admit the Ricardian reflection of comparative advantages and reflect on where are currently the most important comparative advantages and the major comparative advantages? Two types can be distinguished:
*a comparative advantage that focuses on the qualification of the workforce and know-how;
*a comparative advantage that bears the cost of labor.


Là où cette explication s'avère très vite insuffisante est qu’il n'y a pas que des riches dans les pays riches et il n'y a pas que des pauvres dans les pays pauvres. La richesse et la pauvreté sont à relativiser, il n’y a pas dans les pays riches que des ingénieurs, des avocats, des chercheurs, des publicistes, etc., il y a aussi des gens qui sont peu qualifiés, il y a aussi des gens qui ne sont pas utiles pour la manipulation de symboles. Pour une raison ou pour une autre, ils ne peuvent faire que de la manipulation d'objets. Tout le monde n’arrive pas sur marché du travail avec un diplôme. Dans les pays du Sud, il est aussi des ingénieurs, évidemment, il y a aussi une bourgeoisie, il y a des gens qui accumulent de l'argent. Notamment, dans des pays comme le Brésil ou l’Inde, il y a des gens riches et des gens très riches. Ce sont des pays où il y a une élite de la population qui a réussi à s'enrichir localement et qui continue à investir localement. Dans les pays du Nord, dans les pays riches, pour les gens qui sont très bien formés, ils ont tout à gagner de la mondialisation. Pour ceux qui n’ont que leur force de travail, ils sont confrontés à une concurrence « déloyale », celle des gens qui font la même chose dans les pays du Sud avec un salaire inférieur.
There is an economic divergence with:
*Northern countries: highly skilled people in wealthy countries who perform complex tasks, use high technology and produce innovation. What drives economic activity is symbol manipulation. We no longer make money by manipulating objects, we make money by manipulating symbols, that is, by having ideas and, if possible, news. This presupposes a very important cultural, scientific and technological capital. This is called the quaternary sector or the upper tertiary sector attached to universities and research laboratories.
*countries of the South: this skilled labour does not exist or if it exists abroad it is part of a brain drain system that benefits only the United States. On the contrary, we would have found a relatively unskilled labour force, but very numerous and very cheap. It is a workforce assigned to repetitive tasks and not to innovation, but on the contrary to the most exact reproduction possible of the same gestures. These are things that machines still can't do when they could just do it, but workers are currently cheaper than machines.


On a beaucoup évoqué l’idée d'une société en sablier avec une absence de classe moyenne et avec l'évolution vers une économie d'ordre domestique. Une des réponses est que la scène caricaturale à laquelle on arrive est qu’on à d’un côté dans des bureaux des gens très qualifiés qui gagnent beaucoup d'argent, mais rapportent également beaucoup d'argent en s'activant à la manipulation de symboles, de nouvelles idées sur leur ordinateur, ils valent très cher. Avant, le service domestique se faisait à l’intérieur de la maison bourgeoise. C’est une population peu qualifiée, mal payée et précaire qui n'a aucun bénéfice à attendre de la mondialisation sauf à ce qu’un État, quelque part, opère la redistribution. Le risque de dualisation de la division internationale du travail est surtout majeur au sein des pays riches. Un décrochage s’opère avec d'un côté des acteurs impliqués dans la mondialisation et qui en tirent parti et puis de l'autre une population qui était peu qualifiée et manufacturière qui avait son sens du temps où on fabriquait des objets dans les pays du Nord.
This new international division of labour has design, research and symbol manipulation activities in the countries of the North and then realization, manipulation and manufacturing activities in the countries of the South. The problem is that symbol manipulation activities yield more added value than those that are fair in manipulation reproduction, and in Schumpeter's creative destruction theory, it is in the nature of economic activity to innovate. Not only does the manipulation of objects pay less than manipulation, but also the manipulation of objects produced less growth while the manipulation of symbolic objects produces growth through innovation. Not only rich countries, through the division of activities, monopolize profits, but also growth.


La question de la dualisation interne au sein des pays pauvres ne semble pas poser les mêmes problèmes qu’au sein des pays riches. À la vérité, ce n'est pas tout à fait exact parce que la main-d'œuvre qu'on considère comme une main-d'œuvre non qualifiée, celle qu'on peut employer dans les usines manufacturières, de reproduction de tâches standardisées, est d'une certaine façon déjà occidentalisée. Cela suppose un mode de comportement économique, linguistique et culturel qui suppose déjà qu'on est passé de la campagne à la ville et qu'on est passé à un type de fonctionnement économique de nature différente. Ce n'est pas parce qu'il y a des pauvres dans des pays du Sud que tout cela sont employable et employé dans l'industrie manufacturière. Il faut pour cela certaines qualités ou certaines qualifications de précisions, d'employabilités, appliquer des règles, des règlements, standardiser des procédures qui ne sont pas forcément envisageable pour n'importe quelle personne qui est candidate à la migration de la campagne vers la ville.
The induced effects, ripple effects and multiplier coefficients of symbol manipulating industries are very high and are, on the contrary, very low in industries that only manipulate objects. This would explain the growing differences between rich and poor countries, which would be linked to the fact that rich countries have confiscated the most interesting activities, namely symbolic manipulation, and have abandoned to poor countries activities that produce less wealth and growth and are also the most polluting. There is a risk of economic dualisation on a global scale with on the one hand nations of engineers, nations of researchers, white-collar or highly qualified tie populations and then on the other hand proletarian nations, manufacturing nations. On one side countries with laboratories and offices and on the other side countries with factories and factories.


== Géographie des inégalités ==
Where this explanation very quickly proves insufficient is that there are not only rich people in rich countries and there are not only poor people in poor countries. Wealth and poverty are to be put into perspective, in rich countries there are not only engineers, lawyers, researchers, publicists, etc., there are also people who are poorly qualified, there are also people who are not useful for manipulating symbols. For one reason or another, they can only handle objects. Not everyone arrives on the job market with a diploma. In the countries of the South, there are also engineers, obviously, there is also a bourgeoisie, there are people who accumulate money. Notably, in countries like Brazil or India, there are rich people and very rich people. These are countries where there is an elite population that has managed to enrich itself locally and continues to invest locally. In the countries of the North, in the rich countries, for people who are very well trained, they have everything to gain from globalization. For those who only have their own labour force, they face "unfair" competition, that of people who do the same thing in the countries of the South with a lower salary.


Ce qui est intéressant dans cette façon de réfléchir est le changement d’échelle du raisonnement. On ne raisonne plus seulement à l'échelle des inégalités entre les pays, mais on retombe sur le thème des inégalités à l'intérieur des pays. À ce moment, la géographie des échanges se pose en des termes nouveaux puisqu’au fond, il s'agit d'une géographie du travail. Ce sont des enjeux de localisation de la main-d'œuvre. Nous allons nous focaliser sur ce qui se passe à l'échelle à l'échelle nationale entre les pays et réfléchir à la différence en la matière entre les pays riches et les pays pauvres.
Much has been said about the idea of an hourglass society with an absence of a middle class and with the evolution towards a domestic economy. One of the answers is that the caricature scene we come across is that we have on one side in offices highly qualified people who earn a lot of money, but also make a lot of money by activating themselves to manipulate symbols, new ideas on their computer, they are worth very expensive. Before, domestic service was done inside the bourgeois house. It is a low-skilled, poorly paid and precarious population which has no benefit to expect from globalisation except that a State, somewhere, operates redistribution. The risk of dualising the international division of labour is especially high in rich countries. A dropout is taking place with, on the one hand, actors involved in globalization and taking advantage of it and, on the other, a population that was poorly qualified and manufacturing, which had a sense of the time when objects were made in the countries of the North.


=== À l’échelle nationale ===
The issue of internal dualisation in poor countries does not seem to pose the same problems as in rich countries. To be honest, this is not entirely accurate because the labour that is considered unskilled, the labour that can be used in manufacturing plants to reproduce standardized tasks, is in a way already westernized. This implies a mode of economic, linguistic and cultural behaviour that already assumes that we have moved from the countryside to the city and that we have moved to a different type of economic functioning. It is not because there are poor people in countries of the South that all this is employable and employed in manufacturing industry. This requires certain qualities or qualifications of precision, employability, applying rules, regulations, standardizing procedures that are not necessarily feasible for anyone who is a candidate for migration from the countryside to the city.


Pour les pays pauvres, l'avantage comparatif tient à une main-d'œuvre relativement peu qualifiée et bon marché. Cette main-d'œuvre est une main-d'œuvre qui est moderne, une main-d'œuvre qui répond à des horaires, qui répond à des standards et qui est ancrée dans la société ce marché. Il s'agit de la partie la plus occidentalisée des populations en question. C’est souvent une population qui s'oppose à des traditions et à des habitudes qui sont locales. On va souvent considérer l'opposition entre un littoral, des grandes villes et une certaine modernité et un arrière-pays moins urbanisé, moins connecté et moins occidentalisé. C’est effectivement auprès de cette population occidentalisée des grandes villes et du littoral où va se concentrer la croissance. Le décrochage dont on peut parler au sein des pays pauvres va se faire géographiquement entre la tête du réseau urbain, les grands ports, les littoraux d’un côté et puis de l'autre côté l'espace rural des petites villes avec la construction de façades maritimes ou d'un archipel métropolitain qui va concentrer la croissance et être le foyer de diffusion de modernité ou de l'occidentalisation et de la mondialisation.
== Geography of inequality ==


Pour les pays riches, le problème est celui de la qualification de la main-d'œuvre : la question est où se trouve la main-d'œuvre qualifiée ? Dans les régions qui ont connues un développement précoce, on voit une accumulation de structures de production et de populations obsolètes. On n'a plus besoin de tout cela et ce qu'on veut est incompatible avec tout cela. Le fait qu'on n’ait plus besoin de la main-d'œuvre non-qualifiée, qu’on ait plus de place pour les industries dans les pays occidentaux, va précipiter dans la crise toutes les anciennes régions industrielles qui ont fait la richesse de ces espaces et qui sont aujourd'hui celle où se concentrent les fermetures d'usines et qui souffrent le plus de délocalisation sans que sur place se localisent les activités du secteur supérieur tertiaire et quaternaire productrice de plus-value et de croissance. Elles vont au contraire abandonner les régions sinistrées pour se localiser dans deux grandes directions qui sont :
What is interesting in this way of thinking is the change in scale of reasoning. We no longer think only in terms of inequalities between countries, but also in terms of inequalities within countries. At this moment, the geography of exchanges is posed in new terms since, basically, it is a geography of work. These are labour location issues. We will focus on what is happening at the national level between countries and reflect on the difference between rich and poor countries.


-      celles où on peut espérer trouver ou bien faire venir la population hautement qualifiée, c'est-à-dire les chercheurs, les cadres supérieurs, les ingénieurs ou encore les avocats et les banquiers d'affaires. On va retrouver ces populations d’abord à côté des centres de ressources de production à savoir les grandes écoles et les universités. Ce sont des zones de formation qualifiée.
=== At the national level ===


-       l'autre idée est de ne pas forcement se situer dans les grandes villes, mais de trouver des espaces qui ont été plus ou moins épargnés par l'industrialisation et l'urbanisation. La population très qualifiée va accepter de se déplacer en fonction de la qualité de vie. Les « quatre S » sont le Sable, le Soleil, le Ski et le Sérail. Les lieux de concentration du pouvoir, les lieux où il y a de la montagne, les littoraux avec le sable et puis les régions sud.
For poor countries, the comparative advantage lies in a relatively low-skilled and cheap labour force. This workforce is a modern workforce, a workforce that meets schedules, meets standards and is rooted in society in this market. This is the most westernized part of the populations in question. It is often a population that opposes traditions and habits that are local. We will often consider the opposition between a coastline, large cities and a certain modernity and a less urbanized, less connected and less westernized hinterland. It is indeed with this westernized population of large cities and the coast that growth will be concentrated. The dislocation that we can talk about in poor countries will be geographically between the head of the urban network, the large ports, the coasts on one side and then on the other side the rural space of small towns with the construction of maritime façades or a metropolitan archipelago that will concentrate growth and be the focus of diffusion of modernity or Westernization and globalization.


À l'échelle de chaque pays, on observe ce phénomène où il y avait une fuite à partir des régions industrielles et qui va profiter aux grandes métropoles, au sud dans son ensemble, aux régions de montagne et aux régions littorales. Ce déplacement représente bien le basculement d'une économie secondaire vers une économie tertiaire. Un point essentiel est la capacité de certaines grandes villes à se connecter à un réseau mondial. La mondialisation suppose une très bonne connexion aux réseaux de productions mondiaux des plus-values. L'interconnexion reste très focalisée sur des plates-formes aéroportuaires. Vont émerger dans chaque grande région économique quelques très grands pôles très bien connectés au reste du monde et dans lesquels on va avoir la même population qui se livre aux mêmes activités très qualifiées et très productrices de valeur ajoutée et qui vit de même façon.
For rich countries, the problem is the qualification of the labour force: the question is where is the skilled labour? In regions that have developed early, there is an accumulation of obsolete production structures and populations. We no longer need all that and what we want is incompatible with all that. The fact that we no longer need unskilled labour, that we have more room for industry in Western countries, will precipitate into the crisis all the former industrial regions which have made the wealth of these areas and which are today the one where plant closures are concentrated and which suffer the most from relocation without the activities of the tertiary and quaternary tertiary sector producing added value and growth being located on the spot. On the contrary, they will abandon the affected regions to locate themselves in two main directions:
* those where one can hope to find or attract highly qualified people, i.e. researchers, senior managers, engineers, lawyers and investment bankers. These populations will first be found next to the production resource centres, namely the grandes écoles and universities. These are qualified training areas.
* The other idea is not to locate oneself necessarily in the big cities, but to find spaces that have been more or less spared by industrialization and urbanization. The highly qualified population will agree to move according to the quality of life. The "four S's" are Sand, Sun, Ski and Seraglio. The places where power is concentrated, the places where there are mountains, the coasts with sand and then the southern regions.
At the scale of each country, we observe this phenomenon where there was a flight from industrial regions and which will benefit large cities, the south as a whole, mountain regions and coastal regions. This shift represents the shift from a secondary economy to a tertiary economy. A key issue is the ability of some large cities to connect to a global network. Globalization presupposes a very good connection to global production networks for capital gains. Interconnection remains very focused on airport hubs. In each major economic region, a few very large poles will emerge that are very well connected to the rest of the world and in which we will have the same population that engages in the same highly qualified and value-added activities and lives in the same way.


Se forment des élites cosmopolites mondialisées. Souvent, les populations de l' « archipel métropolitain » qui est l'ensemble des villes mondiales interconnectées, sont très bien reliées les uns aux autres, mais sont relativement déconnectées de l'arrière-pays environnant. Une élite va circuler entre Singapour, Hong Kong, Dubaï, Francfort, Londres, New York, Miami, Los Angeles, Tokyo ou encore formant une sorte d'archipel parce que toutes les grandes métropoles constitueraient des îles déconnectées de leur environnement immédiat ayant peu de liens avec leur environnement immédiat, mais qui sont très connectées les unes aux autres. Ces îles sont liées par une culture commune et par des flux très importants qui sont non seulement des flux de personnes très qualifiées circulant entre ces grandes métropoles, mais également des flux financiers et puis des flux d'informations. On observerait l'émergence d'un nouvel espace de réseau qui serait un espace réticulaire :
Globalized cosmopolitan elites are forming. Often, the populations of the "metropolitan archipelago", which is the interconnected set of world cities, are very well connected to each other, but are relatively disconnected from the surrounding hinterland. An elite will circulate between Singapore, Hong Kong, Dubai, Frankfurt, London, New York, Miami, Los Angeles, Tokyo or even forming a sort of archipelago because all the large metropolises would constitute islands disconnected from their immediate environment having few links with their immediate environment, but which are very connected to each other. These islands are linked by a common culture and by very important flows which are not only flows of highly qualified people circulating between these large metropolises, but also financial flows and then flows of information. One would observe the emergence of a new network space which would be a reticular space:
*on aurait d'un côté l'espace réticulaire en réseau des élites cosmopolites productrices de plus-values, manipulatrices de symboles et qui fonctionne à l'échelle mondiale ;
*on the one hand, there would be the networked reticular space of cosmopolitan elites producing added value, manipulating symbols and operating on a global scale;
*et puis d’un côté un vieil espace qui fonctionne tout à fait d'une autre façon et dont les modes de vie et les modes de consommation ne sont pas les mêmes.
*and then on one side an old space that works quite differently and whose lifestyles and consumption patterns are not the same.


L'émergence de la structure de l'archipel mondial métropolitain serait également porteuse de dualité géographique et d'inégalité géographique au sein de chaque pays. Le Nord mobilise l'essentiel de ce réseau où se concentre le savoir et la production de richesses. Ce qui importe est l'interconnexion, une population très qualifiée, également une qualité de vie très attractive. La qualité de vie peut pallier un certain isolement.
The emergence of the structure of the world metropolitan archipelago would also bring geographical duality and geographical inequality within each country. The North mobilizes most of this network where knowledge and wealth production are concentrated. What matters is the interconnection, a highly qualified population, also a very attractive quality of life. Quality of life can compensate for some isolation.


=== À l’échelle locale ===
=== At the local level ===


The first mystery that has been explained is the unequal distribution of wealth.
The first mystery that has been explained is the unequal distribution of wealth.

Version actuelle datée du 8 juin 2018 à 03:02


The first mystery that has been explained is the unequal distribution of wealth. There are many words to say it that are usually euphemised. We will gladly talk about unequal development, we will oppose the countries of the North and the countries of the South or we will still talk about growth. We must remember the brutality of the facts, which is the question of poverty and wealth: there are poor countries and rich countries. This is a massive phenomenon that cannot be explained. Basically, we do not have a really satisfactory theory today that explains why we have rich countries and poor countries and that would explain why there are rich countries and why there are poor countries. We should try to denaturalize this representation and say to ourselves that it is a very strange and so bizarre thing that we cannot explain it. On the one hand, it is accepted as self-evident and on the other hand it cannot be explained and theorized.

What is difficult to understand is the unequal distribution of wealth in space. Not only is it incomprehensible, but it is also scandalous because the issue of space justice is a question of social justice. People are not mobile and born somewhere, which means that if there is an unequal distribution of wealth, we are condemned to poverty. This "curse" is linked to the fact that spaces are unequally rich. It is something strange, massive, that we cannot explain and scandalous. We are so used to this blatant injustice and mystery that we no longer see it by making it a central question in geography.

On the theoretical level, the persistence of inequalities, despite globalization, mortgages Ricardo's theory and the theory of comparative advantage. If there is globalization, if more and more countries are opening more and more sectors to the economy then more and more countries should get richer. The question raised is that it is the relationship between spatial inequalities and globalization? As Ricardo predicts, does globalization result in the enrichment of all, leading to a reduction in inequality, and if not, why not? To reflect on the unequal distribution of wealth is to question the recent evolution of inequalities to see what impact globalization has had.

Ambiguities of the notions of wealth and development[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

There are many terms used to talk about inequalities in space. We are talking about poor countries, rich countries or other scales that imply a certain number of elements. Yet it is an abuse of language because a city, a country or a region has nothing, only the inhabitants have something. A space is never rich and never poor, but in a space there are people who are rich and people who are poor. Someone's wealth is not necessarily where they live. There may be a disjunction between the place of wealth and the place of the person who possesses wealth. It is important to make the difference that we should not talk about the richness of the spaces, but about the people who live there. If we think in terms of space, a territory has nothing, but its inhabitants have. Nevertheless, it is necessary to differentiate the inhabitants between them. The issue of inequality in living standards between inhabitants is important.

Wealth and GDP[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

To measure inequality, figures are needed. The first available figure is gross domestic product. GDP is the sum of the capital gains produced in a given country during a given year. The idea of added value complicates matters, particularly with regard to redistribution. This indicator says nothing about the nationality of producers. If an American company produces in Switzerland, one counts in the Swiss GDP. What counts in GDP is what happens within the national space. This is a very geographical definition of production. On the contrary, gross national product refers to the sum of the added value produced during one year by nationals. We integrate what the Swiss produce at home and abroad. GNP is a less geographical concept than GDP.

GDP does not measure wealth, not production, but it measures enrichment. GDP talks about the increase in wealth and therefore growth. There is the stock of wealth that no one ever measures and that we do not know. There is the increase during the year in wealth, which is GDP, and there is the increase in GDP, which is called growth. Growth is the increase in wealth. In other words, growth is the acceleration of enrichment. Wealth is what is available in the bank account, GDP is income and growth and income increase this year over last year. Talking about zero growth does not mean that we are not getting rich; it means that there is no acceleration of enrichment. There is an important correlation between wealth and wealth, between a country's wealth and its GDP. On the other hand, there is not really a correlation between wealth and wealth on the one hand and growth on the other. The countries whose enrichment is accelerating are not the richest. The promise of compensation and levelling is not made in wealth, but in growth.

There are countries where the underground economy is very important, and there are countries where donation for donation is very important. GDP is rather a good estimate for countries with few underground economies and where the market economy occupies a large share of their economy and rather a bad estimate for countries where there is a large underground economy and where giving for giving plays an important role. What matters is the GDP in relation to the inhabitants.

Of course, what interests us is not only income or wealth, but also what it allows us to do. Like the extremely variable cost of living at all scales, it has a heavy impact on incomes. If the cost of living is twice as high in place B as in place A, the income and cost of living and the standard of living must be put into perspective. You can have someone who lives in Madagascar who has exactly the same standard of living as someone in the Massif Central or in Zurich, but each time you have to multiply the salaries to get the same thing. We must try to control this difficulty.

A first way to control it and choose an indicator. A very good indicator is the Big Mac. If we translate a salary or a GDP into McDonald's, into hamburgers, we have a good integration of the cost of living. In general, things are taken seriously and an index has been proposed which is GDP per capita[PPP]. PPP is the acronym for "purchasing power parity". We will adjust GDP per capita based on what this per capita income actually allows us to do. We will translate it into dollars uniformly and then into purchasing power parity. If with 100 euros in France we could do the same thing as with 10 euros in Madagascar, we will correct the income and we will consider that the 10 euros in Madagascar are worth as much as the 100 euros in France. The cost of living happens to be very high where wages are high. There is a very good correlation between wage levels and the cost of living; conversely, the cost of living is very low where there is very little income.

It is a very good correlation, but it is not a perfect correlation. If the two varied, in exactly the same way, everyone would have the same standard of living everywhere. This idea that there would be a positive correlation between the cost of living and incomes suggests that the GDP gaps that can look very brutal when measured without taking purchasing parity into account will be reduced if purchasing power parity is taken into account. Levelling out is going to happen: all poor countries are countries where the cost of living is low, in purchasing power parity this will overestimate incomes; on the other hand, rich countries are countries where the cost of living is high and this will reduce income in terms of purchasing power. Indeed, when we move from a per capita GDP map of the world to a purchasing power parity map of the world, there is a reduction in the gaps. So, the differences in living standards are actually less glaring than the differences in GDP because the cost of living bias intervene.

A second element to be taken into account in this inequality reduction effect is that GDP most certainly reflects better the real economy of rich countries than of poor countries. In poor countries the non-market economy is often important with often the grey sector, a black sector, an underground economy that are not taken into account by the GDP whereas more often in rich countries, this share is smaller because people are more virtuous, but also because there will be more control. Beyond one of those underground markets that are not taken into account by GDP, there is the fact that in rich countries, the market share is larger than in poor countries. In poor countries, self-help systems and self-consumption systems are more important and obviously this is not reflected in GDP. Self-help networks, family networks and clan self-help networks are also very important. There are many loans, for example, that will be made through clan systems that will not be made by banks and therefore are not included in GDP. This will therefore also compensate for the inequalities between rich countries and countries measured with GDP since this measure of GDP is a very large share of the economy in rich countries, but a fairly small share in poor countries. This is a rather optimistic conclusion which is that the inequalities in terms of GDP per capita which seem glaring are in fact less important than we believe if we take into account the PPP corrections and if we take into account the importance of the underground economy and self-consumption and mutual aid circuits.

In the late 1980s, concerns about the pervasiveness and importance of the GDP per capita indicator began to emerge. In part because of the points we have raised, but also because we are making it play a role that should be its own, GDP, stricto sensus, is only an economic indicator and it is not the only economic indicator. Why is GDP per capita used? Is it to measure countries' economies?" Yes" of course, compare it, measure growth, "yes" of course. Behind it, there is something else with the idea that we would like to obtain an indicator that would make it possible to measure the success of societies, the improvement of situations, progress and development. The countries will be ranked in order of GDP per capita, in ascending and descending order. Obviously, making an economic indicator that is only an economic indicator play this role is insufficient. This is insufficient because to measure the success of a society where the improvement of a situation, we agree that the measure of the economy on the profit of income appreciation is insufficient. One could say that these elements are variable in which we speak. For example, some cultures will attach greater importance to the religious dimension, to metaphysics or to the spiritual. The goal in these cases is to obtain criteria that are universally recognized by all. It is clear that GDP per capita is a criterion recognised by all. All other things being equal, it is better to be rich than poor. We all agree that all things being equal, it is better to be healthy than sick.

Any other indicators?[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

A third element that will be taken into account is schooling. All other things being equal, a society is more successful if it has a good level of education, that is, if it has a large proportion of its population with a good level of education. Health, education and income will be included in an index that we will call the HDI, which is the human development index.

One third of the index consists of GDP and more precisely GDP per capita in purchasing power parity, which already corrects the dimension of income measures to measure living standards. The second demographic factor is health, the indicator that is, life expectancy at birth. All other things being equal, it is better a country where life expectancy at birth is high. Life expectancy at birth has a very intuitive meaning which is how long we can expect to live. On average, a life expectancy of 80 years means that on average we will live 80 years in a society. In fact it was, it is more abstract than it seems. It is calculated by taking the mortality rates of each age group today. This amounts to applying today's mortality rates to future generations. The "education" criterion is the average level of education. Each criterion has a third: economy, health, education.

If we take all three, it's because they're not perfectly correlated. If all three varied in the same way it would make no sense not to serve. If GDP increases, very often the standard of life expectancy increases and then education increases, but with small variations.

The term "development" means that if a society is considered developed, it has a high GDP per capita, a high life expectancy and a high level of education. If we call this "human development", we must appreciate that this index is composite and that it no longer has any intuitive meaning. What's he measuring at the bottom? We don't really know. We will replace the world rankings made in the country with GDP per capita with the HDI ranking. There are examples of countries with which, when we move from GDP to the HDI, will lose places or gain places. A country that rises in the hierarchy, that gains places, when we move from GDP to the HDI, it means that society is too developed for its wealth, or to put it another way, this society knows how to use its income very well to develop. It is a country that transforms its wealth very well into development. A country that falls in the ranking when we move from GDP to the HDI, it means that taking education and health into account leads it. To put things differently. This means that it is having trouble transforming its wealth into development.

Some countries have a different GDP, but a comparable HDI: Spain and Singapore. The HDI is almost the same at 0.89 which is a very good HDI while Spain's GDP is 16000 and Singapore's GDP is 28000. There is a big difference in GDP, because in Singapore GDP is almost twice as high as in Spain. Singapore is twice as rich. Yet Singapore and Spain have the same HDI. This obviously means that the scores for Spain for life expectancy and for education are very good and that everything else being equal, in Singapore, they are mediocre. In other words, Spain is very good at turning its relatively meagre wealth into development and Singapore has wealth, but this does not really translate into something of the same level in life expectancy or education. Another example is that of Georgia and Turkey, which have the same HDI in the order of 0.73, whereas in Georgia it is 2000 for GDP per capita and 6300 for GDP per capita in Turkey. That is, with three times less wealth, Georgia has the same level of development as Turkey. Turkey therefore uses its income very badly in terms of human development.

The door was open with the HDI to consideration of non-economic factors. Economists and econometricians have suggested that things are missing in the HDI. For example, an index has been proposed which is the GDI which is the gendered human development index integrating a fourth factor which is inequalities between men and women. One can imagine that, all things being equal, a society where men and women are equal is better. Not every country in the world would sign this idea better. Obviously, this is an index that has been imposed by Western countries.

A second element is the issue of the poverty line. HDI, GDI and GDP are averages. When we say that we have, for example, a GDP of $14,000 per capita per year, that means that the average disposable income for each inhabitant is $14,000. It is possible to find oneself in a situation where absolutely no one earns $14,000, nor an amount between $10,000 and $16,000. This average of $14,000 would actually mean that a large part of the population is poor, so earns $5,000 a year and a part of the population would be very rich and earn $100,000 a year. This may well not correspond to any reality in the life of the country in question. We can imagine two configurations:

  • a configuration for a country where the GDP per capita is $20,000 and everyone wins $20,000.
  • a configuration where the country has the same GDP of $20,000 per capita and per year, but where this average hides deep disparities between a large part of the population, i.e. 90% who earn $5,000 per capita and per year, and a small part of the population, i.e. 10% who earn between $40,000 and $50,000 per capita and per year. We all agree that the second company is less successful, less successful and less developed than the first.

One way to address this issue of inequality and poverty is to include in the HDI the number of people living below the poverty line. The fewer people living below the poverty line, the more developed society becomes. Trying to define this poverty line is complicated because it depends on purchasing power parity and PPP is relative. To say that poverty or wealth and when compared to someone. The dollar poverty line per day will not be the same in all countries.

Green GDP" was first proposed in the 1990s as environmental GDP. These environmental GDPs assume that it is not because GDP increases that it is necessarily a good thing. For example, there is a boom in the cigarette industry that is producing growth. Should we welcome the increase in GDP that is linked to the development of the tobacco industry? The increase in GDP is not only linked to the sale of cigarettes, it is also linked to the fact that many people will develop cancer, which will require hospitals, ambulances and scanners being a very good thing for GDP. There may be elements in GDP that are less positive than they look because money has to be spent. The idea that tobacco costs society something is not clear because if we take into account avoided health expenses as well as pensions that makes money saved. Nevertheless, this way of reasoning poses problems. Beyond the question of judgment or the moral question, we could say that everything society will spend to treat people who have smoked, all those people who have chronic bronchitis, who will take time off and will not produce is a cost.

A defensive spending activity is in a way the cost of outsourcing a production. These costs must be taken into account. Proposals have been made to remove all defensive spending from GDP. It is very complicated to agree on what a defensive expenditure is. A second problem with natural resources is that the cost should be included in the exploitation of natural resources and especially non-renewable natural resources. This is not only because in the future there will no longer be any, but it is also all that will have to be paid and invested to find alternative materials and alternative energies, for example. For example, the fact that we exploit oil at very high levels is what forces us to invest in solar energy or biomass. It is a kind of defensive expenditure, because a country that depletes its natural resources increases its GDP even though it is not counted positively. A developed country is a country that draws as little as possible from its renewable natural resources. All other things being equal, it is better not to touch too much and not too quickly your renewable resources. However, GDP says the opposite: the sooner wealth is exhausted, the higher GDP is. It is proposed that the cost of future depletion of natural resources, especially non-renewable resources, be successfully deducted from GDP.

For renewable resources, this is even more complicated. What is the cost of the extinction of a species? We are not able to evaluate them, but they are in principle almost infinite and potential. On this basis, the IBED, which is the index of sustainable well-being, was constructed. Sustainable" referring to the issue of sustainability highlighted by the Brundtland report which is that a society that ensures the satisfaction of its members without mortgaging that of future generations. IBED is complicated and also very contrintuitive. GDP, which includes life expectancy, education level minus productive expenditure minus resource destruction, is beginning to be very abstract.

The ecological footprint, on the other hand, is an interesting clue. It has a meaning that is very clear and intuitive. The ecological footprint of a given population or city, for example, is the square metres needed to meet its needs. Geneva's ecological footprint is the surface area that Geneva needs to ensure its consumption. How many square metres are needed to provide us with energy and food, water, where we put our waste with the idea that the ideal society is one where its ecological footprint does not exceed its territory. We start to have a problem when the ecological footprint of a population exceeds the number of square metres on which it is located. However, as our needs grow faster than our techniques, the ecological footprint has doubled in 40 years. This means that we need more and more space to meet our needs.

We have also considered social GDPs that take social criteria into account. The economic well-being index was thus produced, which will comprise four dimensions:

  • current consumption;
  • stock accumulation: of all the criteria taken into account so far, none measures wealth, but takes heritage into account.
  • inequalities ;
  • economic security, i.e. the assurance that economic actors have about their future, such as the risk of unemployment.

These attempts are laudable, because they make us think about what it produces, how the economy participates and in what capacity and to what extent. There are things we still miss. One can think of the index of loneliness. All other things being equal, is better a society where people are not alone. It is possible to make indices that measure the number of our friends, the people we can count on. This is not only important in terms of psychology or emotional comfort, it is also partly a question of economic security. With societies where many people suffer from isolation, there would be something wrong with their development. We can also talk about spirituality. It would be better to have a spiritual life, an intellectual life, an artistic life than to be immersed in the most vile materialism. We can go so far as to measure happiness and say to ourselves that what we should replace the GDP map with is a map of happiness.

Carte du bonheur 1.png

This map is the map of happiness on a global scale. The whole problem is how to measure happiness. Happiness is subjective, there is no difference between being happy and feeling happy. Happiness is something you feel. On a self-declarative basis, we swim in happiness in North America, the United States and Canada, Australia and New Zealand, Colombia, Sweden, Norway, also Mongolia. This raises problems of standardisation.

The countries with the highest per capita suicide rates are the countries where people are happiest. One might objectively think that this is not really a sign of happiness. Being "rich" or "poor" is a comparison to being happy. And if suicide was a luxury for the rich. Suicide would be a bourgeois luxury. People who are caught up in life's difficulties may have less metaphysical anxiety, less trouble and less depression. We observe that where we commit suicide, it is where there is wealth. The idea of the declaration may be a good solution, but with a lot of bias since everyone should say the same thing. GDP remains the most reliable and comparable figure even if it is unsatisfactory.

Major inequalities[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

The big question is the spatial question as to whether GDP is evenly distributed in space. Statistical indices allow this to be done by taking each spatial unit to calculate the standard deviation or Gini index to calculate the equality or inequality of the distribution of a variable within a population.

Maps[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

Pays par habitant 2005.jpg

In geography, maps are used to show the extent of "damage". This map shows us GDP per capita in purchasing power parity. Four categories of countries appear, the richest countries between 24000$ and 60000$ per year, the poor countries between 600$ and 4000$ and then an intermediate category between 4000$ and 24000$. There are statistical rules in order to constitute these classes. For example, we did not ensure that classes were of equal amplitude.

The first remark is the contrasts that are major. What is important to us is to compare classes. There is a quarter of the countries where the GDP per capita is below $40,000 and then another quarter in the world where the GDP per capita is above $25,000. That's a difference of one to five. There are inequalities and they are major. Another thing is interesting. There are grouping effects that in geography are called spatial autocorrelation. A given country is very likely to have a GDP comparable to neighbouring countries. In other words, a country is very likely to have the same colour as its neighbours. A large package appears throughout Africa which is very homogeneous, in South America, North America, but also in Europe. There must be a geographic law, a geographic rule behind it. If there were none, we would have a cheerful mixture of all colours within each continent, but that is not the case. What makes all these countries in the poorest class or the richest class? Wealth contrasts are very strong on a global scale and they seem to respond to distribution rules. Quite rare are the places where one sees at a border a very rich country which côtoie a very poor country.

Carte anamorphose rapport mondial sur le développement humain 2002.gif

This map follows the principle of anamorphosis. The size of each entity is not proportional to the area of this entity on the real space, the area of the quantity is relative to another variable, in this case the population. The densely populated countries will see their surfaces represented in large and the poorer countries will see their surfaces in small. Are the contrasts stronger or weaker when moving from GDP to the HDI? We cannot compare because GDP goes from $600 to $60000 and if poorer countries get poorer, richer countries get richer. The poorest country has an index of 0.27 and the richest country has an index of 0.94 is meanwhile, there are six classes. A country with an index of 0.4 cannot be said to have a human development index twice as good as a country with a development index of 0.2. We can't compare them. Two contiguous countries are likely to have a comparable HDI. There does not seem to be a clear correlation between the country's population and its wealth. It cannot be said that densely populated countries are richer or poorer than sparsely populated countries. There is a great situation of inequality on a global scale and distribution rules.

Pnb representé par anamorphose 1.jpg

With this map, the larger the country, the greater the GDP per capita. The contrast with the two previous cards is strong. On a global scale, between the continents of the great, there are great contrasts of wealth.

Carte dev eur.gif

This map shows us the GDP by region Europe. We change scale by considering a continent. On this scale, is there again a spatial autocorrelation phenomenon? This map was made from deviation from the mean. In the grey class, we see regions that are in the European average. The countries in grey are almost in the average while the countries in yellow are a little bit above the average. There is a gap of 3 to 6 between the richest and poorest regions. Compared to the world, this is nothing at all. In other words, the wealth gaps between European regions are 10 times smaller than the wealth gaps between the countries of the world. We are dealing with a phenomenon that is not an invariant of scale. It is an economic, social, physical or climatological phenomenon that itself has some scales that we observe, it is a fractal. If we change scale, the inequalities disappear. There is still a phenomenon of spatial autocorrelation with regions that touch. There is a spatial rule, it is not distributed in any way. There is a regularity just like on a world scale.

Géographie de la richesse en france.png

It's a map of France. The map that France has is 36000 cities. This map shows the rich regions in warm colours and then the poorest regions in the coldest colours. In the fuchsia area, the inhabitants have a third more income than the French average, while in the green zone, this means that on average, people are 30% poorer than the national average. The gap between the richest and poorest communes within the French area is 1 to 2. There is a fairly fine level of inequality. This is not distributed in any way, there are also rules of spatial organization at this scale.

Whether we consider the world, a continent or a country, there are geographical rules for the distribution of wealth. On the other hand, the closer we look at poverty, the less apparent the inequalities are.

Geoeco suisse répartition richesse.png

This map is the average taxable income. On average, the taxable income in Switzerland is 68,000 francs per inhabitant, in the poorest cantons between 20,000 and 43,000 francs, in the richest cantons between 96,000 and 338,000 francs. The contrasts between the districts of Switzerland are stronger than the contrasts between the French communes. There too, there is a geographical rule, because we see that the poor regions are the mountains and that the rich regions are on the plain.

Détroit median household income.png

Detroit is a caricatural example of racial segregation. In downtown Detroit, there are between 80% and 85% of the population while there are almost none in the suburbs. The suburbs are rich white with jobs and the downtown is poor, black and there are no jobs. What is the average income level in the city of Detroit? Less than $17,000 per capita per year. In the richest areas of the agglomeration, the average level is over $57,000. That's a difference of one to three. This is a larger gap than between French municipalities, but it also works for French cities with significant wealth contrasts. There is a break in the scales since there is a very strong inequality between continents, strong between countries, weak between regions of a country and again strong on a country scale. It's a center-periphery model.

There are geographical rules at all scales: at all scales of wealth and poverty there is a tendency to group together referring to the phenomenon of spatial autocorrelation. Major inequalities are at the global scale between continents and at the local scale of a city. The methodological problem with the theoretical problem is that the inequalities that obsess us are international inequalities. The question raised is why inequalities are more marked at some scales than at others?

The scales of inequality[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

The task of geography would be on two levels: on the one hand, to explain why it does not happen in the same way at all scales and then to take into account the phenomena of organization of space at these differences scales. There would be two main hypotheses:

The first would be to say that what explains the results may not be economic processes as such, but political processes of compensation that would be at work. The idea being that there would be in the nature of the geography of space the fact of being marked by very strong contrasts of development and that these would be compensated at certain scales, but not at others. It is possible to envisage that if the market, for example, produces local equality, other systems may appear as donation-for-gift systems or redistribution systems that will compensate for the inequalities set up by it. There would be flows of wealth that would come through a sort of call from the void to change the inequalities created by the economy. For example, in the context of redistribution, there must be an authority that imagines an authority that is involved in the respect of social justice and spatial justice that would like all parts of the territory under its control to benefit from an equal situation. We can imagine, for example, that a state would want all the regions it comprises to be treated on the same economic footing, in other words, that there are as many hospitals, as many universities and as many fire stations, etc., even though the resources of each of these regions do not necessarily allow it. We cannot accept that in certain regions, safety is less secure and education is less good or health is treated less well. The State will intervene by taking wealth in regions where there is a lot of income and will transfer this money to invest in low-income areas. For example, a lot of money is being made available in Geneva and Zurich and instead of building more hospitals in Geneva and Zurich, where the medical supply is already excellent, we are going to put these hospitals in Ticino where the income is less important. We're operating a transfer.

These wealth transfers can compensate for spatial inequalities. The same applies to Europe, where there are very rich regions and poor regions. At European Union level, there are procedures which transfer wealth from rich regions to poor regions in the form of levies on the one hand with taxes and charges and subsidies on the other hand with investments, but also with aid. One could therefore imagine based on this hypothesis that the scales with the least inequality would in fact be the scales with the best compensation circuits. What needs to be explained is not the spaces where wealth is unequal, but what it fails to explain are the spaces where there is not much inequality. What should be explained is less inequality than equality and the question of at what level and how spatial inequality compensation systems are most effective. For example, at the life scale, are there good systems for compensating for spatial inequality? The issue is a political one. It deals with two points. The first is on the existence of these authorities, there is no global authority for example. Second, the biases taken in knowing the ideological, political and economic choices of the authorities. For a city like Geneva, for example, isn't the issue of inequalities in wealth between neighbourhoods a priority? On a regional scale, this is considered scandalous. Why does social and spatial justice not work in the same way at all scales? The idea that problems of racial justice can be solved through spatial justice is not obvious either. The idea that the solution to a social problem has a spatial solution is not self-evident.

A French problem is that of "large ensembles". For a long time, it has been considered that to solve the problem of "large complexes", cities and suburbs, the solution is in the hands of urban planners who must find urban solutions with new building designs, architectural solutions. It's not obvious. There are other questions to ask in relation to the postcolonial period, in relation to the place of communities in France, in relation to the integration of the younger generations which are not urban issues. Social justice and spatial justice must be distinguished, but sometimes the two work together. If you consider separating the Israeli-Palestinian situation, it is clear that it is a situation that cannot be resolved if it is not first resolved spatially. That doesn't mean it's the only problem. Not all spatial inequalities in the redistribution of wealth are necessarily a social problem. It is not necessarily scandalous.

At these different scales, we see that social justice and spatial justice do not quite overlap. Because of this, it is logical for local communities, depending on the scale at which they are placed, to think that it is not always necessary to compensate for spatial heterogeneities of wealth. There are scales to which it is absolutely indispensable and then others where it is not. A community's ability to compensate for unequal distribution of wealth depends on two criteria:

  • is there authority on this scale?
  • if such an authority exists, does it consider it legitimate and a priority to settle this heterogeneity?

It seems quite obvious that the weakness of regional inequalities within Europe is one of the effects of European economic policy.

In Germany, before the fall of the Berlin Wall, before 1989, there was obviously a very strong contrast of wealth between East Germany, the GDR of communist obedience and the FRG allied to capitalism. One had experienced a good level of development and the other not with a large difference in GDP. At the time, it would have been unthinkable to transfer wealth between the West and the East to bring the two to the same level. There was no community between East and West Germany and this lack of community made it impossible to make compensation in the form of transfers in a redistribution circuit between East and West Germany. In 1989, the wall fell to the great general surprise. A few years later, the two German states became one, and so at that time, of course, a community was formed. This community, which makes all Germans feel that they belong to the same legitimate nation, whether from the East or the West, generates transfers. At this time, transfers will be initiated so that the level of wealth transfer between East and West Germany is now low. We didn't totally catch up, but there was a very strong catch up. Caricaturally, West Germans paid a lot of taxes to finance East Germany's catch-up. They considered it "normal" because it made sense for their national community to do so. It worked less with Greece, because it was less obvious to convince the Germans today to do what they had done for Eastern Europe to do for Greece because the sense of community does not exist.

It is very clear how issues of community and authority play out at some scales and not at others. The weakness of inequalities between the regions of Switzerland against the regions of France can of course be explained by the role of the two governments in their planning policies to succeed in limiting immigrants.

The only explanation given for inequalities at first is that wealth accumulation is due to certain causes and that these causes act differently according to location or that development implies resources and that these resources are unequally distributed in space. The problem is reported further on. To put it very caricaturally, one example is that what allows development is the temperate climate. As a result, this factor explains the difference in wealth between the countries of the South and the countries of the North. It would be necessary to find a factor of resources that would explain the development and that would be located precisely where the development took place is absent from the places where the development did not take place. The heterogeneity of the distribution of wealth is linked to an unequal distribution of these explanatory factors.

The third hypothesis is the idea that diffuse wealth, that there are contagion effects and that this diffusion is hindered by the obstacle of distance. This could explain why fireplaces develop, fireplaces of capital accumulation, instead of spreading everywhere in space in the image of a pocket which would contain balls which one would open on a waxed table and which would leave in all directions. This pocket of marbles that we open, falls as on a sandy ground and remains in the same place. This explanation is not at all the same as thinking that it is the terrain itself that has a different potential for log formation. The marbles all fall in the same place and will not diffuse in the same way. We can also imagine that it is the gutter system in the ground that causes the logs to be channelled in one direction and not the other.

If the first explanation is a compensation system, the second explanation is the property of space. These properties of space would be of a different nature:

  • the heterogeneity of space: resources and causes are not distributed in the same way ;
  • Opacity: that is, the brake that space is heterogeneously, isotropically, the brake that it exerts on the movement of wealth.

Explanatory factors[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

We must come back to an opposition already set up previously on zero-sum, positive and negative games. It is necessary to return to these three ways of considering international exchanges and to see to what extent they lend themselves to different explanations of the contrasts of wealth in space.

Trading as a zero-sum game[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

First, there is the idea of international trade as a zero-sum game which is that international trade does not create wealth. If international trade does not create wealth, or even destroy it, the enrichment of some is only the counterpart of the impoverishment of others. In other words, everything boils down to the circulation of wealth. Rich countries are countries that manage to capture wealth during their circulation and poor countries do not. We are in the context of exogenous explanations to development, that is, explanations are external to the country concerned. A country is not rich because it has wealth or resources, it is rich because it has managed to capture those of others. Such a country is poor because its resources and wealth have been plundered and captured. Thus, the enrichment of a given area depends on the ability of the society concerned to be part of an economy, an economic circuit and to capture the wealth that passes through this circuit, but also on its ability to prevent others from doing the same. This rather negative view of international trade had been theorized by mercantilists: trade enriches no one, but just redistributes wealth. If we want to get rich in international trade, we must export as much as possible and import nothing.

Marxist, imperialist, terms of trade, new national division of labour and alterglobalization theories have in common the idea that international trade is something to be wary of because of this capture. For all these theories, wealth accumulation is linked to captures that are exogenous sources. The enrichment first of England, then of the United States and Europe, and finally of Japan would be linked to the way in which these spaces, one after the other, drained wealth from London, Paris, New York, etc. into their immediate environment, then quickly on a world scale. This is something that seems visible when one visits these cities, all the money was produced there. This is even more visible in London where the imperial dimension is evident, it shows that London is an Empire capital through the nature of the economic activities that were important and also through the urban setting. An accumulation of wealth that occurred in London results from the fact that, first the British crown and then the City, managed to drag wealth that came from all over the world and of course this is linked to the British Empire. We cannot help thinking that this accumulation of wealth in London is there to counterbalance the things that have disappeared, the gaps and emptiness in the countries that have been exploited.

The idea of the circulation of wealth is that the accumulation of wealth in some places is linked to the fact that it was looted elsewhere. This idea also makes sense at specific moments in history when we see the mines of South America being emptied and the coffers of the great aristocrats or the great kings of Europe, Spain and Portugal being filled. There is also much talk of looting economy when natural resources are treated in this way. This is what the conquistadors did, they arrive in Lima, in Mexico City plundering the wealth and then repatriate all the profit to their country of origin. What we learn from alterglobalist theories, imperialist theory or the theory of the new international division of labour is that there are less clear hidden forms of this kind of exploitation today. From the moment we accept this idea, the solution to fight against wealth gaps is not to participate in international trade, but to refuse to participate, especially if we are poor.

It is a strange coincidence that the countries that have always pushed the most for international trade are the richest countries and that the countries that are reluctant to trade internationally are countries that face this competition and commercial aggressiveness. To withdraw from international trade, one must live in autarky or trade only with countries with which one is not in competition. The countries of the Comecon of the former economic community traded with "sister countries" in a form that is very reminiscent of giving for giving. This referred to the idea of the nobility of exchange between partners who are symbolically close. At the time, it was thought that if these countries opened up to the international market, their wealth would be plundered as part of the commercial exchange that would benefit the capitalist countries.

The first solution is autarky, the second solution is to reserve trade for sister countries, a third solution is based on overprotectionism and an industrialization strategy by import substitution.

Import substitution industrialization strategies have been used extensively in Korea, for example. The idea is that because of increasing yields, the United States or Europe are able to offer relatively cheap, good quality cars on the Korean market. If Korea wants to start a car, it will do so at the start without much know-how and by producing a fairly small number of units in the first years. So the cars that the Koreans are going to produce are going to be cars of poor quality and expensive. Koreans will prefer cheap cars, which is a bad thing for Korean industry. This is what Krugman's model of locking in time and space provides comparative advantages. If it is not possible to develop the market because of unfair competition and increasing yields, it is necessary to leave the market, for example to ban the import of American cars. Then Koreans would buy expensive cars of poor quality. This is in effect subsidizing the auto industry by consumers. Instead of buying cheap American cars, they will buy expensive Korean cars. This blockade will be maintained for 10 years, after 10 years, the industry will have increased its production and the Koreans may have made progress and, at that time, they will be able to produce cars that will be as good and as cheap as Japanese cars or American cars. Only then can we open the market. The term industrialization through import substitution means that instead of importing, we will produce industrially to meet the demand that was previously met by imports. We must play on demand and this demand, instead of satisfying it through imports, we will satisfy it through local production. Space and product lifecycle locking refers to the issue of technological innovation. This means not only withdrawing from the market, but also withdrawing from international law in a certain way.

The role of development aid in addressing spatial inequalities is a beautiful subject of debate. The solution would be to make, that the flow is reversed and to make a part. One of the big arguments against this is that development aid is a "bandage on a wooden leg". The perverse effects of development aid policies are indeed very significant. Perhaps the best way to lock someone in poverty is to lock them in charity.

From the moment when we think that inequalities in wealth are linked to the effects of capture to the fact that when an economic circuit opens, flows in this economy will succeed in monopolizing the wealth that passes with the direct consequence that in other poles there will be impoverishment. In this case, the explanation of inequalities in wealth is not economic, but political, i.e. the effects of concentration of inequalities of scale in space are explained by the concentration of powers and by effects of domination or effects of hegemony. Rich countries are countries that have had the power to monopolize the wealth that has circulated and poor countries are countries that have been looted. The map of development inequalities largely overlaps with that of colonial empires. Colonization is a past that has not passed, traces of which can still be seen today.

The poverty that is still rampant in these countries, it is a hypothesis envisaged, is also attributable to the people who live there. This is a point that has been theorized a lot. One often hears that an explanation for Africa's sinking into poverty and colonization, for it would be countries martyred by colonization through on the one hand the Atlantic slave trade, plundered natural wealth and then also an absurd fragmentation of the political space across colonial borders whose only purpose was to divide and conquer and from which it results only chaos and violence. At the same time, it is possible to say that this vision of things which consists in making the white man carry a burden which is not that of civilization, but that of colonial guilt still poses problem since it is once again to consider that, as ex-President Sarkozy said, the "black man" has not yet entered history enough. Third worldist claims that responsibility is the legacy of colonization once again deprive Africans of their destiny in the sense that they are even denied responsibility for their present. Many other analyses will on the contrary show the responsibility of African elites in the flight of capital, in the refusal to invest, in nepotism, in corruption and the role and their responsibility in these countries for 50 years have still not come out their situation.

From the moment we are in this paradigm, which is a rather negative paradigm of looting effects, the only solutions are to fight or try to compensate for it. That is not the dominant ideology. It is the ideology of many "left" intellectuals, it is also the ideology of many alterglobalization movements, but it is not the ideology of the major international organizations that decide like the WTO, the World Bank and the major States that decide international agreements. There are very few countries that have led this kind of thinking.

Exchanges as a positive sum game[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

The prevailing ideology is that of exchange as a positive sum game. It works like an ideology. We are in a frame of thought where exchange produces wealth. The exchange allows specialization and authorizes the production of wealth. This type of development is not exogenous, but endogenous. It is the capacity of certain countries to specialize and open up to trade, to enhance their comparative advantages or to implement their increasing returns.

We are in the context of the deterministic explanation of development, which attempts to identify a map that would be ante-economic in order to explain the contrasts in economic development. Some countries had a capacity for development, a predisposition to development and then others did not. Once mapped, these predispositions will help us understand the resulting map of wealth accumulation. It must be clearly understood that, initially, if we follow Ricardo, it is not at all a question of mapping the comparative advantage since all countries have a comparative advantage. We should try to map the differential in the capacity of countries to exploit their comparative advantage since they all have one. While all countries, according to Ricardo, have a comparative advantage, this does not mean that they are equal and that they are all producers of wealth, development, added value and growth. What is interesting in this framework of thought is the idea that basically development, industrialization, wealth and growth are normal since everyone has a comparative advantage. What is abnormal and worth explaining is not wealth, but poverty. Consequently, we must not look into the history of the richest societies that have become richer, but we must look at what is preventing poor countries from becoming richer. This is reasoning in terms of blocking.

Many of the economic theories of development and international trade will try to describe the blockages with more or less finesse. A very fashionable theory in the 1960s was Rostow's theory of growth gaps, which had formulated the "take-off theory". This theory is interesting historically. Rostow's idea was that he had looked carefully at the economic development of Europe, England and the United States and he had spotted that he had five successive stages in development. These stages were marked in the middle by an acceleration phase. If you look at the production figures, for example the prices, you could see warning signs just before the takeoff and see that the take-off phase had taken place. There is a phase of high stability with much wealth and a high growth rate being the mode of economic development. Every country will experience this type of economic development. It is a transitional model. The transition is very important in the history of western sciences and also in the history of social sciences. This is the truth of the demographic transition. Demographic indicators are, for example, the fact that the birth rate is starting to fall, that mortality is starting to fall and that it will take off. These theories are not deductive theories, but they are empirical theories based on the experience of observation, on what has happened, but which have been observed. The idea was that this model was universalist, that necessarily all countries would follow the same path, that demographic transition and economic growth would follow a steady path, a path that could only be taken in one way and in one direction. If South Korea wants to industrialize, it will have to do as England did in the 17th and 18th centuries. That is not how it happened. There is not just one model, there are several voices, but it is not necessarily inevitable. In other words, there is only growth, but growth is not inevitable. So the blockages wouldn't be a moment like for Rostow.

Another interesting blocking theory put in place by Nurske is the vicious circle theory of poverty which is therefore much more based on a society in its capacity. A society that invests little is a society that produces little and makes little profit and locks itself into poverty. This idea explains a blockage in the vicious circles of poverty and the virtuous circles of wealth. There is the idea comparable to these two modes of being economic with a "low regime" which is poverty with its vicious logics and circles and then a "high regime" of wealth with its virtuous circles which makes it maintain itself, but no way to pass from one to the other. These theories make growth seem normal and basically seek to explain the lack of growth describing processes, but they do not really give the causes.

We have to go further. We went to look for three types of explanations:

  • the first type is physical demographic determinism;
  • the second type is social, historical and cultural explanations;
  • the third type will return to Krugman are the increasing yields.

Natural environments[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

There is the issue of the natural environment and the environment. If we were able to explain inequalities in resources and wealth through the natural environment, geographers would be very high up in the university hierarchy and this would be a very guilt-free discourse. The natural environment is not us, perhaps god and therefore human beings are not guilty of inequalities. This explanation is reassuring especially for the rich. No link has been established between this type of natural environment and then between wealth and poverty. These two phenomena have nothing to do with it. For centuries and millennia, this idea has had very different names. Among the Greeks, we also talked about climate theory, under Montesquieu and Bodin and then we talked about geographical determinism or environmental determinism. The idea was simple: human geography was explained by physical geography. There would be countries that have good natural resources and become rich and countries that have few natural resources and remain poor. This idea has been undermined quite recently since the 1960s and 1970s and not only by geographers.

A first argument is that there are no natural resources. On the one hand, a resource meets a need and needs are socially constructed. The first question is: are there natural needs? A resource that corresponds to a social need is not really natural because it is only natural with respect to a specific need. This need is also linked to technological capabilities. In the context of technological change, some resources are becoming obsolete. It is always natural, but it is no longer resources. What determines a resource is social, economic, political and technological. There are no resources in which there is always culture, politics, economics and technology. In a way, oil is invented, it is not a natural resource. As long as someone had not invented the explosion engine, we would not know what to do with oil. It takes a very important technological convergence for oil to become an interesting resource. This convergence is not only economic and technological, but also cultural. What constitutes oil as a resource are societies. This argument is essential because it means that nothing is ever given in advance. Perhaps if we want to reverse the logic, we could say that the rich countries are countries that have succeeded in inventing their natural resources. To put it less provocatively, rich countries are countries that have successfully transformed elements of their environment into natural resources.

The second point is that if there had been a link between natural resources, their exploitation, and enrichment, we could follow the accumulation of capital depending on where we operated a massive exploitation of this natural place. The richest regions would be the regions where natural resources have been exploited the most. The capital, the profit generated, the capital accumulated during the exploitation does not remain on the spot. The pioneer fronts, the mining regions, are places deserted by capital that has invested in large centres and capitals. For example, the wealth generated by the Brazilian pioneer fronts can be seen in San Paolo.

The third reason for doubting this link between natural resources and wealth is the lack of correlation between the two. There are too many counter-examples. There are many examples of countries that are very rich in natural resources and have not seen any economic take-off. On the other hand, there are countries with very few and very few natural resources that have experienced significant development. The exception is pension savings. It cannot be denied, for example, that the wealth of the Gulf countries is linked to oil. The choices Dubai is making in Qatar show that they are thinking about post-oil and trying to transform their economy into something other than a rent. Natural resources do not last. It is not natural resources that we will understand the contrasts of wealth and development.

The other side is the issue of constraints, the issue of risks and the issue of hostile environments. There are hostile, difficult, complicated and other environments that are more conducive to human development. There are hostile environments and epidemiological environments that are less hostile. If a country has malaria, cyclone, earthquake, volcano, 40° in the shade, humidity at 90%, the constraints are such and the environment so much so that it is not possible. It is a very old idea and it is reversible. The reason why we developed in temperate environment is difficult because we have seasons that change, sometimes it is cold, sometimes it is hot, the earth does not nourish easily, it is necessary to develop a civilization, a technology and a hierarchical society. The deterministic fact works both ways, but logically it is not to his credit. This is not to its credit either, and it always comes to the same conclusion, that the intertropical zone is condemned to poverty, underdevelopment and will never come out of the "cave age"; on the other hand, the temperate zone is condemned to civilization, progress, development and wealth. This idea can be found in the theory of climates, especially among the Greeks in 500 BC. The perception of our environment is linked to our culture and our expectations.

If there is on the one hand the question of natural resources, on the other hand there is the question of constraints. The idea of constraints was often evoked as for resources. An attempt was made to explain that countries with many natural constraints were unable to develop or that, on the contrary, countries without natural constraints were unable to develop. The first is the idea that there are hostile environments or environments at risk, since the inhospitable nature of an environment is always in relation to certain types of life and therefore in relation to a point of view that is often external to it.

Just as there are no natural resources, there are no natural hazards either. A purely natural risk can never present a danger. One of the major problems related to natural hazards are hygiene issues or epidemics that occur after major disasters. These epidemics or hygiene problems are often linked to human concentrations. Hazard is nature in expression, but a society's vulnerability to it is always a social, historical, economic and political construct. What in geography is called a "risk" is the conjunction of hazard and vulnerability. To reduce risk, not much can be done about hazards, but much can be done about vulnerability reduction. On the one hand, we proclaim the omnipotence of nature and submission to it and, at the same time, we find it difficult to accept the idea that hazard can have causes that are not causes that are not human. Natural hazards do not exist as such and are not an obstacle to development or an explanation for the contrast in wealth.

One idea is that every society builds its economic development on the basis of consumption of resources that are natural in the sense that they are not manufactured. These natural resources are essential for the continuation of production and if production destroys them, this poses a problem in the long run. Much work is focused on the past and has attempted to explain a number of major civilizational disasters and the disappearance of some civilizations by resource management problems. Among the two great examples that can be studied, he has the disappearance of Mayan civilization. When the conquistadors arrived in Central America, the Maya had already disappeared. Another example is that of Easter Island, which was settled late as part of the great migrations of Polynesian peoples. It is very famous by the giant statues which were erected, but also by the fact that these statues testify of a rather powerful and prosperous civilization, of a strong density on the island whereas at the time when the first explorers reached it at the XVIIIème century, they found a society where reigned the misery, the famine and with very weak densities. Obviously, the island, at one time was very populated and with a high level of technology as well as a high level of production and consumption and then when the European explorers arrived, this civilization had almost disappeared without having any idea of how well these colossuses had been carved, in the quarries, transported then and then erected.

One of the theories is that of Diamond which is that of ecological catastrophe. His theory is that the Mayan economy and society as well as the economy and society at Polynesian Easter Island were both on over-exploitation of a fragile environment. Easter Island had a dense forest cover and the inhabitants of Easter Island gradually deforested the whole island in a few centuries because they needed wood to transport the famous colossus. Once the island was completely deforested, the result was soil erosion, a change in ecosystems that had catastrophic consequences. According to Diamon, many companies have disappeared because they have failed to manage their resources. Instead of preserving their resources as part of a concern for sustainability, they have instead destroyed their resources in an attitude that is suicidal.

This thesis met with a great echo because it corresponds to important questions today about millenarian anxieties about the limits of growth, about the depletion of non-renewable resources and especially oil, about global warming with the whole theory of sustainable development which would not allow the satisfaction of current needs to be done at the expense of that of future generations. It is economic growth that does not jeopardize the needs of future generations. The idea that if companies may have disappeared because of their lack of precaution in the management of their resources, it is a counter-example that is precious today. Diamond's analyses have been much contested and beaten up. When we read the scientific literature on this subject today, it is very difficult to form an opinion. These disappearances remain quite mysterious. Anguish over resource management is more the result of current questions than the fruit of historical experience.

We must try to relate these questions to the use made of them and their possible use in political and international relations. We realize that if we reason in terms of natural resources, in terms of natural risks or in terms of sustainable development, we are often faced with a North-South opposition with Northern countries that, after having experienced industrialization, after having experienced pollution, have come to reasonable positions with a certain deindustrialization, a tertiarisation of the economy, weak growth and then production which is essentially linked to services of a low-polluting type, which consume little raw materials and therefore respect the environment and ultimately guarantee sustainable development, respecting its forests and replanting them. On the other hand, there are the countries of the South, which are poor countries, which still have the insolence of double-digit growth, which still claim to be industrialized, which still pollute and which do not respect the imperatives that we would like to impose on them in terms of carbon footprint or environmental management.

This reading poses several problems, particularly in terms of the heritage of resources that are not ours, with the idea, for example, that the Amazon forest is the lungs of the planet. Another problem is to condemn deforestation and then industrialization, which consumes resources and causes pollution when all our societies have done so. We always arrive at the same model, which is that of a temperate zone where it goes well where wealth is created, a sustainable wealth and then an intertropical world based on the hypothesis of the natural environment is that it does not succeed. We cannot explain wealth gaps and development by referring to the natural environment. Even if we recognize that there is an important influence of environments on societies, it is not natural environments, but environments that are deeply transformed by man.

Demographics[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

The idea that the wealth of a country is made up of its demography both because the population is the labour force therefore that production would be correlated to the labour force available therefore to the population. A more recent development of this theory is to focus on the population not as a labour force, but as a fruit of consumption. That is, countries that have developed are countries where there has been the development of a large consumption basin and significant demand. On the one hand, it is very difficult to establish correlations between cases of density and cases of development and if natural resources and natural risks do not move, populations on the other hand migrate. The great migrations of the 19th and 20th centuries are labour migrations. Nevertheless, on the basis of this relationship between demography and the economy, a certain number of policies have been put in place, but these are not policies aimed at increasing the population or increasing labour force or even consumption by working demography, but rather the reverse. Correlations were considered too important and then poverty and risk played a major role in the 19th century and also in the 20th century with the idea that there would be a profound contradiction between the rates of population growth and the rates of economic growth and in particular the rates of growth and renewal of resources.

Malthus' model is an agricultural model and it is very simple to see that a society is developing at a much faster pace than its ability to develop new soils and increase agricultural production. All resources will experience this phenomenon of lag and dropout between a population that is growing exponentially and then a production that fails to keep pace with catastrophic predictions of a real collapse. We are not in the theory of ecological catastrophe, but rather in that of a kind of fatality. This has resulted in the implementation of Malthusian policies aimed in particular at limiting the number of births or delaying the age of marriage. In the West, we dropped these Malthusian policies because we stopped having children, but we would have liked these policies to have been implemented in China or India. There is the orientalist fantasy of a targeted animal population that cannot control its birth rate, cannot control its population and reproduces like "ants". The term "demographic bomb" was used in this sense. This is not new because the idea of the "yellow peril" has been around since the beginning of the 20th century. Initially it was a political and economic peril that was linked to two traumatic events, the first was the Japanese victory over the Russians in 1905 and the boxer revolt in China. This idea knew as a kind of renewal at the end of the 20th century with the idea of the "demographic bomb".

If one evokes the idea of a carrying capacity of the earth which is the idea that the earth could contain only a certain number of people and not a plus, one came back on this idea. The problem with this idea, which is also reflected in the idea of sustainable development, is that projections are made today on the basis of two unknowns that cannot be taken into account but which are nevertheless essential: the first unknown is technological change and the second problem is changing needs.

On the other hand, there is certainly a concern in Europe, particularly, to a lesser extent in North America, on the issue of ageing. The problem may not be in the quantity of the population, but in its quality, namely the characteristics of this population and in particular its age. What is a problem is the relationship between the working population and the non-working population. The problem of "quantity" is that in European populations this relationship is increasingly unbalanced. The second, "quality", is the level of qualification and the cost of labour. What matters today is less the quantity of population than its qualification and its cost with two configurations:

  • areas where societies generally have a high labour cost and a high level of qualification as typically the countries of the North;
  • other configurations where we have a low-skilled labour force with a labour cost that is typically low like in the countries of the South.

Culture and institutions[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

These two types of labour do not allow the same type of activity to develop. Much work has focused on the role of culture, the role of social institutions in general and development. An attempt was made to see to what extent types of societies, modes of social organization and social values could be correlated with economic development. As is often the case, these civilizations were characterized first and foremost by their religion. Weber, but also Huntington with his theory of the clash of civilizations. Many works have tried to reflect on the link between certain types of religion and then economic development beginning with Weber's famous works dating from 1905 on Protestant ethics and the spirit of capitalism in which he relates the birth of commercial capitalism in central Europe and Rhineland Europe with the development of Protestantism. He proposes a whole series of oppositions between values or modes of social organization which would be linked to Catholicism and Protestantism with the idea that if market capitalism developed on the Rhine axis, it was because Protestant values and Protestant society were predisposed to it. The idea is that Protestantism would carry the same values as capitalism, whereas on the contrary, Catholicism would promote values where the city would be organised in a way less favourable to this development. On the side of Protestantism and capitalism, we would find the importance of the individual, the initiative and the value of the individual, the enhancement of technology and progress, an emphasis on the importance of material success and then an adherence to science and an enhancement of scientific knowledge. On the other hand, Catholicism would not be very individualistic, but it would rather value group and community behaviour and values, it would rather be in the enhancement of nature than of technique. Weber's theory is that the countries that had the values of the first group were both the countries that experienced the development of Protestantism and capitalism. His work is very striking and always very controversial. On this basis, we continued to try to make correlations and maps between religions and then growth.

Two major assumptions that we see a lot is the incompatibility of Buddhism and Islam with development. As far as Islam, for example, is concerned, there is nothing comparable to what happened in Japan, Europe and then the United States. Another interpretation consists in saying that the vision of society, the place of women, freedoms, progress and the relationship to time are not compatible with economic, industrial and market development. One example cited much is that Islam condemns lending. For a theological reason, it is God who creates. One solution is to tell ourselves, for example, that interest is not there to pay for the money that we are going to lend, but to compensate for the shortfall earned from the fact that we lent money. There are possible ideological solutions.

The problem with these explanations is a bit like the explanations on the North-South opposition and then on tropicality. There are reasons to explain why it was logical, it was expected that it was in Europe that industrial revolutions and wealth accumulation occurred. There is always the suspicion that we are in logic and rhetoric of justifications.

It is interesting to focus on questions of political organization, on the importance of the state and then to ask the question of the link between democracy and market development and the development of market capitalism. The idea that the market is something that would appear spontaneously must be broken. We need a State and a strong State to set up a market and then for the market to be organised, structured and prosperous, the State must be present, it must be respected and it must provide a certain number of guarantees. These guarantees are those of the law and commercial law with the fact that when someone does not respect his contract, there are possible remedies and it is possible to go to court and trust the justice. There's the idea that you can trust the state to be violent. The State has a monopoly on legitimate violence, the State must exercise its violence, but it must be the only one that is able to exercise this violence.

More fundamentally, this means that the market, if we understand it this way, is hampered by dictatorships. What the market hates is uncertainty, situations where we don't know the rules. If you don't know the rules, you can't make any predictions, projections or trust anyone. However, the market is based on a certain management of time and trust. If the market hates dictatorships, it is not because they are not stable, that is, with a dictatorship, you never know what can happen. There can be a change of jurisdiction and it can decide to nationalise, to oust without respecting the law. We need a strong state, we need a respectable state, a state that is respected and offers stability in the institutions that allow us to do business. There has to be a normal situation that you can count on. The State is an extremely powerful economic actor playing an essential role in the construction of the market, it is also an actor that intervenes on the market, it is a producer, it is a consumer, it has a major role in stimulating production and consumption. The state is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for the emergence of the market, capitalism and development. In all these theoretical constructions, it is taken for granted that the market corresponds to the industry that corresponds to development and wealth creation.

After the fall of the USSR, Russia did not experience a period of economic development such as one could have imagined and the main reason is material and financial insecurity. Again for foreign investors, this is very difficult to manage. The disappearance of the communist regime in Russia did not provide an opportunity for the development of a market economy, but almost the opposite. It is for lack of a strong state and a right respected and imposed by an authority monopolized by the state that this country has not experienced this rush of investors that we could have hoped for. The reason why investors continued to be reluctant to get involved in business in Russia was not because of a strong state, but because of a lack of a strong state.

The second very interesting question is the relationship between democracy and economic development, namely democracy, capitalism, the market economy or the market. This idea is very present in Liberal ideology and it is very strong in the United States. It really is an American certainty. Democracy is the market go together in this idea. The reason why the foreign policy of the United States is so keen to bring democracy where it does not exist enough and to bring these countries into the market. This link between the two is in the sense of the word liberal in English, which refers both to the freedom to undertake and to the individual freedoms that are achieved through democracy. This was theorized by Karl Popper as part of his idea of open society. He opposes two types of theories: open societies characterized by freedom, transparency, mobility and then closed societies characterized by opacity, lack, freedom and then lack of mobility. Public societies are democratic societies and only public societies would be conducive to the establishment of a market economy.

This makes sense on the important issue of social mobility. Few people achieve significant social and economic advancement. We have few examples of success and even if we have these examples, even if there are, social advancement has not necessarily given what we had hoped for, namely social recognition, political recognition or even power. But even among the most interested among us, the reasons why it is so important to make money is because money carries symbolic recognition. The admiration we are going to have for success, the symbolic success that wealth allows us to display, is only worth in a society where we can hope for this rise. The idea of open society is that anything is possible for everyone. However, not everything will be possible for everyone. Countries that do not experience social mobility, i.e. countries where their destiny is determined from birth, excluding from their economy a population that has no reason to get involved because it can expect nothing from it. The idea is that we can expect a strong involvement, a strong investment, a lot of inventiveness, a lot of effort, a lot of work, a lot of enthusiasm from the active population, if we can hope to see the fruits of our work recognized. All societies that are compartmentalized, where mobility is not possible, social ascension is not possible lose some of their resources because they do not allow mobility. This is one of the reasons why democracy is a condition of the market. If the correlation between the two is so strong, imposing the market also means ultimately imposing democracy. Both economic liberalism and respect for political freedoms are based on the recognition of equal rights and opportunities between actors and on their autonomy, on their capacity to be economic agents.

One of the major levers of development will be the opening up of these societies, the decompartmentalisation, the breaking down of barriers with the idea of "empowerment" which is the fact of increasing the capacity to act, to increase autonomy, to increase the capacity to be an actor rather than an agent. This link between democracy and market development has a strong ideological component because it serves to justify globalization. One of the first justifications is that globalization yields wealth referring to Ricardo's theory and to the theory of comparative advantages, the second argument is that globalization disseminates market values and that disseminating market values amounts to disseminating democratic values.

The scandals of rising returns[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

These explanations are insufficient. We'll go back to Krugman's theory and comparative advantage theory because it's more relevant, but it's more pessimistic. Some countries have known very early their industrialization, it is Europe, Japan and the United States and they have acquired because of that an enormous comparative advantage over the others related to their anteriority. Since then, they have capitalized on this prior art, which constitutes a comparative advantage for them because of the increasing returns guaranteed by this prior art. Every effort is made to lock in time and space with patents these comparative advantages and know-how. The richest countries and the countries where wealth is concentrated are simply the countries that first experienced economic development, i.e. industrialization. For the others, the locking of increasing yields does not offer a way out.

For Krugman, "countries are rich because they are rich and countries are poor because they are poor. Poverty leads to impoverishment and wealth leads to enrichment. We are therefore faced with a systematic and inevitable dropout system where rich countries tend to get richer and poor countries tend to get poorer because the former have increasing returns and the latter cannot pay the cost of entering the market because poor countries and rich countries are not in a situation of pure and perfect competition.

How to explain the Krugman theory because this theory will not help to understand how, for example, South Korea could have become a great industrial power. An important element is obsolescence costs and conversion costs. Industrial economic development is based on creative destruction. Products, one after the other, become obsolete and production methods, one after the other, cease to be efficient, to function and to compete. One of the characteristics of the capitalist economy is that it constantly destroys its products and modes of production in order to adopt new ones. It is an economy that is constantly in recreation and not in reproduction. In the capitalist system, the only economic actors that survive in the long run are those who have managed to give up what they were doing to do something else. Very regularly it is the imperative of innovation.

The idea of creative destruction is that you have to change what you produce regularly in order to sell it. This has effects and it is not very easy to abandon production that is linked to infrastructures that have been put in place, linked to a trained population that has acquired a culture and habits.

What is it about these industrial regions that is in crisis? That's because they were rich. It is because there has been an accumulation of wealth in these mining regions and heavy industry regions that so much infrastructure has been built, that a population of workers has been put there, and today we no longer know what to do with them. The best solution is to flee, to abandon these regions where obsolete production structures have accumulated. It is not only the blast furnaces themselves, but also the canals that serve them, and it is the working class populations that have become cumbersome. These regions which were the regions of wealth accumulation and production in the 19th century have now become regions which are avoided by investors precisely because they have this glorious past. There is the idea that an industrial region always becomes a former industrial region and therefore a region in crisis. It would be in the nature of capitalist activity to move because of these obsolescent effects. How to invest in a profitable economic activity in these mining basins or its steel basins today? Where will high added value activities develop? In places that don't suffer from having been rich before. This is related to space inertia and space locking. We cannot draw a line on everything that has accumulated in a region and instantly convert them for another use.

The reason why there is still steel industry in France is related to conversion costs. We are in a model that is almost the opposite of that of Krugman where the most attractive regions for the development of new activities that underpin economic growth are regions that do not suffer from the accumulation of old industrial structures. The bonus is not for regions that developed first, but for those that are still developed. There is the idea that the foreclosure of comparative advantages is somewhat offset by the obligation on economic activity to renew itself continuously and by the high cost of conversion of former regions.

Globalization[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

For now, we have discussed the ambiguity of wealth measures. We will focus on globalization and examine the relationship between the evolution of inequalities and globalization. In line with liberal promises and the comparative advantage model, has globalization led to a reduction in inequalities, or is the development and increase in the scope of the market, both geographically and economically, leading to an increase in inequalities, rather in line with what Krugman would have us fear?

Evolution of inequalities[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

Tableau ocde inégalités 2003.png

The first table is the evolution of GDP per capita in 1990 international dollars. In the United States in 1500, GDP per capita was $400 international in 1990. Two hundred years later, it had risen to 527. It is possible to have two readings of this table: a horizontal reading and a vertical reading. With a horizontal reading we will follow for example for Mexico the evolution of GDP per capita by 1500 to 2000. With a vertical reading, we can have a spatial comparison of the GDP per capita and per year in 1820 of France, the United Kingdom, the United States, Mexico, Japan and China. So it is a table that shows the level of wealth and the level of income in all these areas, between these countries between 1500 and 2000. GDP is a measure of value added, growth, output and ultimately living standards.

In 1500, there are no differences between the GDP of these different parts of the world. This meant that production levels, production patterns, living standards and lifestyles were the same everywhere. Of course, each time they were on different types of production, for example in Mexico on maize, in Japan it was on rice and in France on wheat, but inducing different types of social organizations, different types of landscapes. Everyone lived in roughly the same conditions on the basis of these resources. This does not mean that all people were equal in any society. On the other hand, most probably, the emperor of China, the emperor of Japan, the king of France and then the Aztec lord lived in much the same way and the Chinese peasant, the Japanese peasant, the French peasant and the Mexican highland peasant lived in much the same way. We were faced with a situation roughly equal on a global scale. 500 years ago, there was no inequality in development.

The second stage is the invention of industry which already took place in the eighteenth century in the United Kingdom and we see very clearly an effect of dropouts from one country before all others. The United Kingdom has a very marked increase in GDP per capita compared to other countries. For France, this take-off takes place between 1820 and 1913, for the United Kingdom it actually takes off earlier and less abruptly from the 18th century, for the United States the take-off is very clear and it is prior to the French take-off since it takes place before 1820. For Mexico, this was very late in the 20th century and for Japan a little earlier, for China and India very recently since it was not until the 1980s that this phenomenon occurred.

The times when GDP per capita fell are very interesting and we are able, in 1913, to count more precisely what is happening in China. The same phenomenon is observed for India with a small drop which is certainly due to decolonization with a very recent takeoff interesting. For the United States, we see that it is played out quite early and that it is in fact as early as 1950 that income falls. The dropout occurred after the First World War and it is clear how the First World War and then the Second World War enabled the United States to secure its first place in the economy. In 1500, everyone is on the same footing, then in the 18th century and, in the 19th century, there are some take-offs with the United Kingdom, the United States and France and then in the 20th century, there is a third important phenomenon with the United States dropping up occasionally or thanks to the two world wars and then the fourth important phenomenon is the very recent takeoff that is taking place from China and India.

This led to the idea that in the medium-term history of globalization, the emergence of inequalities is a very recent phenomenon that dates back a few centuries and that indeed seems to correspond entirely to the industrial take-off of the countries in question. The growth rate differentials currently observed between the new countries and then the old industrialized countries give hope of catching up. It must be assumed that the extension of globalisation, which will affect more and more countries, but which will also spread the market more and more deeply in the countries concerned, is based on the idea of wealth production, comparative advantage, etc. One of the main arguments in favour of globalization is that it would be a guarantee for poor countries to find ways to grow and enrich themselves. There would be a promise to reduce inequalities behind globalisation.

To measure these inequalities, there are many methods available, but among the most telling is the gap method. The idea is that to eliminate the statistical problems posed by the notions of average, we will reflect on the relationship between the countries that are at the very top of the ranking and the countries that are at the very bottom of the ranking. For example, we will talk about an interquartile range if we compare the upper quarter to the lower quarter. We will talk about an interdecile gap if we compare the top 10% with the bottom 10%.

We will consider the index that compares the 15 poorest countries and the 15 richest countries in the range of some 200 countries that make up the world. For forty years, since the introduction of this very recent form of globalization, what about these famous gaps between poor and richer countries? In the 1960s, the poorest fifteen countries had an average per capita income of 1.9 per year and in the richest countries it was 26.6. This represents a range of 1 to 13. In 1980, the situation of the poorest countries did not always change to 1.9, but for the richest countries it doubled to 51, a gap of 1 to 25. In 2001, we went from $1.9 to $2.3 per capita per day in purchasing power parity and in the richer countries we reached $80. That's a range of 2 to 40.

On the basis of this simple assessment, is globalization contemporary with a reduction in inequality? No, it's the other way around. It is contemporary to an unprecedented historical increase in massive inequalities. The rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer. We cannot say that if we look at the situation of the poor in the poorest countries, it has not really worsened. We went from 1.9 to 2.3, which corresponds to an increase of 20%. Poor countries have not become poorer, but they have just become much less wealthy than rich countries. This is not a phenomenon of differences with countries sinking into poverty and others taking off towards wealth. This is a situation where the poorest countries are progressing very slowly while growth is accumulating more and more wealth in the richest countries. The problem is not the impoverishment of poor countries, but the enrichment of rich countries.

How do you look at those numbers? It is possible to be scandalized, because we are faced with a phenomenon where the actual profits are as if monopolized by the richest countries. If there is no impoverishment and if there is an enrichment of the rich, we would be in a positive balance: an increase in inequalities that is upwards and not downwards.

Wealth and poverty are also relative concepts. Of course, if you need to feed yourself, you're in the absolute. The notions of wealth and poverty are not defined in relation to an absolute which is that of physiological needs, but the level of wealth will be characterized by comparison. We define ourselves as rich steps in the absolute according to what is in our portfolio, but compared to what people around us earn or do not earn. Wealth and poverty would be more about perception, feeling and comparison.

The poorest, the inhabitants of Bangladesh do not spend their time looking at what is happening in the Beverly Hills district, they are not confronted with daily life and this skid. But the truth is, they are. For example, with Hollywood cinema and Western cinema, they are constantly nourished by a vision of the standard of living in rich countries. Television makes you see wealth. Worldwide, and this is a very recent phenomenon, the poor are confronted not with wealth, but with the image of wealth. The opposite is not true, that is, the very rich do not face poverty. The image is not imposed on them. From this point of view, this discrepancy raises even more frustration since those who are locked up in these countries where the standard of living stagnates at two dollars a day and per inhabitant are confronted with the evidence of the increasing accumulation of wealth in Western countries as it is exhibited in particular by American television, but also by their own nationalist television. This raises frustrations that existed less before because the virtual space of the media or the Internet did not allow this confrontation between the poor on one side and the rich on the other. This is one of the explanations for the omnipotence of the call for migratory air emanating from rich countries, which is that candidates for migration in poor countries are informed or misinformed and have much more or less accurate or erroneous information about the wealth of the richest countries. If there is not an increase in inequality, there is surely an increase in the feeling of injustice and the feeling of poverty.

We must return to the idea of comparative advantage and the idea that international trade is not only an exchange of value, but also a creation of value. If we compare the figures as given with the idea of the size of the cake increasing, the only way to make them compatible is to change the size of the shares. That is to say that the rich countries are carving out larger and larger shares in this cake so that despite the increase in the size of the cake, the share of poor countries is stagnating. There is wealth creation through globalization and trade, but it does not benefit everyone because this increase in wealth is not equally distributed among the participants, it is captured by some of them. We are not in a system where he would have an authority that would regulate the difficulty of redistributing this wealth. We are not in a system where we agree on principles of justice, fairness and equality on the basis of which the benefits of these exchanges would be shared equally. In theory, it is the market that decides, the exchange results from a contract and only takes place when both partners in the exchange are satisfied with the terms of the exchange.

If one of the two partners is harmed in the case, why he signs the contract, why he engages in the exchange if through it he makes little or no profit compared to his other partner. It's all about the price. Prices are set in such a way that trade benefits rich countries. We find the theory of the deterioration of the terms of trade. The instruments that allow this capture of wealth in the exchange are related to the asymmetrical character of the relations in relation to the asymmetrical character of the relations between these two partners. It is within the framework of power relations, of these contractual obligations that wealth is confiscated.

To avoid the effects of power and confiscation, the solution consists in having a regulatory system that will complete or superimpose a redistribution circuit on the market. We see, for example, redistribution systems throughout Europe that circulate wealth between the richest and poorest regions. On a global scale this does not exist since regulations do not occur on a global scale.

Distribution of enrichment[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

Who benefits from globalization? The idea is that globalization could benefit everyone, but it is not. We will admit the Ricardian reflection of comparative advantages and reflect on where are currently the most important comparative advantages and the major comparative advantages? Two types can be distinguished:

  • a comparative advantage that focuses on the qualification of the workforce and know-how;
  • a comparative advantage that bears the cost of labor.

There is an economic divergence with:

  • Northern countries: highly skilled people in wealthy countries who perform complex tasks, use high technology and produce innovation. What drives economic activity is symbol manipulation. We no longer make money by manipulating objects, we make money by manipulating symbols, that is, by having ideas and, if possible, news. This presupposes a very important cultural, scientific and technological capital. This is called the quaternary sector or the upper tertiary sector attached to universities and research laboratories.
  • countries of the South: this skilled labour does not exist or if it exists abroad it is part of a brain drain system that benefits only the United States. On the contrary, we would have found a relatively unskilled labour force, but very numerous and very cheap. It is a workforce assigned to repetitive tasks and not to innovation, but on the contrary to the most exact reproduction possible of the same gestures. These are things that machines still can't do when they could just do it, but workers are currently cheaper than machines.

This new international division of labour has design, research and symbol manipulation activities in the countries of the North and then realization, manipulation and manufacturing activities in the countries of the South. The problem is that symbol manipulation activities yield more added value than those that are fair in manipulation reproduction, and in Schumpeter's creative destruction theory, it is in the nature of economic activity to innovate. Not only does the manipulation of objects pay less than manipulation, but also the manipulation of objects produced less growth while the manipulation of symbolic objects produces growth through innovation. Not only rich countries, through the division of activities, monopolize profits, but also growth.

The induced effects, ripple effects and multiplier coefficients of symbol manipulating industries are very high and are, on the contrary, very low in industries that only manipulate objects. This would explain the growing differences between rich and poor countries, which would be linked to the fact that rich countries have confiscated the most interesting activities, namely symbolic manipulation, and have abandoned to poor countries activities that produce less wealth and growth and are also the most polluting. There is a risk of economic dualisation on a global scale with on the one hand nations of engineers, nations of researchers, white-collar or highly qualified tie populations and then on the other hand proletarian nations, manufacturing nations. On one side countries with laboratories and offices and on the other side countries with factories and factories.

Where this explanation very quickly proves insufficient is that there are not only rich people in rich countries and there are not only poor people in poor countries. Wealth and poverty are to be put into perspective, in rich countries there are not only engineers, lawyers, researchers, publicists, etc., there are also people who are poorly qualified, there are also people who are not useful for manipulating symbols. For one reason or another, they can only handle objects. Not everyone arrives on the job market with a diploma. In the countries of the South, there are also engineers, obviously, there is also a bourgeoisie, there are people who accumulate money. Notably, in countries like Brazil or India, there are rich people and very rich people. These are countries where there is an elite population that has managed to enrich itself locally and continues to invest locally. In the countries of the North, in the rich countries, for people who are very well trained, they have everything to gain from globalization. For those who only have their own labour force, they face "unfair" competition, that of people who do the same thing in the countries of the South with a lower salary.

Much has been said about the idea of an hourglass society with an absence of a middle class and with the evolution towards a domestic economy. One of the answers is that the caricature scene we come across is that we have on one side in offices highly qualified people who earn a lot of money, but also make a lot of money by activating themselves to manipulate symbols, new ideas on their computer, they are worth very expensive. Before, domestic service was done inside the bourgeois house. It is a low-skilled, poorly paid and precarious population which has no benefit to expect from globalisation except that a State, somewhere, operates redistribution. The risk of dualising the international division of labour is especially high in rich countries. A dropout is taking place with, on the one hand, actors involved in globalization and taking advantage of it and, on the other, a population that was poorly qualified and manufacturing, which had a sense of the time when objects were made in the countries of the North.

The issue of internal dualisation in poor countries does not seem to pose the same problems as in rich countries. To be honest, this is not entirely accurate because the labour that is considered unskilled, the labour that can be used in manufacturing plants to reproduce standardized tasks, is in a way already westernized. This implies a mode of economic, linguistic and cultural behaviour that already assumes that we have moved from the countryside to the city and that we have moved to a different type of economic functioning. It is not because there are poor people in countries of the South that all this is employable and employed in manufacturing industry. This requires certain qualities or qualifications of precision, employability, applying rules, regulations, standardizing procedures that are not necessarily feasible for anyone who is a candidate for migration from the countryside to the city.

Geography of inequality[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

What is interesting in this way of thinking is the change in scale of reasoning. We no longer think only in terms of inequalities between countries, but also in terms of inequalities within countries. At this moment, the geography of exchanges is posed in new terms since, basically, it is a geography of work. These are labour location issues. We will focus on what is happening at the national level between countries and reflect on the difference between rich and poor countries.

At the national level[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

For poor countries, the comparative advantage lies in a relatively low-skilled and cheap labour force. This workforce is a modern workforce, a workforce that meets schedules, meets standards and is rooted in society in this market. This is the most westernized part of the populations in question. It is often a population that opposes traditions and habits that are local. We will often consider the opposition between a coastline, large cities and a certain modernity and a less urbanized, less connected and less westernized hinterland. It is indeed with this westernized population of large cities and the coast that growth will be concentrated. The dislocation that we can talk about in poor countries will be geographically between the head of the urban network, the large ports, the coasts on one side and then on the other side the rural space of small towns with the construction of maritime façades or a metropolitan archipelago that will concentrate growth and be the focus of diffusion of modernity or Westernization and globalization.

For rich countries, the problem is the qualification of the labour force: the question is where is the skilled labour? In regions that have developed early, there is an accumulation of obsolete production structures and populations. We no longer need all that and what we want is incompatible with all that. The fact that we no longer need unskilled labour, that we have more room for industry in Western countries, will precipitate into the crisis all the former industrial regions which have made the wealth of these areas and which are today the one where plant closures are concentrated and which suffer the most from relocation without the activities of the tertiary and quaternary tertiary sector producing added value and growth being located on the spot. On the contrary, they will abandon the affected regions to locate themselves in two main directions:

  • those where one can hope to find or attract highly qualified people, i.e. researchers, senior managers, engineers, lawyers and investment bankers. These populations will first be found next to the production resource centres, namely the grandes écoles and universities. These are qualified training areas.
  • The other idea is not to locate oneself necessarily in the big cities, but to find spaces that have been more or less spared by industrialization and urbanization. The highly qualified population will agree to move according to the quality of life. The "four S's" are Sand, Sun, Ski and Seraglio. The places where power is concentrated, the places where there are mountains, the coasts with sand and then the southern regions.

At the scale of each country, we observe this phenomenon where there was a flight from industrial regions and which will benefit large cities, the south as a whole, mountain regions and coastal regions. This shift represents the shift from a secondary economy to a tertiary economy. A key issue is the ability of some large cities to connect to a global network. Globalization presupposes a very good connection to global production networks for capital gains. Interconnection remains very focused on airport hubs. In each major economic region, a few very large poles will emerge that are very well connected to the rest of the world and in which we will have the same population that engages in the same highly qualified and value-added activities and lives in the same way.

Globalized cosmopolitan elites are forming. Often, the populations of the "metropolitan archipelago", which is the interconnected set of world cities, are very well connected to each other, but are relatively disconnected from the surrounding hinterland. An elite will circulate between Singapore, Hong Kong, Dubai, Frankfurt, London, New York, Miami, Los Angeles, Tokyo or even forming a sort of archipelago because all the large metropolises would constitute islands disconnected from their immediate environment having few links with their immediate environment, but which are very connected to each other. These islands are linked by a common culture and by very important flows which are not only flows of highly qualified people circulating between these large metropolises, but also financial flows and then flows of information. One would observe the emergence of a new network space which would be a reticular space:

  • on the one hand, there would be the networked reticular space of cosmopolitan elites producing added value, manipulating symbols and operating on a global scale;
  • and then on one side an old space that works quite differently and whose lifestyles and consumption patterns are not the same.

The emergence of the structure of the world metropolitan archipelago would also bring geographical duality and geographical inequality within each country. The North mobilizes most of this network where knowledge and wealth production are concentrated. What matters is the interconnection, a highly qualified population, also a very attractive quality of life. Quality of life can compensate for some isolation.

At the local level[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

The first mystery that has been explained is the unequal distribution of wealth.

So at the microlocal scale, which is the residential scale, when we map the population, we map where people live, and that is not necessarily where they are. For much of our lives, we are not with you. In rich countries, there are two types of population:

  • the highly qualified symbol manipulators: very involved in globalisation which generates added value and derives high income from it ;
  • Basically, we do not have a really satisfactory theory today that explains why we have rich countries and poor countries and that would explain why there are rich countries and why there are poor countries.

There are two types of population with little mobility between the two and who are involved very differently in globalization gave rise to two different geographical. Depending on the time of day, they will be found in different places and with segregation effects. In the city centre or in the activity zones of a major world metropolis, both the pizza delivery man and the senior manager live together during the day. But this is not the case for all trades. Globalisation in rich countries really only benefits the most qualified. On the one hand, we will have a population that is largely female, largely immigrant and working class and that does not benefit much from globalization, and on the other hand, a rather male and qualified population that will occupy the highest positions in the hierarchy of trades. For example, the problem of domestic work in the West has not been solved, but has just been relocated. Gender issues are major, there is a population that is much more involved in globalisation, if only through mobility issues.

This kind of spatial discrimination will be carried out at the scale of each city where segregation effects will be found with certain elements. This "novelty" has always existed and has simply changed in nature. Segregation is more horizontal, with segregation taking place quarter by quarter. For example, "gated communities" are very closed, socially homogeneous communities that are closed by a barrier, controlled by a door, you have to show your right of access. For a long time these "gated communities" were reserved for the privileged. In Brazil, where the social hierarchy is very fine, we will now also see gated communities of the middle classes in poor neighbourhoods. It is a new phenomenon which is the privatization of public space which can go as far as closing streets. Urban secession is the withdrawal from public space. This is the pretext of self, community and security, but it is closely linked to massive phenomena of social divergences that are both economic and cultural and political. The other massive phenomenon linked to the very rapid urbanization of the 1960s was the development of precarious housing. As much as "gated communities" are planned, designated and built can go far in urban planning, so much spontaneous housing, sometimes called "slums", is the idea that an excluded population will take over neglected parts of urban space. It is a habitat that is "tolerated". In space, this reflects a fragmentation of urban society between a part of society that has no jobs, that does not benefit from urban advantages. In the countries of the South, these logics are entirely linked to capitalist development in these countries. At the city level, globalization, by pitting some "included" against others "excluded" from economic development, produces inequality and eventually violence.

The gentrification phenomena is the gentrification and rehabilitation of old and popular districts. The poor population that used to live in old slums is being replaced by a much wealthier population that is moving into rehabilitated slums. The phenomenon of gentrification results in exclusion, i.e. poor populations that used to live in the city centre are excluded by fashionable young urban populations who live in often central and lively neighbourhoods that have a "little extra soul". In the geographical literature, there is a whole reflection on the role of the "creative class" and in particular on the role of homosexuals in urban gentrification, i.e. a "fashionable", "trendy" population, which goes out a lot, which would have more money on average.

We are facing the same phenomenon with populations that are cosmopolitan, populations that live on several ranks at the same time that are very connected to networks, very informed and often very qualified with populations that have been present for a long time. These populations do not live together in space. Old populations are often pushed to the margins of cities far from economic activities and far from this pole where the links of globalization are woven.

Carte de la précarité à genève.jpg

It is a map of precariousness in the Geneva area, but it is frustrating because we would like a much finer scale. The scale goes from 0 to 6. We want to measure wealth, but we have a lot of trouble. We're building clues. Nevertheless, the indices do not really allow comparison. It is clear that there is a logic to the spatial distribution: some areas will concentrate very privileged populations and then others will concentrate very precarious populations.

This map should be read with in mind the map of inequalities in wealth and development on a global scale. It's basically the same. Geneva has more than 50% foreigners, Geneva is also the result of international flows, flows of exchanges, flows of information that are globalized. We see the effects of social segregation, the effects the disconnections between the symbol manipulators and the object manipulators.

Annexes[modifier | modifier le wikicode]

References[modifier | modifier le wikicode]